Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2010

River Flood Warning 21, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

September 29, 2010Pitt County, North Carolina

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this river flood warning at Sep 29, 2010, 9:07 PM EDT for Pitt County, North Carolina. It took effect at Sep 30, 2010, 9:52 PM EDT. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 29, 2010, 9:07 PM EDT (01:07 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 30, 2010, 9:52 PM EDT
Expired
Oct 1, 2010, 7:06 AM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
Flood severity
Minor

County Pitt County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tar River at Greenville (PGVN7). The gauge peaked at 11.34 ft at Oct 2, 2010, 7:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate5101509/3010/0110/02
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
17 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02084000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

798 
WGUS42 KMHX 300107
FLWMHX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
907 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH CAROLINA... 

  NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER NEAR CHINQUAPIN AFFECTING DUPLIN COUNTY
  CONTENTNEA CREEK NEAR HOOKERTON AFFECTING GREENE COUNTY
  NEUSE RIVER AT KINSTON AFFECTING LENOIR COUNTY
  TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE AFFECTING PITT COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR 
IN AUTOMOBILES WHEN PEOPLE TRY TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 

CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS. FLOOD WATERS WILL 
WEAKEN THE BANKS MAKING THEM DANGEROUS.

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE A 
LITTLE LATER.

&&

NCC061-010107-
/O.NEW.KMHX.FL.W.0018.101001T0520Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.2.ER.101001T0520Z.101002T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER NEAR CHINQUAPIN.
* FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.8 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MANY SECONDARY ROADS ARE FLOODED. 
  EVACUATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR RESIDENTS WHO LIVE NEAR THE RIVER OR 
  ADJACENT TO TRIBUTARIES. WATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT HIGHWAY 41 AND 
  TRAVEL DELAYS ARE LIKELY. AREAS MANY MILES FROM THE RIVER WILL BE 
  AFFECTED AS SMALL STREAMS BACKUP AND FLOOD. MUDDY CREEK AND CYPRESS
  CREEK WILL BEGIN FLOOD AREAS IN AND AROUND CHINQUAPIN.

$$

NCC079-010107-
/O.NEW.KMHX.FL.W.0019.101001T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.101001T1800Z.101005T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CONTENTNEA CREEK NEAR HOOKERTON.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.7 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER WILL FLOOD SEVERAL HOMES DOWNSTREAM ON
  THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIVER IN LENOIR COUNTY NEAR TICK BITE. MINOR 
  FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN GRIFTON.  WATER WILL START TO THREATEN 
  CONTENTNEA CREEK DRIVE IN GRIFTON. WATER MAY ALSO BEGIN TO THREATEN
  RESIDENTS ON LOOP ROAD BETWEEN SNOW HILL AND HOOKERTON.

$$

NCC107-010107-
/O.NEW.KMHX.FL.W.0020.100930T1920Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.100930T1920Z.101006T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT KINSTON.
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOW LAND FLOODING ADJACENT TO THE
  RIVER CAN BE EXPECTED. CAMP GROUNDS AND PICNIC AREAS AT THE NATURE 
  CENTER IN KINSTON BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

NCC147-010107-
/O.NEW.KMHX.FL.W.0021.101001T0818Z-000000T0000Z/
/PGVN7.1.ER.101001T0818Z.101002T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE.
* FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 14.9 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING ADJACENT TO THE RIVER CAN 
  BE EXPECTED.

$$
5 follow-up statements
656 
WGUS82 KMHX 301009
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
609 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
  NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER NEAR CHINQUAPIN AFFECTING DUPLIN COUNTY 
  CONTENTNEA CREEK NEAR HOOKERTON AFFECTING GREENE COUNTY 
  NEUSE RIVER AT KINSTON AFFECTING LENOIR COUNTY 
  TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE AFFECTING PITT COUNTY 
  NEW RIVER AT GUM BRANCH AFFECTING ONSLOW COUNTY  
  TRENT RIVER AT POLLOCKSVILLE AFFECTING JONES COUNTY 
  CHICOD CREEK NEAR SIMPSON AFFECTING PITT COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR 
IN AUTOMOBILES WHEN PEOPLE TRY TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL
RADIO...MEDIA OR CABLE TV. 

