Tornado Warning 19, NWS Lubbock, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
406 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2010

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT STALLED JUST SOUTH OF LUBBOCK THIS
MORNING. SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WITH DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER
60S OVERRUNNING THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE BOTH SEVERE WEATHER
THREATS AS WELL AS FLOODING. WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR FLOODING
AND SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUE IN EFFECT.

THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY TUESDAY...THUS DECREASING
THE FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR HEAVY RAIN. LATER IN THE WEEK...UPPER
HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER THE AREA...SLOWLY
DECREASING BUT NOT TOTALLY ELIMINATING THE RAIN CHANCES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        59  87  63  92  66 /  30  30  20  20  20
TULIA         61  86  64  91  67 /  40  30  20  10  10
PLAINVIEW     61  86  65  92  67 /  40  30  20  10  10
LEVELLAND     64  89  65  93  68 /  40  30  20  10  10
LUBBOCK       64  88  67  93  69 /  50  30  20  10  10
DENVER CITY   66  91  66  95  69 /  40  30  20  10  20
BROWNFIELD    65  90  66  94  69 /  40  30  20  10  10
CHILDRESS     65  89  68  94  71 /  50  30  20  10  10
SPUR          65  90  68  94  70 /  60  30  20  10  10
ASPERMONT     70  94  70  96  73 /  60  30  20  10  10

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: TXZ025-026-030>032-035>038-040>044.

&&

99/04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1105 AM CDT MON JUN 14 2010

TXZ021>044-151615-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1105 AM CDT MON JUN 14 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

CONVECTIVE

AT 11 AM THIS MORNING...A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED
ALONG A LINE FROM BROWNFIELD TO SLATON TO MATADOR TO NEAR CHILDRESS.
VERY UNSTABLE AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS FRONT.
MULTICELL AND A FEW SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON MAINLY
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF LARGE
HAIL... DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
WITH THESE STORMS. ISOLATED TORNADOES COULD DEVELOP AS STORMS
TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THIS BOUNDARY.

FLOODING

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
DURING THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS
EAST INTO THE ROLLING PLAINS. GIVEN A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES APPROACHING 2 INCHES...AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS WITH INTENSE RAINFALL
RATES...FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING MAY DEVELOP OVER THIS AREA
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE EVENING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS INTO
THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS A LESSER THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE FAR
SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY ALSO BE NEEDED TUESDAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
429 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     TSTM WND GST     6 S OLTON               34.09N 102.14W
06/14/2010  M75 MPH          LAMB               TX   MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000237

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
430 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     HAIL             PLAINVIEW               34.19N 101.72W
06/14/2010  E1.75 INCH       HALE               TX   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000238

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
432 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0431 PM     HAIL             PLAINVIEW               34.19N 101.72W
06/14/2010  E1.75 INCH       HALE               TX   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000239

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
449 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HAIL             HALFWAY                 34.19N 101.95W
06/14/2010  E1.75 INCH       HALE               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000240

JM

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