Severe Thunderstorm Warning 167, NWS Cleveland, OH

858 
WWUS51 KCLE 050216
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1016 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

OHC033-063-147-175-050245-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-100805T0245Z/
HANCOCK OH-CRAWFORD OH-WYANDOT OH-SENECA OH-
1016 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM EDT
FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...AND SENECA...WYANDOT AND
EASTERN HANCOCK COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST OHIO...

AT 1009 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM FOSTORIA TO NEW RIEGEL TO CAREY TO MARSEILLES TO 15
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARSEILLES...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THERE WAS A REPORT OF WINDS SPEEDS OF 61 MPH AT FINDLAY AIRPORT.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE...UPPER
SANDUSKY...TIFFIN...SYCAMORE...HARPSTER...NEVADA...REPUBLIC...
BLOOMVILLE...CHATFIELD...BUCYRUS AND NEW WASHINGTON.

LAT...LON 4089 8366 4116 8366 4117 8342 4125 8341
      4125 8284 4100 8283 4099 8272 4072 8273
      4070 8329 4069 8330 4068 8342 4070 8349
      4080 8349 4081 8371
TIME...MOT...LOC 0214Z 269DEG 39KT 4119 8335 4104 8331
          4089 8329 4073 8341 4053 8350

$$

FITZ

081 
WWUS51 KCLE 050242
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1042 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

OHC033-063-147-175-050250-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-100805T0245Z/
HANCOCK OH-CRAWFORD OH-WYANDOT OH-SENECA OH-
1042 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTH
CENTRAL OHIO...AND SENECA...WYANDOT AND EASTERN HANCOCK COUNTIES IN
NORTHWEST OHIO EXPIRES AT 1045 PM EDT...

THERE REPORTS OF WINDS SPEED OF 61 MPH WITH THIS STORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM EDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN OHIO.

LAT...LON 4089 8366 4116 8366 4117 8342 4125 8341
      4125 8284 4100 8283 4099 8272 4072 8273
      4070 8329 4069 8330 4068 8342 4070 8349
      4080 8349 4081 8371
TIME...MOT...LOC 0240Z 269DEG 39KT 4119 8297 4104 8294
          4089 8292 4073 8304 4053 8313

$$

FITZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
852 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND
EARLY THURSDAY.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE AREA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING RAPIDLY OVER CENTRAL INDIANA WITH THE DAY
TDWR SHOWING 55KT WINDS ON THE LEADING EDGE OF STORMS APPROACHING
OHIO. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES ARE COOLING RAPIDLY WITH LIGHTNING
STRIKE COUNTS RAPIDLY RISING. THE CONVECTION IS MOVING ABOUT DUE
EAST AND WILL REACH THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA BY
10 PM. THE AREA FROM FDY TO MFD TO KNOX COUNTY IS MOST A RISK FOR
STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT. THIS
EXTRAPOLATION OF MOTION AGREES FAIRLY WELL THE 21Z RUN OF THE HRRR
MODEL WHICH SHOWS THE CONVECTION MOVING EAST AND SLOWLY WEAKENING
WITH REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA
AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH THIS MIND...WILL UPDATE THE FORECAST TO
LIKELY POPS OVER THE SOUTHERN 2/3 OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
DEWPOINTS WILL HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES ELEVATED SO WE WILL RISE
TEMPERATURES A TAD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY.  BOTH THE GFS
AND NAM MOVE THE FRONT SLOWLY THROUGH THE REGION.  MODEL RH REMAIN
HIGH EARLY IN THE DAY AND BOTH MODELS PRINT OUT PCPN OVER THE
REGION.  IT IS REASONABLE TO KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EVERYWHERE
THURSDAY PARTICULARLY IN THE AM HOURS.  IN THE AFTERNOON HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD AND PCPN SHOULD BEGIN TO END FROM WEST
TO EAST.  A FEW SHOWERS MAY LINGER IN NE OHIO AND NW PA THU EVENING
BUT I WILL MOST LIKELY END THE PCPN ALL AREAS THU NIGHT.  HIGH
PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY BUILD ON FRIDAY.  THE GFS SHOWS A FAST MOVING
BACKDOOR FRONT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE.  THIS FEATURE IS VERY SUBTLE.
THE GFS DOES PRINT SOME PCPN OUT ON FRIDAY BUT I DO NOT EXPECT MUCH
FROM THIS FEATURE.  WITH THE COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER THE LAKE IT IS
POSSIBLE TO SEE A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS BUT I WILL LEAVE IT OUT OF
THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.  SAT AND SUN LOOK PLEASANT AS DRIER AIR
MOVES INTO THE REGION. GUIDANCE TEMPS ARE CLUSTERED SO I DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH DEVIATION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGING INTO THE AREA FROM THE EAST. RIDGING ALOFT WILL
ATTEMPT TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR INCREASING TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY. HOWEVER...THE GFS AND
ECMWF TRYING TO SHOW A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE
AREA TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. GOING INTO NEXT WEEK MENTIONED
SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY AROUND
THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY DROPPING THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
DEBRIS CLOUDS IN THE WAKE OF AN EARLIER MCS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THE EVENING. A VERY MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION SO ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. OF MOST CONCERN IS THE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS TAKING
SHAPE ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA. OUTFLOW FROM THIS COMPLEX WILL
LIKELY CAUSE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO STARTING NEAR KFDY
AROUND 02Z THEN PROGRESSING EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION. THE
STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE NEAR AND SOUTH OF A KFDY TO
KYNG LINE. MENTIONED GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS IN THE TAFS NEAR AND SOUTH
OF THIS LINE. IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS.

IN THE WAKE OF THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX THERE SHOULD BE A RETURN
OF FOG. SOME LOCATIONS COULD ONCE AGAIN DIP TO IFR LEVELS TOWARD
SUNRISE. CEILINGS WILL ALSO DIP BUT BELIEVE THEY WILL REMAIN 1500
FEET OR HIGHER.

WESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY FOR MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT PASSES.

.OUTLOOK...MVFR FOG POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING FOR INLAND SITES. VFR
CONDITIONS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF TO THE EAST OF THE LAKE WILL ALLOW FOR SOUTHERLY
WINDS TO CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. MODELS
SHOWING THE FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY WITH A
REINFORCING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE LAKE EARLY
FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE LAKE DURING THE WEEKEND
ALLOWING FOR LIGHTER WINDS AND WAVES. WILL HOLD OFF FOR NOW...BUT
WITH WESTERLY WINDS INCREASING BEHIND THE FRONT THE POTENTIAL FOR A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR BETWEEN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND LATE FRIDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GARNET
NEAR TERM...REL
SHORT TERM...GARNET
LONG TERM...ABE
AVIATION...MULLEN
MARINE...ABE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
511 AM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-050915-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
511 AM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD APPROACH SEVERE LEVELS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
510 PM EDT WED AUG 04 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 ESE NAVARRE           40.69N 81.43W
08/04/2010                   STARK              OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN A CAMPING AREA NEAR HAUT AND
            SHREMAN CHURCH ROADS. NO INJURIES.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
935 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

OHZ017-027-050245-
HANCOCK-WYANDOT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FINDLAY...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY
935 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING HANCOCK AND WYANDOT COUNTIES...

AT 932 PM...THERE WAS A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED FROM
DEFIANCE TO LIMA. THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE
EAST AT AROUND 40 MPH. WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS IT TRACKS ACROSS BENTON RIDGE...RAWSON...ARLINGTON AND FINDLAY.
THESE STRONGER WINDS MAY MOVE INTO WYANDOT COUNTY NEAR OR SHORTLY
AFTER 10 PM.