&&

NCC061-011009-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0018.101001T0520Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.2.ER.101001T0520Z.101002T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
609 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER NEAR CHINQUAPIN.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.8 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MANY SECONDARY ROADS ARE FLOODED. 
  EVACUATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR RESIDENTS WHO LIVE NEAR THE RIVER OR 
  ADJACENT TO TRIBUTARIES. WATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT HIGHWAY 41 AND 
  TRAVEL DELAYS ARE LIKELY. AREAS MANY MILES FROM THE RIVER WILL BE 
  AFFECTED AS SMALL STREAMS BACKUP AND FLOOD. MUDDY CREEK AND CYPRESS
  CREEK WILL BEGIN FLOOD AREAS IN AND AROUND CHINQUAPIN.

$$

NCC079-011009-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0019.101001T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.101001T1800Z.101005T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
609 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONTENTNEA CREEK NEAR HOOKERTON.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.7 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER WILL FLOOD SEVERAL HOMES DOWNSTREAM ON
  THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIVER IN LENOIR COUNTY NEAR TICK BITE. MINOR 
  FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN GRIFTON.  WATER WILL START TO THREATEN 
  CONTENTNEA CREEK DRIVE IN GRIFTON. WATER MAY ALSO BEGIN TO THREATEN
  RESIDENTS ON LOOP ROAD BETWEEN SNOW HILL AND HOOKERTON.

$$

NCC107-011009-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0020.100930T1920Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.100930T1920Z.101006T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
609 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT KINSTON.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOW LAND FLOODING ADJACENT TO THE
  RIVER CAN BE EXPECTED. CAMP GROUNDS AND PICNIC AREAS AT THE NATURE 
  CENTER IN KINSTON BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

NCC147-011009-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0021.101001T0818Z-000000T0000Z/
/PGVN7.1.ER.101001T0818Z.101002T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
609 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 14.9 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING ADJACENT TO THE RIVER CAN 
  BE EXPECTED.

$$

NCC133-011009-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GUMN7.1.ER.100930T0540Z.100930T0930Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
609 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEW RIVER AT GUM BRANCH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 


$$

NCC103-011009-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLLN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
609 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TRENT RIVER AT POLLOCKSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOVE 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...WATER WILL BEGIN TO THREATEN A FEW HOMES IN 
  HUGHS PLANTATION FARMS AND TRENT ACRES ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE 
  RIVER.

$$

NCC147-011008-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SIMN7.1.ER.100929T1639Z.100930T0945Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
609 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICOD CREEK NEAR SIMPSON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 


$$

             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM EST
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

NORTH EAST CAPE FEAR RIVER
  CHINQUAPIN  13   9.6 THU 02 AM   13.8   15.5   15.8

CONTENTNEA CREEK
  HOOKERTON   13  10.6 THU 05 AM   12.6   13.9   15.0

NEUSE RIVER
  KINSTON     14  10.8 THU 05 AM   15.4   15.5   15.6

TAR RIVER
  GREENVILLE  13   7.7 THU 05 AM   13.8   14.8   14.2

NON-FORECAST POINTS
  GUM BRANCH  14  15.4 THU 05 AM    N/A    N/A    N/A
  POLLOCKSVIL  5   4.9 THU 01 AM    N/A    N/A    N/A
  SIMPSON     10  15.6 THU 06 AM    N/A    N/A    N/A
402 
WGUS82 KMHX 301526
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER NEAR CHINQUAPIN AFFECTING DUPLIN COUNTY 
  CONTENTNEA CREEK NEAR HOOKERTON AFFECTING GREENE COUNTY 
  NEUSE RIVER AT KINSTON AFFECTING LENOIR COUNTY 
  TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE AFFECTING PITT COUNTY 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
  NEW RIVER AT GUM BRANCH AFFECTING  
  TRENT RIVER AT POLLOCKSVILLE AFFECTING JONES COUNTY 
  CHICOD CREEK NEAR SIMPSON AFFECTING PITT COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR 
IN AUTOMOBILES WHEN PEOPLE TRY TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL
RADIO...MEDIA OR CABLE TV. 

