Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Miami, FL

533 
WGUS72 KMFL 012036
FFSMFL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
336 PM EST MON FEB 1 2010

FLC086-012230-
/O.CON.KMFL.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100201T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MIAMI-DADE FL-
336 PM EST MON FEB 1 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EST FOR EAST
CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...

AT 333 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE HEAVY RAIN FROM MIAMI BEACH ACROSS DOWNTOWN MIAMI AND INTO 
CORAL GABLES.

ANYWHERE FROM 1 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND ALTHOUGH THE 
HEAVIEST RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA, FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO 
BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF 
DITCHES... URBAN AREAS... HIGHWAYS... STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS 
WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 2580 8011 2574 8014 2573 8016 2574 8017
      2573 8022 2568 8026 2564 8032 2571 8038
      2584 8017 2576 8018 2576 8017 2578 8014
      2584 8014 2586 8015 2588 8011

$$

TINGLER

779 
WGUS72 KMFL 012126
FFSMFL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
426 PM EST MON FEB 1 2010

FLC086-012135-
/O.CAN.KMFL.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100201T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MIAMI-DADE FL-
426 PM EST MON FEB 1 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR EAST CENTRAL
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...

RAINFALL RATES HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE AREA AND FLASH FLOODING IS 
NO LONGER LIKELY... HOWEVER PONDING OF WATER ON POORLY DRAINED 
ROADWAYS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

LAT...LON 2580 8011 2574 8014 2573 8016 2574 8017
      2573 8022 2568 8026 2564 8032 2571 8038
      2584 8017 2576 8018 2576 8017 2578 8014
      2584 8014 2586 8015 2588 8011

$$

TINGLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
223 PM EST MON FEB 1 2010

.DISCUSSION...

THE COMBINATION OF A SLOWLY NORTHWARD MOVING WARM  FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION...ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
OCCURRING ACROSS THE REGION HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF A FLOOD
WATCH ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

THE LATEST GUIDANCE STILL IN LINE WITH THE SYNOPTIC SITUATION
OUTLINED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS...I.E. A WARM FRONT IS LIFTING
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND WITH A SURFACE LOW FORECAST
TO DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN GULF TO THE WEST OF SOUTH FLORIDA BY
THIS EVENING. THE SURFACE LOW IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD
AND EASTWARD TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY WITH SOUTH FLORIDA THEN IN THE
WARM SECTOR TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THE SURFACE
LOW IS FORECAST TO BE EAST OF THE CAROLINA COAST WITH THE TRAILING
COLD FRONT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE COLD FRONT IS THEN
EXPECTED TO QUICKLY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AND BEGIN TO EXIT THE
REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PART OF THE COUNTRY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA PUSHING THE FRONT SOUTHWARD AND INTO THE FLORIDA
STRAITS.

AS THE WARM FRONT MOVES NORTHWARD TODAY...THIS WILL KEEP CHANCES
OF PRECIP ACROSS THE CWA ELEVATED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. FOR
THE OOZ TO 12Z TIME FRAME ON TUESDAY NUMEROUS SHOWERS STILL
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE OVER THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES NORTH AND EAST
TONIGHT THE GREATEST INSTABILITY WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE CWA. THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC AND DYNAMIC CONDITIONS ARE NOT
FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HARDLY ANY OCCURRING OVER THE
REGION NOW. BUT WILL MAINTAIN A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER THE AREA
OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
WITH THE FRONT THEN EXPECTED TO EXIT THE REGION TUESDAY EVENING.

THE TEMPERATURE IMPACTS ACROSS THE CWA WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
WILL NOT BE VERY SIGNIFICANT AS THE NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS FLORIDA BEHIND
THE FRONT ON TUESDAY NIGHT IS FORECAST TO BE NORTHEAST BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EASTERLY BY THURSDAY WITH JUST A SLIGHT
COOL DOWN ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
LATEST GUIDANCE INDICATES WINDS ACROSS THE OFF SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS
TO THE EAST OF PALM BEACH COUNTY COULD BE IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT
RANGE BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE SETTLEMENT POINT OBSERVATION
INDICATING WINDS CURRENTLY AT THAT RANGE. THEREFORE A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THAT MARINE ZONE FOR FOR THE FIRST
PERIOD AND EARLY TUESDAY. AFTER 06Z THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
DECREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

SEAS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO NEAR 7 FEET OVER THE GULF STREAM
WATERS ON WEDNESDAY AS NORTHERLY FLOW BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION
BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  68  81  57  74 / 80 50 10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE  69  81  60  74 / 70 40 10 10
MIAMI            69  82  61  76 / 60 40 10 10
NAPLES           64  74  55  74 / 70 30 10 10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL
     COLLIER-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-FAR SOUTH
     MIAMI DADE-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-INLAND COLLIER-
     INLAND MIAMI DADE-INLAND PALM BEACH-MAINLAND MONROE-METRO
     BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-METRO PALM BEACH.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY
     FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH,
     FL OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH,
     FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.

GM...NONE.
&&

LONG TERM...15/JR
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...60/BD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
930 AM EST MON FEB 1 2010

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-021100-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
930 AM EST MON FEB 1 2010

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TODAY...
...MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC COAST BEACHES...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE GREATEST THREATS FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

FLOODING: AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WILL IMPACT
SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. THESE RAINS
COULD LEAD TO MINOR URBAN FLOODING, ESPECIALLY ON SOME ROADWAYS AND
IN OTHER AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE.

RIP CURRENTS: EASTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WILL CREATE A MODERATE
RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST BEACHES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

THE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE GRADUALLY WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AS EASTERLY FLOW
STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, BUT SPOTTERS ARE URGED TO
REPORT ANY LOCALIZED FLOODING OR RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER 2 INCHES
THROUGH TONIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI
WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.