Severe Thunderstorm Warning 43, NWS Green Bay, WI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
331 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2010

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR NORTH FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. STORMS APPROACHING GREEN BAY
HAVE WEAKENED FOR THE MOMENT. ANOTHER LINE OF SEVERE
WAS LOCATED ACROSS WESTERN WISCONSIN. A THIRD LINE OF
SEVERE STORMS WAS LOCATED ACROSS MINNESOTA WITH THE
ACTUAL COLD FRONT. FOR THIS EVENING...EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO
CONTINUE WITH THE MENTION OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL RATES IN THE HEAVIER STORMS
WERE IN THE 2 TO 3 INCH PER HOUR. PRECIPITATION WILL COME
TO END OR DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY. IT WILL
STILL BE A VERY WARM DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S
AT MOST PLACES.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY...MAIN FCST CONCERNS
ARE PCPN CHCS LATE IN THE WEEKEND...AND AGAIN TOWARD MIDWEEK.

ZONAL WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES AND A COUPLE FRONTAL SYSTEMS MOVG THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA. THE FIRST SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH WI SAT NGT/SUN...
ACCOMPANIED BY A THREAT OF TSTMS...AND POSSIBLY ANOTHER ROUND OF SVR
WX. HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE RGN FOR MON/TUES...WITH
THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVG INTO THE PLAINS BY MIDWEEK. DEVELOPING WAA IN
ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM COULD BRING A CHC OF TSTMS TUES NGT/WEDS...
ESP OVER OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
&&

.AVIATION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS
WILL PRODUCE IFR/LIFR VISIBILITIES DUE TO HEAVY RAIN. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END ACROSS
THE NORTH AND WEST LATE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...
THEN ACROSS EASTERN WISCONSIN LATER TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE STATE ON THURSDAY. FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS CAN BE
EXPECTED ON WESTERLY WINDS THAT COULD GUST TO 25 KNOTS BY LATE
THURSDAY MORNING INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

ECKBERG/KIECKBUSCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
834 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2010

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-160145-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-
WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-
MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN OCONTO-
834 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. IT
IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION COULD BE NEEDED.

LMZ521-522-541>543-160145-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
834 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. A FEW COULD PRODUCE STRONG
WINDS. AREAS OF DENSE MARINE FOG COULD ALSO CAUSE NAVIGATION PROBLEMS
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. IT
IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.
AREAS OF FOG WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY MORNING THAT MAY POSE
NAVIGATION PROBLEMS.

ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1122 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 PM     HEAVY RAIN       PLOVER                  44.45N 89.53W
07/14/2010  M2.62 INCH       PORTAGE            WI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            DAILY TOTAL. 1.24 INCHES OF RAIN FELL DURING 3RD ROUND OF
            STORMS FROM 1040-1115 PM.

&&

BERSCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1123 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WAUPACA                 44.34N 89.06W
07/14/2010                   WAUPACA            WI   PUBLIC

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

BERSCH

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