&&

NCC061-011526-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0018.100930T1851Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.100930T1851Z.101002T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED FOR
  THE NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER NEAR CHINQUAPIN.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 14.8 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MANY SECONDARY ROADS ARE FLOODED. 
  EVACUATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR RESIDENTS WHO LIVE NEAR THE RIVER OR 
  ADJACENT TO TRIBUTARIES. WATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT HIGHWAY 41 AND 
  TRAVEL DELAYS ARE LIKELY. AREAS MANY MILES FROM THE RIVER WILL BE 
  AFFECTED AS SMALL STREAMS BACKUP AND FLOOD. MUDDY CREEK AND CYPRESS
  CREEK WILL BEGIN FLOOD AREAS IN AND AROUND CHINQUAPIN.

$$

NCC079-011526-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0019.101001T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.101001T2100Z.101004T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED FOR
  THE CONTENTNEA CREEK NEAR HOOKERTON.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.7 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER WILL FLOOD SEVERAL HOMES DOWNSTREAM ON
  THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIVER IN LENOIR COUNTY NEAR TICK BITE. MINOR 
  FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN GRIFTON.  WATER WILL START TO THREATEN 
  CONTENTNEA CREEK DRIVE IN GRIFTON. WATER MAY ALSO BEGIN TO THREATEN
  RESIDENTS ON LOOP ROAD BETWEEN SNOW HILL AND HOOKERTON.

$$

NCC107-011526-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0020.101002T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.101002T0200Z.101004T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT KINSTON.
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.1 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOW LAND FLOODING ADJACENT TO THE
  RIVER CAN BE EXPECTED. CAMP GROUNDS AND PICNIC AREAS AT THE NATURE 
  CENTER IN KINSTON BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

NCC147-011526-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0021.101002T0600Z-101002T1200Z/
/PGVN7.1.ER.101002T0600Z.101002T0600Z.101002T0600Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
EXTENDED FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE.
* FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING ADJACENT TO THE RIVER CAN 
  BE EXPECTED.

$$

011525-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GUMN7.U.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEW RIVER AT GUM BRANCH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 


$$

NCC103-011525-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLLN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TRENT RIVER AT POLLOCKSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET SOME HOMES NEAR THE RIVER IN HUGHS
  PLANTATION FARMS AND TRENT ACRES WILL FLOOD. SOME
  EVACUATIONS MAY BE NEEDED.

$$

NCC147-011525-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SIMN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICOD CREEK NEAR SIMPSON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 


$$

             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM EST
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

NORTH EAST CAPE FEAR RIVER
  CHINQUAPIN  13  12.1 THU 10 AM   14.4   14.8   14.3

CONTENTNEA CREEK
  HOOKERTON   13  11.5 THU 11 AM   12.8   13.3   13.6

NEUSE RIVER
  KINSTON     14  11.1 THU 10 AM   13.4   14.4   15.1

TAR RIVER
  GREENVILLE  13   8.6 THU 11 AM   11.9   12.9   12.3

NON-FORECAST POINTS
  GUM BRANCH  14  16.5 THU 11 AM    N/A    N/A    N/A
  POLLOCKSVIL  5   4.9 THU 01 AM    N/A    N/A    N/A
  SIMPSON     10  15.7 THU 11 AM    N/A    N/A    N/A
762 
WGUS82 KMHX 301532 CCA
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED FOR GUM BRANCH ZONE CODE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1130 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER NEAR CHINQUAPIN AFFECTING DUPLIN COUNTY 
  CONTENTNEA CREEK NEAR HOOKERTON AFFECTING GREENE COUNTY 
  NEUSE RIVER AT KINSTON AFFECTING LENOIR COUNTY 
  TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE AFFECTING PITT COUNTY 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
  NEW RIVER AT GUM BRANCH AFFECTING  
  TRENT RIVER AT POLLOCKSVILLE AFFECTING JONES COUNTY 
  CHICOD CREEK NEAR SIMPSON AFFECTING PITT COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR 
IN AUTOMOBILES WHEN PEOPLE TRY TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL
RADIO...MEDIA OR CABLE TV. 

