Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 55, NWS Green Bay, WI

July 27, 2010Shawano County, Waupaca County, Wisconsin

NWS Green Bay, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 27, 2010, 3:31 PM CDT for Shawano County, Waupaca County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2010, 3:31 PM CDT (20:31 UTC)
Expired
Jul 27, 2010, 4:15 PM CDT
In force
44 min
Issued by
NWS Green Bay, WI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Shawano County, WI, Waupaca County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 375 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2010-07-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2143 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2010-07-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 220 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2143 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-90 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
832 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
220 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
256 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.9
Supercell composite
21.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Green Bay, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 27, 3:31 PM CDT, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 3:31 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
331 PM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

FORECAST CONCERNS ON PCPN POTENTIAL WITH ADVANCING COLD FRONT.
MCV FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION AND LLVL JET HAS MAINTAINED
CONVECTION THROUGH THE DAY OVER CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST WI.
QUESTION IS WHAT THE DAYS RAIN HAS DONE TO POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL STORMS. VARIETY OF BOUNDARIES LEFT BEHIND IN ADDITION
TO WARM FRONT VCNTY MSP AND COLD FRONT WESTERN MN. HAVE TRENDED
TOWARDS SCENARIO PORTRAYED IN RAPID UPDATE RUC...WITH DEVELOPMENT
WESTERN WI/EASTERN MN...AND ADVANCING LINE OVERNIGHT WITH THE COLD
FRONT. STILL CAPPED A BIT IN MSP AREA GIVEN 18Z SOUNDING...THOUGH
NO INHIBITION AND 1200 CAPE IN GRB. SLIGHT RISK REMAINS FOR HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WI...WITH INCREASING
SHEAR AS JET SINKS SOUTH INTO WESTERN LAKES. PRECIP WATERS STILL IN 1.5
TO 2 INCH RANGE WITH ONE INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ALREADY REPORTED IN
CENTRAL WI THIS AFTERNOON. POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 1.5 INCH AMOUNTS
OVER CWA TONIGHT...NAM/RUC POINT TO NORTHERN WI...THOUGH
CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST LOW.

FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS. 850 FLOW SHIFTS NW
WITH DRIER CONDITIONS BY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THRU NEXT TUESDAY. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE AREA TO DOMINATE THE AREA/S WEATHER INTO FRIDAY. IN
GENERAL...THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AREA IS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER
THE GREAT LAKES REGION WHILE THE RETURN FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THE HIGH REMAINS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. MODELS HAVE BEEN
ATTEMPTING TO SLIDE SOME PCPN INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
INTO SUNDAY PERIOD. THIS MORNING MODEL RUNS HAVE TRENDED WITH
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHIFT NORTH INTO IOWA LATER FRIDAY AS A SHORT
WAVE TROF WITH A RRQ REGION OF THE UPPER JET SLIDES SEWD OVER OR
NEAR THE FORECAST AREA. GFS IS VERY AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS FEATURE
WHILE THE NAM KEEPS THESE DYNAMICS FURTHER SOUTH AND WEST.
AT THIS TIME WILL CONFINE BEST CHC OF RAIN FOR AREAS SOUTH AND
WEST OF THE AREA LATE FRIDAY INTO THE FRIDAY NIGHT PERIOD. REMOVED
THE AFTERNOON CHC FOR SATURDAY...MAY BE NEEDED LATER ON BUT THE THREAT
OF THIS BOUNDARY SHIFTING TOWARD TOWARD THE REGION IS
QUESTIONABLE. DUE TO LACK OF CONSISTENCY WITH FEATURES FOR FOCUS
OF CONVECTION...AFTER FRIDAY NIGHT WILL LEAN TOWARD A DRIER
FORECAST UNTIL THE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY TIME WHERE MDM PROGS
ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT FAR OUT WITH A FROPA PASSAGE.
&&

.AVIATION...COLD FRONT ADVANCING THROUGH STATE TONIGHT WILL BRING
THUNDERSTORMS TO AREA THIS EVENING INTO OVERNIGHT HOURS. VFR
CONDITIONS BEHIND FRONT WED AFTERNOON.
&&

.HYDROLOGY...HIGH RAINFALL RATES AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON ONE TO
TWO INCHES AGAIN INCREASES RISK OF FLOODING.  SEE ESF.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

TE/TDH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 27, 5:16 AM CDT, 10 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
516 AM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-281030-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-
WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-
MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN OCONTO-
516 AM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ACROSS NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN
THREATS WITH THESE STORMS...BUT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-281030-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
516 AM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND
GUSTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THESE STORMS MAY POSE A
HAZARD FOR SMALL CRAFT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 27, 11:18 AM CDT, 4 hours 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1118 AM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

WIZ010-011-019-271715-
FOREST-LANGLADE-ONEIDA-
1118 AM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 1115 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ELCHO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 30 MPH...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CRANDON BY 1150 AM CDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

TE
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 11:51 AM CDT, 3 hours 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1151 AM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

WIZ030-035-036-271745-
MARATHON-PORTAGE-WOOD-
1151 AM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 1147 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING NEAR
MARSHFIELD TO 10 MILES WEST OF WISCONSIN RAPIDS...MOVING EAST
AT 25 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 30 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WISCONSIN RAPIDS BY 1215 PM CDT...
  WHITING AND STEVENS POINT BY 1245 PM CDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

TE
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 12:44 PM CDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1244 PM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

WIZ035-036-045-271945-
PORTAGE-WAUSHARA-WOOD-
1244 PM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 1236 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 35 MILES WEST OF WAUTOMA...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PLAINFIELD BY 215 PM CDT...
  WAUTOMA BY 245 PM CDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.

TDH
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 12:58 PM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1258 PM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

WIZ018-019-030-271900-
LANGLADE-LINCOLN-MARATHON-
1258 PM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 1248 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM TOMAHAWK TO
MEDFORD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MERRILL BY 130 PM CDT...
  WAUSAU AND RIB MOUNTAIN BY 200 PM CDT...

NO REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN PRICE AND TAYLOR
COUNTIES WITH THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS SO FAR.

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE
PASSED.

TDH
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 2:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
209 PM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

WIZ019-020-030-031-272015-
LANGLADE-MARATHON-MENOMINEE-SHAWANO-
209 PM CDT TUE JUL 27 2010

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL RAIN OVER CENTRAL WISCONSIN...

AT 200 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF
ANTIGO TO WAUSAU...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WITTENBERG BY 245 PM CDT...
  NEOPIT BY 250 PM CDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

TDH
Local storm report, Jul 27, 2:53 PM CDT, 38 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Green Bay, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 10:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBLincoln40 min
Jul 27, 1:41 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGRBLincoln109 min
Jul 27, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBOutagamie, Shawano, Waupaca28 min
Jul 27, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBFlorence, Forest45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2010Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.