Wind Advisory 6, NWS Buffalo, NY

403 
WWUS71 KBUF 300318
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1018 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

NYZ019-085-301130-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0002.101130T1000Z-101130T2000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1018 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 3 PM EST
TUESDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 3 PM EST
TUESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS: HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
  CHAUTAUQUA AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS 
  ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE. 

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND DAYBREAK 
  TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH 
  WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE. FARTHER INLAND 
  GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 

* IMPACTS: HIGH WINDS MAY BRING DOWN TREES AND POWERLINES 
  RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES AND SOME PROPERTY DAMAGE. 
  THE STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE BLOWING DIRECTLY ACROSS THE 
  NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY...CREATING VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING 
  CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. IF YOU HAVE A HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES BE EXTRA CAREFUL UNTIL THE WIND SUBSIDES. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

NYZ012-020-301130-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0006.101130T1000Z-101130T2000Z/
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...OLEAN
1018 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 3 PM EST
TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 3 PM EST TUESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS: STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
  CATTARAUGUS AND WYOMING COUNTIES WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ON 
  THE RIDGE TOPS. 

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND DAYBREAK 
  TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH 
  WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH MAINLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN. 

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY BRING DOWN A FEW TREE LIMBS AND 
  RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

RSH

307 
WWUS71 KBUF 300855
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
355 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

NYZ019-085-301700-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0002.101130T1000Z-101130T2000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
355 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS: HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
  CHAUTAUQUA AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS 
  ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE. 

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND DAYBREAK
  TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH 
  WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE. FARTHER INLAND 
  GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 

* IMPACTS: HIGH WINDS MAY BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER  LINES 
  RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES AND SOME PROPERTY DAMAGE. 
  THE STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE BLOWING DIRECTLY ACROSS THE 
  NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY...CREATING VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING 
  CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. IF YOU HAVE A HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES BE EXTRA CAREFUL UNTIL THE WIND SUBSIDES. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

NYZ008-301700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WI.Y.0007.101130T2100Z-101201T1000Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
355 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS: THE BLACK RIVER VALLEY. 

* TIMING: LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH AND
  OCCASIONALLY GUST UP TO 50 MPH. 

* IMPACTS: HIGH WINDS MAY BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES
  RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES AND SOME PROPERTY DAMAGE.
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY THE STRONG WINDS. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

NYZ012-020-301700-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0006.101130T1000Z-101130T2000Z/
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...OLEAN
355 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS: STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
  CATTARAUGUS AND WYOMING COUNTIES WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ON 
  THE RIDGE TOPS. 

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND DAYBREAK TODAY
  AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH 
  WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH MAINLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN. 

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY BRING DOWN A FEW TREE LIMBS AND 
  RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

TJP

051 
WWUS71 KBUF 301529
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1029 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

NYZ019-085-302000-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-101130T2000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1029 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS: HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
  CHAUTAUQUA AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS 
  ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE. 

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MID
  AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60
  MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE. FARTHER INLAND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
  ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

* IMPACTS: HIGH WINDS MAY BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES 
  RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES AND SOME PROPERTY DAMAGE. 
  THE STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE BLOWING DIRECTLY ACROSS THE 
  NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY...CREATING VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING 
  CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. IF YOU HAVE A HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES BE EXTRA CAREFUL UNTIL THE WIND SUBSIDES. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

NYZ012-020-302000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-101130T2000Z/
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...OLEAN
1029 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS: STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
  CATTARAUGUS AND WYOMING COUNTIES WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ON 
  THE RIDGE TOPS. 

* TIMING: STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MID
  AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50
  MPH MAINLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY BRING DOWN A FEW TREE LIMBS AND 
  RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

NYZ008-302330-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0007.101130T2100Z-101201T1000Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
1029 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS: THE BLACK RIVER VALLEY.

* TIMING: LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH AND 
  OCCASIONALLY GUST UP TO 50 MPH. 

* IMPACTS: HIGH WINDS MAY BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES 
  RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES AND SOME PROPERTY DAMAGE. 
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY THE STRONG 
  WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

438 
WWUS71 KBUF 301919
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
219 PM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

NYZ019-085-302030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-101130T2000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
219 PM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA AND SOUTHERN ERIE
COUNTIES...THEREFORE THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ012-020-302030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-101130T2000Z/
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...OLEAN
219 PM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS CATTARAUGUS AND WYOMING
COUNTIES...THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ007-010330-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WI.Y.0007.101130T2100Z-101201T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
219 PM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS: JEFFERSON COUNTY WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE
  BLACK RIVER VALLEY TO NEAR FORT DRUM.

* TIMING: LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
  UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES AND
  BRING DOWN A FEW TREE LIMBS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

NYZ008-010330-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WI.Y.0007.101130T2100Z-101201T1200Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
219 PM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS: LEWIS COUNTY WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE BLACK
  RIVER VALLEY TO NEAR FORT DRUM.