&&

NCC061-011526-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0018.100930T1851Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.100930T1851Z.101002T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED FOR
  THE NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER NEAR CHINQUAPIN.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 14.8 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MANY SECONDARY ROADS ARE FLOODED. 
  EVACUATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR RESIDENTS WHO LIVE NEAR THE RIVER OR 
  ADJACENT TO TRIBUTARIES. WATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT HIGHWAY 41 AND 
  TRAVEL DELAYS ARE LIKELY. AREAS MANY MILES FROM THE RIVER WILL BE 
  AFFECTED AS SMALL STREAMS BACKUP AND FLOOD. MUDDY CREEK AND CYPRESS
  CREEK WILL BEGIN FLOOD AREAS IN AND AROUND CHINQUAPIN.

$$

NCC079-011526-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0019.101001T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.101001T2100Z.101004T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED FOR
  THE CONTENTNEA CREEK NEAR HOOKERTON.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.7 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER WILL FLOOD SEVERAL HOMES DOWNSTREAM ON
  THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIVER IN LENOIR COUNTY NEAR TICK BITE. MINOR 
  FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN GRIFTON.  WATER WILL START TO THREATEN 
  CONTENTNEA CREEK DRIVE IN GRIFTON. WATER MAY ALSO BEGIN TO THREATEN
  RESIDENTS ON LOOP ROAD BETWEEN SNOW HILL AND HOOKERTON.

$$

NCC107-011526-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0020.101002T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.101002T0200Z.101004T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT KINSTON.
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.1 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOW LAND FLOODING ADJACENT TO THE
  RIVER CAN BE EXPECTED. CAMP GROUNDS AND PICNIC AREAS AT THE NATURE 
  CENTER IN KINSTON BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

NCC147-011526-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0021.101002T0600Z-101002T1200Z/
/PGVN7.1.ER.101002T0600Z.101002T0600Z.101002T0600Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
EXTENDED FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE.
* FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING ADJACENT TO THE RIVER CAN 
  BE EXPECTED.

$$

NCC133-011525-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GUMN7.U.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEW RIVER AT GUM BRANCH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 


$$

NCC103-011525-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLLN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TRENT RIVER AT POLLOCKSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET SOME HOMES NEAR THE RIVER IN HUGHS
  PLANTATION FARMS AND TRENT ACRES WILL FLOOD. SOME
  EVACUATIONS MAY BE NEEDED.

$$

NCC147-011525-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SIMN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1126 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICOD CREEK NEAR SIMPSON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 


$$

             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM EST
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

NORTH EAST CAPE FEAR RIVER
  CHINQUAPIN  13  12.1 THU 10 AM   14.4   14.8   14.3

CONTENTNEA CREEK
  HOOKERTON   13  11.5 THU 11 AM   12.8   13.3   13.6

NEUSE RIVER
  KINSTON     14  11.1 THU 10 AM   13.4   14.4   15.1

TAR RIVER
  GREENVILLE  13   8.6 THU 11 AM   11.9   12.9   12.3

NON-FORECAST POINTS
  GUM BRANCH  14  16.5 THU 11 AM    N/A    N/A    N/A
  POLLOCKSVIL  5   4.9 THU 01 AM    N/A    N/A    N/A
  SIMPSON     10  15.7 THU 11 AM    N/A    N/A    N/A
004 
WGUS82 KMHX 010152
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
952 PM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
  TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE AFFECTING PITT COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR 
IN AUTOMOBILES WHEN PEOPLE TRY TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL
RADIO...MEDIA OR CABLE TV. 

&&

NCC147-020152-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0021.101001T0152Z-000000T0000Z/
/PGVN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
952 PM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT 
  TO THE RIVER CAN BE EXPECTED.

$$

             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM EST
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

TAR RIVER
  GREENVILLE  13  10.0 THU 09 PM   12.6   12.2   11.6
222 
WGUS82 KMHX 011106
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
706 AM EDT FRI OCT 1 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE AFFECTING PITT COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
  CONTENTNEA CREEK NEAR HOOKERTON AFFECTING GREENE COUNTY 
  NEUSE RIVER AT KINSTON AFFECTING LENOIR COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR 
IN AUTOMOBILES WHEN PEOPLE TRY TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL
RADIO...MEDIA OR CABLE TV. 

