Tornado Warning 23, NWS Kansas City, MO

541 
WWUS53 KEAX 200335
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1035 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

MOC115-211-200415-
/O.CON.KEAX.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-100720T0415Z/
LINN MO-SULLIVAN MO-
1035 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SULLIVAN AND NORTH CENTRAL
LINN COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL 1115 PM CDT...

AT 1031 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 10 
MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HUMPHREYS.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR 
REGER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MILAN...BROWNING AND WINIGAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 4017 9286 4009 9286 4004 9287 3995 9307
      4021 9337 4030 9318
TIME...MOT...LOC 0334Z 305DEG 16KT 4016 9318

$$

DUX

661 
WWUS53 KEAX 200347
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1047 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

MOC115-211-200415-
/O.CON.KEAX.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-100720T0415Z/
LINN MO-SULLIVAN MO-
1047 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SULLIVAN AND NORTH CENTRAL
LINN COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL 1115 PM CDT...

AT 1042 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING 
TORNADOES.  THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF 
MILAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THIS STORM MAY ALSO BE CAPABLE 
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WINDS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WINIGAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 4017 9286 4009 9286 4004 9287 3995 9307
      4021 9337 4030 9318
TIME...MOT...LOC 0346Z 310DEG 23KT 4010 9310

$$

DUX

688 
WWUS53 KEAX 200353
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1053 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

MOC115-211-200415-
/O.CON.KEAX.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-100720T0415Z/
LINN MO-SULLIVAN MO-
1053 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN SULLIVAN AND
NORTH CENTRAL LINN COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL 1115 PM
CDT...

AT 1051 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF BROWNING...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF
MILAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WINIGAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 4017 9286 4009 9286 4004 9287 3995 9307
      4009 9322 4024 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0353Z 310DEG 23KT 4007 9306

$$

DUX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
348 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT:
A VERY COMPLEX SURFACE PATTERN EXISTS ACROSS THE REGION
WITH NUMEROUS BOUNDARIES TO ACCOUNT FOR AND AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS FOR ANY BOUNDARY TO WORK WITH. THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON/THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO BE
ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA/FAR NORTHERN MISSOURI. A BAND OF MID LEVEL
CLOUDS HAS LIMITED THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY IN THIS AREA BUT AS THIS
CLOUD AREA MOVES TO THE EAST DESTABILIZATION WILL LEAD TO EXTREME
INSTABILITY ON THE ORDER OF 3000 TO 4000 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY WILL
OCCUR IN A REGION OF STRONGER UPPER LEVEL WINDS AND AS A RESULT
SHEAR WILL BE ENOUGH THAT SHOULD STORMS DEVELOP THEY WILL LIKELY
QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE WITH SUPERCELLS THE PRIMARY CONVECTIVE MODE
INITIALLY. THE STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO A CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX AND TRACK TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA/NORTHERN
MISSOURI. CONFIDENCE IS STILL SOMEWHAT LOW REGARDING THIS SCENARIO AS
THERE ARE SEVERAL NEGATIVES INCLUDING HOW RAPID A RECOVERY CAN BE
ACHIEVED.

TUESDAY:
CONTINUED THE HEAT HEADLINES AS IS THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT PUSHED THROUGH CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON
KEPT TEMPERATURES IN CHECK AND WITH THE MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK MOVING
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THAT WAS IN THE HEAT ADVISORY MAY NOT HAVE SEEN
THE EXCESSIVE HEAT. IT APPEARS ANOTHER CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WILL MOVE
THROUGH OUR NORTHERN/EASTERN ZONES SPREADING ANOTHER OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD SIMILAR TO MONDAY. CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS STILL
FAIRLY LOW AND GIVEN THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN THE REGION AND VERY
WARM TEMPERATURES LIKELY FEEL THAT AT THIS TIME A CONTINUATION OF THE
HEAT HEADLINES AS IS WAS THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO. THAT SAID...THE
METRO AREA WILL CONTINUE TO SEE AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES CLIMBING
TO AROUND 110 WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER VALUES FURTHER NORTH. THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY FOR AREAS GENERALLY NORTH OF THE
MISSOURI RIVER...WHICH THROWS ANOTHER WRINKLE INTO HOW FAR NORTH THE
HEAT WILL MAKE IT TOMORROW. GIVEN THE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR FOR
STORMS TO WORK WITH THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR SEVERE STORMS AS WELL.

WEDNESDAY:
THE PATTERN REMAINS SIMILAR INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. WITH
CONVECTIVE CHANCES LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON ALONG A SLOW
MOVING BOUNDARY. CONFIDENCE IN CARRYING THE HEAT HEADLINES INTO
WEDNESDAY IS FAIRLY LOW. WILL LET SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS ASSESS THE NEED
FOR ANY CONTINUATION. REGARDING CONVECTION...THE EXTREMELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS WILL PERSIST WITH SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF
SEVERE STORMS.

THURSDAY-MONDAY:

SIGNIFICANT LEE TROUGHING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR ON THURSDAY...COINCIDENT WITH A 597DM RIDGE OVER THE SERN US.
THIS SHOULD EFFECTIVELY PLACE THE ENTIRE CWA WELL INTO THE WARM
SECTOR WITH MCS ACTIVITY SHIFTING WELL NORTH OF THE REGION.
THUS...CONFIDENCE IS HIGHEST ON DAY 4 OF A GENERALLY DRY/CAPPED DAY
WITH VERY HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS PREVAILING.

