Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Northern Indiana
NWS Northern Indiana issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 21, 2010, 4:02 PM EDT for Branch County, Saint Joseph County, Michigan. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 21, 2010, 4:02 PM EDT (20:02 UTC)
- Expired
- May 21, 2010, 4:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 43 min
- Issued by
- NWS Northern Indiana
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Branch County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI
The radar
The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2419 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -21 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -47 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 21, 3:59 PM EDT, 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 21, 3:59 PM EDT, 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 359 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2010 .SHORT TERM... TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...THE MAIN CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS...BUT ALSO FOR FLOODING. SOME TRAINING OF STORMS ON THE LATEST RADAR SCANS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN... SO GIVEN REPORTS OF SOME FLOODING IN ELKHART AND RADAR/SFC REPORTS OF HEAVY RAIN...WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN. SPC MESO ANALYSIS INDICATES CAPE VALUES HAVE RISEN OVER 1000 J/KG OVER SOUTHEAST AREAS WHERE STORMS HAVE YET TO OCCUR. ONGOING CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONT WILL LIKELY MAKE IT HARDER FOR STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE OVER WEST AREAS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...HOWEVER...GIVEN CELL MERGERS ON RADAR AND SOME EARLIER REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE IN ELKHART AND THREE RIVERS...THE POTENTIAL FOR STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE... THE UPPER LOW WAS OVER NE IL AND WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST AS A LARGE TROF DIGS DOWNSTREAM. PRECIPITATION SHOULD END FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. HAVE ADDED SOME DRIZZLE OVERNIGHT GIVEN UPPER AIR PROFILES. OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS SHOULD DRY OUT SATURDAY. && .LONG TERM... SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LITTLE CHNG TO ONGOING CONSISTENT AND WARM LONG TERM PD. 12 UTC GUIDANCE SUITES TRENDING TOWARD GENERAL CONSENSUS...WITH HIR CONFIDENCE FOR WARM/DRY FCST ESPCLY DYS3-6. ERN CONSENSUS REX BLOCK AT START OF LONG TERM WITH INCRSGLY STRONG UPSTREAM MIDLVL RIDGING FM SRN MS RVR VLY INTO CNTL GRTLKS...WITH MID LVL ANTICYCLONE REACHING CRESCENDO ACRS ERN/CTNL GRTLKS BY 00 UTC WED. LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE TO ANCHOR FM SRN MO INTO WRN GRTLKS BY SUN AFTN AS WRN CONUS TROF SHARPENS COURTESY FUJIWHARA BTWN ALB/SASK WAVE AND STRONGLY TROP FOLDED ENERGY NOW ONTO WA/OR COAST. STRONG DOWNSTERAM RIDGE BLOCK TO HOLD ERLY/MIDWEEK CONVECTION WELL WEST OF CWA...FOCUSED IN HIR 1000-859MB THETA-E STREAM. SOME CONCERN FOR FRONTAL SYSTEM LAYING OUT E-W ACRS NRN GRTLKS DY6-7 TIMEFRAME AS IT BEGINS TO SAG SWD...POTNLY SPARKING SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY. HOWEVER AS FURTHER UPSTREAM/INTERNATIONAL DATELINE SHORTWAVE PROGGED TO REDIG WRN TROF DEEPER AND FURTHER WEST BY END OF FCST PD...HAVE SOME RESERVATIONS ON FRONTS IMPACT WRT SENSIBLE WEATHER AS WARM MIDLVL CAPPING INVERSION SHOULD HAVE TIME TO REACH FULL MATURATION AND WITH BEST SFC FNTL CONVERGENCE AND MIDLVL COLD POOL VERY WELL COULD REMAIN ACRS CAN INTO NEW ENGLAND/LOWR GRTLKS FOR DY7...AND WL KEEP ENTIRE EXTND WARM/DRY FOR NOW AND AWAIT A MORE COHERENT PRECIP SIGNAL. && .AVIATION... HAVE ADJUSTED THE TIMING OF SHWRS/STORMS INTO THE SBN AND FWA TERMINALS EARLY IN THE PERIODS. AN UPPER LOW WAS OVER CENTRAL IL AND WAS LIFTING NORTH. SHWRS AND STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND AS A SFC FRONT APPROACH. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...NONE. MI...NONE. OH...NONE. LM...NONE. && SHORT TERM...SKIPPER LONG TERM...MURPHY AVIATION...SKIPPER
Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 3:20 AM EDT, 12 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 320 AM EDT FRI MAY 21 2010 INZ003>009-012-014-016>018-025>027-033-034-LMZ043-046-MIZ077>081- OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-220730- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE- MARSHALL-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-BLACKFORD- JAY-NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI- MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI- BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM- VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON... PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY... SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN... DECATUR...BERNE...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON... ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA... PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 320 AM EDT FRI MAY 21 2010 /220 AM CDT FRI MAY 21 2010/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO... SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...NORTHERN INDIANA AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE TODAY WITH PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS AND RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS. MINOR FLOODING OF A FEW RIVER POINTS IS POSSIBLE HEADING INTO THIS WEEKEND. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX INZ013-015-020-022>024-032-220730- PULASKI-FULTON IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...ROCHESTER... MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH... NORTH MANCHESTER...MARION 320 AM EDT FRI MAY 21 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE GREATEST THREATS. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE TODAY WITH PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS AND RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS. MINOR FLOODING OF A FEW RIVER POINTS IS POSSIBLE HEADING INTO THIS WEEKEND. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX ARNOTT
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 21, 2:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, May 21, 3:12 PM EDT, 50 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, May 21, 4:00 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, May 21, 4:02 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 11:48 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Pulaski, Starke | 57 min |
| May 21, 12:54 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | LaPorte, Marshall, Saint Joseph, Starke | 51 min |
| May 21, 3:01 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | IWX | Elkhart | 119 min |
| May 21, 3:49 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | IWX | Allen, DeKalb, Huntington, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben and 2 more | 116 min |
| May 21, 5:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Allen | 57 min |
| May 21, 5:49 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | IWX | Allen, DeKalb, Huntington, Steuben, Wells | 3 hr |
| May 21, 7:38 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | IWX | Elkhart | 64 hr |
| May 21, 7:41 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Allen | 34 min |
| May 21, 3:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Cass, Saint Joseph | 51 min |
| May 21, 4:50 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | IWX | Branch, Hillsdale | 3 hr |
| May 21, 6:08 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | IWX | Hillsdale | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2010Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.