&&

NCC147-011136-
/O.CAN.KMHX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-101001T1106Z/
/PGVN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
706 AM EDT FRI OCT 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT GREENVILLE.
* AT  6 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12.6 FEET 
  TOMORROW MORNING.

$$

NCC079-021106-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0019.101002T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.101002T0600Z.101004T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
706 AM EDT FRI OCT 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONTENTNEA CREEK NEAR HOOKERTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  6 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.7 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING ADJACENT TO THE CREEK CAN 
  BE EXPECTED. WATER MAY BEGIN TO REACH SOME SECONDARY ROADS IN 
  LENOIR COUNTY.

$$

NCC107-021106-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0020.101002T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.101002T0200Z.101006T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
706 AM EDT FRI OCT 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT KINSTON.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  6 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 17.4 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE
  THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOW LAND FLOODING ADJACENT TO THE
  RIVER CAN BE EXPECTED. CAMP GROUNDS AND PICNIC AREAS AT THE NATURE 
  CENTER IN KINSTON BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM EST
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

TAR RIVER
  GREENVILLE  13  10.7 FRI 06 AM   12.6   12.2   11.6

CONTENTNEA CREEK
  HOOKERTON   13  12.2 FRI 06 AM   13.2   13.5   13.6

NEUSE RIVER
  KINSTON     14  13.1 FRI 06 AM   14.4   15.2   16.1

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 29, 7:57 PM EDT, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 29, 7:57 PM EDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
757 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST TONIGHT AND MOVE
NORTH ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT LINGERING ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA. THE LOW WILL MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY THEN DISSIPATE
SUNDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE COAST OF
FL/GA MONDAY AND MOVE NORTH...PASSING BY THE NC COAST TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 755 PM WEDNESDAY...COMPLEX PATTERN ACROSS THE
EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN US. CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE DEEP SOUTH
WAS PRODUCING A DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW OF MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
EASTERN SEA BOARD. UPPER TROUGH IS TAKING ON A MORE NEGATIVE TILT
AND THIS IS INCREASING UPPER DIFLUENCE AND ASCENT ACROSS EASTERN
NC. BLENDED PW SATELLITE IMAGERY WAS INDICATING PW VALUES IN
EXCESS OF 180% OF NORMAL ACROSS EASTERN NC THIS EVENING. THE
STRONG LIFT IN CONCERT WITH THE TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME IS ACTING
TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA. A
COASTAL WARM FRONT WAS LOCATED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
VICINITY OF MRH. THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVERNIGHT
AND SHIFT AXIS OF HEAVY RAINS TO THE WEST. THE GFS IS THE MOST
EXPLICIT WITH THIS MODEL SHIFTING THE AXIS TO THE I95 AREA. THE
GFS MAY BE MOVING THE FRONT TOO FAR WEST AND PREFER TO KEEP THE
HEAVY RAIN AXIS BETWEEN I95 AND CAPE LOOKOUT AS DAMMING TO THE
WEST SHOULD HELP TO KEEP FRONT CLOSER TO THE COAST. THIS MEANS
THAT THE COASTAL PLAIN IS PRIMED TO RECEIVE VERY HEAVY RAIN AROUND
3-5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY MUCH HEAVIER AMOUNTS. CLOUD TOPS ARE
COOLING OFF THE COAST WHICH INDICATES THAT RAINFALL RATES SHOULD
BE INCREASING OVERNIGHT. VERY LATE TONIGHT THE RAINFALL AXIS
SHOULD BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST TOWARD THE COAST. WHAT IS TROUBLING IS THAT
THE REMNANT LOW FROM TS NICOLE WILL BE APPROACHING LATE AND THIS
WILL ENHANCE THE RAINFALL EVEN FURTHER. THE MORNING COMMUTE WILL
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS ACROSS EASTERN NC WITH WATER
COVERED/FLOODED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES IN HEAVY RAINS.

IN ADDITION TO THE FLOOD THREAT THE ENHANCED LOW LEVEL FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CUT OFF UPPER LOW AND THE APPROACHING REMNANT
LOW WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR BRIEF TORNADOES. WE HAVE ALREADY
OBSERVED ROTATING UPDRAFTS IN VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY THIS
EVENING. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE BEST AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WIND
FIELDS/SHEAR INCREASE. LAPSE RATES AND INSTABILITY WILL BE
MARGINAL BUT THE STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND LOW LCL HEIGHTS ARE
SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.