THEREAFTER...A NORTHERN STREAM WAVE PROGRESSING THROUGH THE UPPER
MIDWEST WILL HELP FORCE THE BELT OF WEST/NORTHWEST MID LEVEL FLOW TO
LOWER LATITUDES...DRIVING A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
AND INTO THE CWA. SHOWER/STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE WITH THIS
FEATURE DURING THE FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY TIME FRAME...WITH
SOME RELIEF EXPECTED SATURDAY. HOWEVER...AN EXPECTED STALLING AND
GRADUAL NORTHWARD RETURN OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A
VERY DIRTY UPPER RIDGE WITH CHAOTIC FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE REGION
FOR SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY. WILL FAVOR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE
ABSENCE OF ANY HEIGHT ANOMALIES...WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS EXPECTED ALONG THE REMNANT SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY.

BOOKBINDER

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...A COMPLEX SURFACE PATTERN EXISTS OVER THE REGION.
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WAS WASHING OUT BETWEEN MCI AND STJ WITH
STATIONARY FROM THE STJ AREA TO THE WEST WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
IN NORTHERN KANSAS. DESPITE AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH THE
GUST FRONT IN THE VICINITY OF THE TERMINALS...VERY WARM AIR ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO INHIBIT CONVECTION AT MCI AND MKC. ALSO...MID LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE LEADING TO A BIT COOLER AND SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE AIRMASS
ACROSS NORTHERN KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI WHICH WILL ALSO INHIBIT
CONVECTIVE CHANCES. NONE-THE-LESS...ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER EASTERN NEBRASKA AND TRACK TO THE
EAST/SOUTHEAST ALONG THE EDGE OF THE CAP. THIS MAY IMPACT STJ BUT
CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW SO HAVE ONLY INCLUDED A CB GROUP. FOR THE
OVERNIGHT...A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WHICH MAY
LEAD TO LLWS AT THE TERMINALS.

CDB

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR MOZ011>014-020>023-
     030>033-038>040-046.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR MOZ028-029-037-
     043>045-053-054.

KS...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR KSZ025-102.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR KSZ057-060-
     103>105.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
548 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-202300-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
548 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HEAT INDICES WILL CONTINUE FROM THE 100 TO 110 DEGREE RANGE THROUGH
EARLY EVENING FROM AREAS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ST JOSEPH TO
CHILLICOTHE TO BOONVILLE.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN
MISSOURI OR SOUTHERN IOWA...GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM MOUND CITY
MISSOURI TO CHILLICOTHE TO MOBERLY. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS
INITIALLY WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE STORMS MAY FORM INTO A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX AND
TRACK EAST SOUTHEAST LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARDS
WITH THIS COMPLEX WILL BE FROM DAMAGING WINDS. ADDITIONALLY ANY
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINS...WHICH
MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS TO SEE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FAR NORTHERN MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AND THEN GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM ST. JOSEPH
TO MOBERLY LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

MORE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A
WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE SITTING ACROSS AREAS FROM KANSAS CITY
TO MACON...WITH STORMS POSSIBLE ALONG AND TO THE NORTH OF THIS FRONT.
BY THURSDAY...THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BACK NORTH INTO IOWA WITH
MORE HEAT AND HIGH HUMIDITY VALUES...WHICH MAY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL
ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS.

THE MAIN THREATS FROM ANY STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

SOME RELIEF FROM THE HEAT MAY OCCUR BY NEXT WEEKEND AS MORE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY AGAIN RETURN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
MAINLY IN NORTHERN MISSOURI...NORTH OF A LINE FROM ST JOSEPH TO
FAYETTE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
900 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0856 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 N MERCER              40.57N 93.53W
07/19/2010                   MERCER             MO   PUBLIC

&&

DB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
931 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0926 PM     TORNADO          5 E PRINCETON           38.49N 95.18W
07/19/2010                   FRANKLIN           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PARTLY RAIN-WRAPPED

&&

DB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
933 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0926 PM     TORNADO          5 E PRINCETON           40.40N 93.49W
07/19/2010                   MERCER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PARTLY RAIN-WRAPPED

&&

DB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1005 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

MOZ008-017-025-200345-
ADAIR MO-MACON MO-SCHUYLER MO-
1005 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SCHUYLER...ADAIR AND
NORTHERN MACON COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 PM CDT...

AT 1001 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NOVINGER...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
KIRKSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  KIRKSVILLE...LA PLATA...BRASHEAR...MILLARD...KIRKSVILLE REGIONAL...
  SOUTH GIFFORD...GIBBS AND ELMER.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 3992 9275 4030 9285 4039 9249 4027 9235
      4004 9234
TIME...MOT...LOC 0305Z 332DEG 23KT 4025 9266

DUX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1014 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0958 PM     TORNADO          2 NE OSGOOD             40.22N 93.32W
07/19/2010                   SULLIVAN           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR

&&

DB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1023 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1022 PM     TORNADO          3 SW MILAN              40.17N 93.16W
07/19/2010                   SULLIVAN           MO   STORM CHASER

            RELAYED THROUGH HAM OPERATOR

&&

21