Severe Thunderstorm Warning 68, NWS Mobile, AL

041 
WWUS54 KMOB 012249
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
549 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

ALC023-012300-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-100601T2300Z/
CHOCTAW AL-
549 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT 
FOR CHOCTAW COUNTY...

AT 548 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE
A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE ALONG A 
LINE EXTENDING FROM PUSHMATAHA TO BUTLER TO HODGEWOOD...MOVING EAST 
AT 15 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LOU BY 555 PM CDT...
  BUTLER...CROMWELL...MT STERLING AND ARARAT BY 600 PM CDT...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

THESE ARE DANGEROUS STORMS. IF YOU ARE IN THEIR PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS
RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD
MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OBSERVATIONS TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...CALL TOLL FREE AT 1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3224 8814 3208 8806 3206 8811 3202 8811
      3201 8810 3202 8808 3199 8807 3195 8812
      3193 8805 3191 8812 3187 8839 3204 8846
      3225 8844
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 264DEG 11KT 3222 8836 3209 8826
          3199 8825

$$

PURDY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
359 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY
IN THE FAIRLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WHILE A LARGER SHORTWAVE TROF
ADVANCES ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES ADVANCES EASTWARD.  THE
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROF ADVANCES INTO THE EASTERN STATES ON
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOWS MOVING FROM THE
CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE NORTHEAST STATES.  THE SURFACE LOWS BRING A
TRAILING FRONT INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES BUT THIS FEATURE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.  THIS KEEPS THE
FORECAST AREA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE DAILY SEA BREEZE WITH
CONVECTION DEVELOPING IN THE MORNING HOURS AND TAPERING OFF INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS EACH NIGHT AND WILL HAVE LIKELY DAYTIME POPS AND
CHANCE NIGHTTIME POPS THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.  A TREND TOWARDS LESS
COVERAGE OCCURS ON FRIDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE TROF NEARS THE FORECAST
AREA AND WILL HAVE CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY.  A
SURFACE-850 MB RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND THE DEEP
LAYER SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES TO PUMP GULF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASING FROM AROUND 1.8 INCHES TO
AROUND 2.1 INCHES BY THURSDAY...PORTENDING THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE STORMS.  SURFACE BASED CAPES OF GENERALLY
2000-2500 J/KG WILL BE PRESENT EACH AFTERNOON WITH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES TRENDING SLIGHTLY HIGHER THROUGH FRIDAY.  MODEL
SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT WET BULB ZERO VALUES WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
HIGH...13-14 KFT...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS GENERALLY 15-25 KNOTS OR
LESS PRODUCING 0-1 KM HELICITIES OF 60 M2/S2 OR LESS SUGGESTING THAT
STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS.  THE GFS AND NAM BOTH DEVELOP A MCS SOUTH OF
LOUISIANA WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHICH THEN SPREADS NORTHEAST INTO THE
FORECAST AREA DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY.  UNABLE TO TELL AT THIS
POINT IF THIS IS A RELIABLE SOLUTION AND WILL NEED TO MONITOR IN
UPCOMING SHIFTS. /29

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE SHORTWAVE TROF STALLS
TEMPORARILY OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES ON SATURDAY AND IS THEN
ABSORBED BY A LONGWAVE TROF THAT EVOLVES OVER THE EASTERN STATES
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.  WITH A DRIER DEEP LAYER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
DEVELOPING THROUGH THE PERIOD...WILL HAVE LOWER POPS FOR MAINLY
AFTERNOON CONVECTION AND ALSO A TREND TOWARDS WARMER DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES.  AS NOTED BY THE PREVIOUS SHIFT...HEAT INDICES GET
HIGHER THROUGH THE PERIOD AND MAY SEE VALUES OF 100 TO 105 OVER THE
WEEKEND. /29

&&

.MARINE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST HAS
RE-ASSERTED ITSELF...WITH A SYNOPTIC ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED TO LAST
INTO THE WEEKEND. A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE LOWER MISS RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...BRINGING AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND
SEAS FOR THE WEEKEND. /16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF MAINTAINS A
MOSTLY LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WHICH KEEPS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WELL ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS AT LEAST THROUGH FRIDAY.  SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE MAINLY DURING THE DAYTIME AND
EVENING HOURS. /29

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z ISSUANCE)...CURRENT ACTIVITY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF
OF THE FA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON...THEN TAPER OFF. OVERNIGHT TSRA ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT...WITH A GOOD CHANCE THEY WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL AIRPORTS
AFTER MIDNIGHT IN THROUGH SUNRISE. FROM SUNRISE...THIS ACTIVITY WILL
MOVE INLAND. /16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      71  88  72  87 /  40  60  40  70
PENSACOLA   74  88  75  85 /  30  60  40  70
DESTIN      75  86  75  84 /  30  60  30  70
EVERGREEN   69  90  69  88 /  40  70  30  70
WAYNESBORO  67  88  68  87 /  40  60  30  70
CAMDEN      69  89  69  88 /  40  60  30  70
CRESTVIEW   69  90  70  88 /  40  60  30  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
500 AM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-021200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
500 AM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
THIS MORNING AND SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL PRODUCE LIGHTNING...BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY
RAIN. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE IN NUMBER BY EARLY EVENING BUT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
WITH MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

/11

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
120 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

ALZ059-062-FLZ001-011845-
ESCAMBIA-INLAND ESCAMBIA-UPPER BALDWIN-
120 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ESCAMBIA AND BALDWIN COUNTIES...

AT 117 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF I65 AND CR 47...MOVING EAST
AT 10 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
NOKOMIS...FREEMANVILLE AND I65 AND CR 1 THROUGH 145 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT 1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
152 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

ALZ060-011915-
COVINGTON-
152 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT COVINGTON COUNTY...

AT 150 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES NORTH OF HOWELLS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15
MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
GREEN BAY...ESTOTHEL AND ONYCHA THROUGH 215 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT 1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
350 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

MSZ067-012115-
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESBORO...
350 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WAYNE COUNTY...

AT 346 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER CLARA...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
CHICORA AND ROBINSON JUNCTION THROUGH 415 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER AROUND
LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR
VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO
ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT 1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
358 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

ALZ057-012145-
BUTLER-
358 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BUTLER COUNTY...

AT 356 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAUCER...MOVING SOUTH AT 5
MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
BOLLING...STARLINGTON AND I65 AND AL 106 THROUGH 445 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER AROUND
LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR
VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO
ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT 1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
438 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

MSZ067-075-012200-
PERRY-WAYNE-
438 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN PERRY AND SOUTHWESTERN
WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 437 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF RHODES...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
RHODES...RICHTON AND MULBERRY THROUGH 500 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
BRING DOWN DEAD OR DISEASED TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN
SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. LOCAL LOSS OF ELECTRICAL POWER MAY
RESULT FROM DOWNED POWER LINES. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN
OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...OR SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR
BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT 1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

PURDY