LOW TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING THEN READINGS WILL RISE
LATE AS THE FRONT MOVES INLAND AND THE FLOW SWITCHES FROM
NORTHERLY TO SOUTHERLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 315 PM WED...THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN THURSDAY MORNING AND OFF TO THE NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
STILL LOOKING AT AN ADDITIONAL 4-8 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED
SPOTS UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE BEFORE THE EVENT ENDS THURSDAY
EVENING. TRIMMED BACK POPS BEGINNING IN THE AFTERNOON AS DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE SHIFTS EAST. RAIN WILL FINALLY EXIT THE NORTHERN
OUTER BANKS LATE THURSDAY EVENING. ENDING TIME OF 09Z FRIDAY FOR
THE FLOOD WATCH STILL LOOKS ON TRACK AND WILL MAKE NO CHANGE. WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
WITH A RETURN TO NICE WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 315 PM WED...UNSETTLED PATTERN RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK. IT
APPEARS ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THOUGH WEAKER...WILL FORM
MONDAY IN THE SAME PLACE OFF THE GA/FL COAST AND MOVE NORTH...
BRUSHING BY THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ON TUESDAY. HAVE INCLUDED
CHANCE POPS FOR BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 730 PM WEDNESDAY...BAND OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL CONTINUE
TO IMPACT THE TAF SITES WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THRU
THE NIGHT AND THRU MUCH OF THURSDAY. LITTLE CHANGE TO CURRENT
TAFS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
AS 135 PM WEDNESDAY...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED TSTMS TO
CONTINUE OVER THE ENTIRE CWA THIS AFTERNOON WITH MAINLY IFR
CEILINGS AND VSBYS. AS SFC LOW APPROACHES THE SOUTH COAST...EXPECT
WINDS TO INCREASE AROUND 03Z WITH WIND/RAIN THREAT PERSISTING
THROUGH MOST OF THURSDAY. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW SIGNIFICANT DRYING
BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRI.

.OUTLOOK THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
LONGER TERM GUIDANCE INDICATES SPRAWLING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
GREAT LAKES TO BUILD SOUTH THRU THE WEEKEND WITH GENERAL VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
AS OF 730 PM WEDNESDAY...NOT MUCH DIFFERENCE IN THE 18Z SUITE OF
THE GFS/NAM12 IN TERMS OF WIND FIELDS FOR LATE TONIGHT THRU
THURSDAY NIGHT. CURRENT GALE WARNINGS AND WIND/COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE FIRST PERIOD
OF THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST BASED ON CURRENT OBSERVATIONS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
AS OF 135 PM WEDNESDAY...BETTER AGREEMENT IN WIND FIELDS AMONG
MODELS ON THIS MORNINGS CYCLE. WILL CONTINUE GALE WARNINGS FOR ALL
WATERS BEGINNING LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING THRU THURSDAY.
BASED ON CURRENT FORECAST WIND SPEEDS...WILL GO WITH A WIND
ADVISORY FOR CARTERET...DARE AND HYDE COUNTIES (BOTH OUTER BANKS
AND MAINLAND) FOR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. PEAK WINDS SHOULD OCCUR
LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH PEAK SEAS DURING THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. WENT WITH MAINLY WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE WITH A PEAK IN
THE 18 TO 19 FOOT RANGE OVER THE MIDDLE LEGS THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. BY FRIDAY...WINDS BECOME N/NE ON THE BACKSIDE OF
THIS SYSTEM WITH DIMINISHING WIND SPEED. HOWEVER...SEAS WILL
REMAIN ROUGH THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEKEND. SEAS MAY SUBSIDE FOR A
PERIOD ON SUNDAY...BUT EASTERLY BACK SWELL BEHIND ANOTHER
DEPARTING LOW WILL BRING COMBINED SEAS BACK TO AROUND SCA OR
GREATER FOR LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

COASTAL FLOODING/HIGH SURF...
WITH PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
CONTINUES ALONG COAST AND AREAS ADJACENT TO PAMLICO SOUND FOR
TONIGHT AND THU. GIVEN CURRENT FORECAST TRENDS...AM LEANING ON
GOING WITH A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY AS DO NOT EXPECT 4 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL WATER LEVEL DEPARTURES AT THIS TIME.

