Tornado Warning 29, NWS Little Rock, AR

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS WILL BRING BREEZY
CONDITIONS TO ARKANSAS ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT WINDS OF 15
TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE. THEREFORE...A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING.

A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL PUSH
TOWARDS ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE STALLING
ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME SEVERE AS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY AND WIND
SHEAR WILL BE IN PLACE. LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE
THE MAIN THREATS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE.

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD
COVER EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE. IF CLOUDS ARE ABLE TO BREAK UP SOME
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AVAILABLE FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND PERSISTENCE WILL INCREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY.

AREA RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO REFER TO THE LATEST FORECASTS THIS
MORNING AND AFTERNOON FOR UPDATES REGARDING THIS DEVELOPING SEVERE
WEATHER SITUATION AS THE LATEST DATA IS ANALYZED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR
SATURDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS AND MOVES NORTHEAST
ALONG THE STALLED FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS ARKANSAS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE. SOME
OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE...AS LARGE
AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY...AND STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL BE IN PLACE.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES CONTINUING.

THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO
THIRDS OF ARKANSAS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS SATURDAY.

FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BECOME A THREAT SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS STALLED FRONT. EXPECT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
NATURAL STATE. LOCATIONS ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF ARKANSAS...OR
ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM NEWPORT TO MONTICELLO...COULD SEE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION
ENDS. LOCALIZED RIVER FLOODING WILL ALSO BECOME A CONCERN IN THE
FOLLOWING DAYS AS A RESULT OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED.

BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR SATURDAY...AS WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH
WILL BE COMMON...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 30 MPH POSSIBLE. THEREFORE...A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED ONCE AGAIN SATURDAY.

THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL ALSO PERSIST INTO SUNDAY AS
THE FRONT SLOWLY PROGRESSES EAST ACROSS THE STATE. THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER SUNDAY WILL BE ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD
OF ARKANSAS.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES EAST OF
ARKANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

62

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