Gale Watch 2, NWS Melbourne, FL

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
931 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2010

.DISCUSSION...
00Z XMR SOUNDING SHOWS A DRY POST FRONTAL AIRMASS...HOWEVER THIS
WILL BE SHORT LIVED DUE TO RAPID UPSTREAM EVOLUTION OF NEXT APCHG
GULF SYSTEM FOR WEDNESDAY. SOME HIGHER CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT WITH AREAS OF FOG LIKELY BY DAYBREAK ACROSS THE
AREA. VISIBILITY NOT EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS OVER LARGE AREAS
HOWEVER. THE FORECAST OVERNIGHT IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO UPDATES ARE
PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR FOG AFTER 06Z. WITH LCL IFR CONDS AFT 09Z THROUGH 13Z
VFR AGAIN AFTER 13/14Z WEDNESDAY WITH RE-DEVELOPMENT OF SCT PCPN BY
EARLY AFTERNOON AND CIG/VSBY ISSUES ASCD WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS
THROUGH EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS OVERNIGHT WITH A TENDENCY
TOWARD DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS EARLY WED THEN
RAPIDLY INCREASING NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AFTER PASSAGE OF THE
COLD FRONT AND ADVISORY CONDITIONS LATE WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-
     MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-
     OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY
     FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
     TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA
     BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER
     INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

JP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
425 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2010

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-232200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
425 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A SMALL LONG PERIOD SWELL WILL BRING AN ELEVATED RIP CURRENT RISK
TODAY. CHECK WITH BEACH PATROLS BEFORE VENTURING INTO THE COOL
SURF TODAY AND ONLY SWIM WHERE A LIFEGUARD IS PRESENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND LINGERING MOISTURE WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS BACK INTO THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY FROM AROUND CAPE CANAVERAL SOUTHWARD.

BOATING CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AHEAD OF A STRONGER COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL SPREAD OVER THE REGION BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE 30S
ARE POSSIBLE TOWARDS DAWN THURSDAY MORNING FROM SOUTH BREVARD COUNTY
NORTHWARD. SOME LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S CAN BE EXPECTED NORTH
OF I-4 THURSDAY MORNING AND ACROSS MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FOR
FRIDAY MORNING.

THERE WILL BE HEIGHTENED FIRE SENSITIVITY BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
FOR LONG DURATION LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALSO BE GUSTY ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

GLITTO