BUILDING SEAS WILL PRODUCE HIGH SURF CONDITIONS...MAINLY SOUTH OF
HATTERAS...LEADING TO POSSIBLE BEACH EROSION.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR NCZ029-044>047-
     079>081-090>095-098-103-104.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR NCZ047-080-
     081-093>095-098-103-104.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NCZ095.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR NCZ047-081-095-103-
     104.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NCZ095-098-103-
     104.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR AMZ135-152-154-
     156-158.
     GALE WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR AMZ130-150.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR AMZ152-154-
     156-158.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HSA
NEAR TERM...JME
SHORT TERM...HSA
LONG TERM...HSA
AVIATION...CTC
MARINE...CTC
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 29, 4:58 PM EDT, 4 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
458 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

NCZ029-044>046-079-090>092-302100-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-GREENE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-
458 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL
IS LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR
DRAINAGE AND AT LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WILL
MEANWHILE MOVE NORTH FROM THE CARIBBEAN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL
JUST OFF OR NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST ENHANCING THE RAINFALL AND
WINDS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY WITH THIS
SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR DRAINAGE AND AT
LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES NORTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ103-104-302100-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
458 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT THURSDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL
IS LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR
DRAINAGE AND AT LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WILL
MEANWHILE MOVE NORTH FROM THE CARIBBEAN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL
JUST OFF OR NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST ENHANCING THE RAINFALL AND
WINDS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY WITH THIS
SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR DRAINAGE AND AT
LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES NORTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ095-302100-
CARTERET-
458 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT THURSDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
  FLOOD WATCH.
  HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
  COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.
  HIGH WIND WATCH.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL
IS LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR
DRAINAGE AND AT LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WILL
MEANWHILE MOVE NORTH FROM THE CARIBBEAN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL
JUST OFF OR NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST ENHANCING THE RAINFALL AND
WINDS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY WITH THIS
SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR DRAINAGE AND AT
LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES NORTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ098-302100-
ONSLOW-
458 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT THURSDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL
IS LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR
DRAINAGE AND AT LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WILL
MEANWHILE MOVE NORTH FROM THE CARIBBEAN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL
JUST OFF OR NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST ENHANCING THE RAINFALL AND
WINDS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY WITH THIS
SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR DRAINAGE AND AT
LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES NORTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ080-093-094-302100-
BEAUFORT-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
458 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL
IS LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR
DRAINAGE AND AT LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WILL
MEANWHILE MOVE NORTH FROM THE CARIBBEAN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL
JUST OFF OR NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST ENHANCING THE RAINFALL AND
WINDS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY WITH THIS
SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR DRAINAGE AND AT
LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES NORTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ047-081-302100-
MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE-
458 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL
IS LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR
DRAINAGE AND AT LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WILL
MEANWHILE MOVE NORTH FROM THE CARIBBEAN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL
JUST OFF OR NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST ENHANCING THE RAINFALL AND
WINDS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
AN ADDITIONAL SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY WITH THIS
SYSTEM AND THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POOR DRAINAGE AND AT
LEAST MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES NORTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 29, 3:12 PM EDT, 5 hours 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
312 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     FLOOD            ESE KENANSVILLE         34.96N 77.96W
09/29/2010                   DUPLIN             NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGH WATER ON SEVERAL ROADWAYS INCLUDING EDMIN BRISON RD

&&

PAGANO
Local storm report, Sep 29, 3:15 PM EDT, 5 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
315 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     FLOOD            3 SSW TRENTON           35.02N 77.37W
09/29/2010                   JONES              NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGH WATER ON SEVERAL ROADWAYS INCLUDING STATE RD- OLD
            KINSTON TRENTON RD NEAR HWY 58

&&

PAGANO
Special weather statement, Sep 29, 3:33 PM EDT, 5 hours 34 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
333 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

NCZ095-292145-
CARTERET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT...
EMERALD ISLE...NEWPORT
333 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND A HALF AN
INCH WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE THROUGH 500 PM. THIS
RAIN WILL BE FALLING IN AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...SO MINOR URBAN FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING
THIS AFTERNOON...SLOW DOWN ON AREA ROADWAYS TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

PAGANO
Special weather statement, Sep 29, 3:58 PM EDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
358 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

NCZ045-046-292100-
WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-
358 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT TYRRELL AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 500 PM EDT...

AT 358 PM EDT...THERE WERE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TYRRELL COUNTY...OR ABOUT 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF ENGELHARD...MOVING
NORTH AT 30 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR COLUMBIA...
AND...LEVELS AT 435 PM EDT. OTHER LOCATIONS TO BE AFFECTED BY THE
STORMS INCLUDE ALLIGATOR...FRYING PAN LANDING...GUM NECK...
KILKENNY...NEWFOUNDLAND AND WOODLEY.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN ON AREA
ROADWAYS TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THE WEATHER SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA.

28
Special weather statement, Sep 29, 5:07 PM EDT, 4 hours before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
507 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

NCZ046-292215-
TYRRELL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...COLUMBIA
507 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING NORTH ACROSS
TYRRELL COUNTY AT 30 MPH. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND AN
INCH WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 600 PM.
WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS.
MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN ON AREA ROADWAYS TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.
WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THE WEATHER SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA.
Special weather statement, Sep 29, 8:26 PM EDT, 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
826 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

NCZ092-093-095-098-300130-
JONES-CRAVEN-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
826 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ONSLOW...CARTERET...CRAVEN AND
JONES COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM EDT...

AT 826 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM 9
MILES SOUTH OF NEWPORT TO 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NORTH TOPSAIL
BEACH...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
NEAR NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH AT 840 PM EDT...PINEY GREEN AT 855 PM
EDT...PUMPKIN CENTER AT 900 PM EDT...JACKSONVILLE AT 905 PM
EDT...HALF MOON AT 910 PM EDT. OTHER LOCATIONS TO BE AFFECTED BY THE
STORMS INCLUDE CAMP LEJEUNE MAIN GATE AND NEW RIVER AIR STATION.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN ON AREA
ROADWAYS TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THE WEATHER SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA.

8

The office that day

Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 29, 8:22 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningMHXBeaufort, Carteret, Craven, Duplin, Greene, Jones and 4 more6 hr
Sep 29, 8:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXCarteret, Craven22 min
Sep 29, 9:07 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningMHXDuplin7 days
Sep 29, 9:07 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningMHXGreene62 hr
Sep 29, 9:07 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningMHXLenoir10 days
Sep 29, 9:19 PM EDTTornado WarningMHXBeaufort26 min
Sep 29, 10:31 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMHXBeaufort, Hyde, Martin, Pamlico, Tyrrell, Washington3 hr
Sep 29, 11:53 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMHX37 min
Sep 30, 12:55 AM EDTTornado WarningMHXBeaufort, Martin, Pitt35 min
Sep 30, 1:31 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMHXHyde, Tyrrell, Washington3 hr
Sep 30, 2:00 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningMHXJones13 hr
Sep 30, 2:17 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningMHXBeaufort, Carteret, Craven, Duplin, Greene, Jones and 5 more6 hr
Sep 30, 2:35 AM EDTTornado WarningMHXBeaufort, Hyde, Washington25 min
Sep 30, 4:17 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningMHXOnslow3 days
Sep 30, 4:32 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMHXHyde, Pamlico, Tyrrell, Washington3 hr
Sep 30, 7:07 AM EDTTornado WarningMHXMartin, Washington12 min
Sep 30, 7:49 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningMHXBeaufort, Carteret, Craven, Duplin, Greene, Hyde and 8 more6 hr
Sep 30, 11:36 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningMHXCraven8 days
Sep 30, 1:41 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningMHXBeaufort, Carteret, Craven, Duplin, Greene, Jones and 6 more6 hr
Sep 30, 2:36 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningMHXJones8 days
Sep 30, 5:20 PM EDTTornado WarningMHXMartin, Washington10 min
Sep 30, 6:27 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningMHXBeaufort, Carteret, Craven, Jones, Martin, Onslow and 2 more3 hr
Sep 30, 7:04 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningMHXDuplin, Greene, Lenoir6 hr
Sep 30, 7:10 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningMHXWashington6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2010Every river flood warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.