* TIMING: LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
  UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES AND
  BRING DOWN A FEW TREE LIMBS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
316 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE NATION WILL MOVE
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON TUESDAY AND BRING A SOAKING RAIN TO
THE REGION TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE RAIN MAY BE EXCESSIVE
ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK WHERE FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE RAIN
WILL END AS A PERIOD OF WET SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST ON WEDNESDAY
ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN. COLDER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE
REGION FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS AND
LOCAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWING HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND
THIS AFTERNOON. DEEP LAYER WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES TO PRODUCE AREAS
OF CIRRUS LEVEL CLOUDINESS...SOME OF WHICH IS THICK ENOUGH TO BLOCK
OUT THE SUN AT TIMES. TEMPS HAVE WARMED NICELY IN RESPONSE TO THE
WARM ADVECTION WITH MANY LOWER ELEVATION SITES IN WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NY MAKING IT INTO THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

A VERY COMPLEX FORECAST IS SHAPING UP FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH
SEVERAL CONCERNS. HERE IS THE BREAKDOWN...

SYNOPTIC SETTING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
TONIGHT AND ALLOW FOR INCREASING SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES REGION. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
FROM IOWA THIS AFTERNOON TO LAKE SUPERIOR BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHILE
DEEPENING TO ABOUT 990MB. A COMPLEX FRONTAL ZONE TRAILING THIS LOW
WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL LAKES BY LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

RAIN...THE FIRST BATCH OF RAIN WILL ARRIVE IN WESTERN NY DURING THE
FIRST HALF OF TUESDAY MORNING. THE TIMING APPEARS A FEW HOURS LATER
THAN IN PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS...SO WITH GOOD AGREEMENT NOW IN NAM/GFS
AND SREF MEAN HAVE REMOVED PRECIP CHANCES FOR MOST OF TONIGHT WITH
THE MAJORITY OF THE RAIN EXPECTED AFTER DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THE ONLY
EXCEPTION WILL BE DOWN IN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY WHERE THE RAIN IS LIKELY
TO ARRIVE JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. EXPECT RAIN TO OVERSPREAD THE REST OF
WESTERN NY TUESDAY MORNING AND ARRIVE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BY
MIDDAY. THE RAINFALL WITH THIS EVENT STILL APPEARS TO BE IN TWO
DISTINCT PERIODS...WITH THE FIRST ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WARM
ADVECTION ON THE NOSE OF AN INTENSE 70-80 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. THIS
WILL PROVIDE AMPLE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND BE COINCIDENT WITH THE
ARRIVAL OF PWAT VALUES OF ABOUT 1.25 INCHES... WHICH IS SOME 3-4
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE END OF NOVEMBER.

EXPECT QPF TO AVERAGE ABOUT A HALF INCH WITH THIS FIRST PERIOD OF
RAIN. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS MAY APPROACH THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH
ACROSS NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTIES WHERE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE MAY
BE LOCALLY MAXIMIZED NEAR THE DECELERATION ZONE OF DOWNSLOPE WINDS
OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ALSO MAY SEE SOME UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT
FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR SOUTHERN TIER AND ALSO ON THE TUG
HILL PLATEAU WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS. ON THE FLIP SIDE...RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO BE GREATLY DIMINISHED IN DOWNSLOPE AREAS ALONG
THE LAKE ERIE SHORE UP TO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS WITH LESS THAN A
QUARTER INCH IN THESE AREAS.

WINDS...THE STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO
PORTIONS OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY AREAS SUSCEPTIBLE TO DOWNSLOPE
WINDS. 850MB WINDS PEAK NEAR 80 KNOTS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF
NEW YORK FROM MID MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY. LATEST NAM POINT SOUNDINGS
SHOW A STEEP INVERSION NEAR THE TOP OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. THE
INTENSE LOW LEVEL JET COMBINED WITH THE FAVORABLE POSITION OF THE
INVERSION WILL PRODUCE AN IDEAL SETUP FOR A DOWNSLOPE WIND STORM
ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE TO THE LEE OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. THIS
SETUP APPEARS NEARLY IDENTICAL TO THE DOWNSLOPE WIND EVENT OF DEC
9TH 2009 WHICH PRODUCED A 67 MPH GUST AT DUNKIRK. SIMILAR TO THIS
PAST EVENT...THE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SUGGEST THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE IN THE DOWNSLOPE ZONE ALONG LAKE ERIE...AND NOT ACROSS
HIGHER TERRAIN. ACROSS THE HILL TOPS...EXPECT MORE TAME GUSTS IN THE
45 TO 50 MPH RANGE ON THE HIGHEST RIDGES AND ALSO TO THE LEE OF
THOSE RIDGES. GIVEN THE SETUP...WILL HOIST A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR
CHAUTAUQUA AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES MAINLY FOR THE LAKE ERIE
SHORE. WILL ALSO RAISE A WIND ADVISORY FOR CATTARAUGUS AND WYOMING
COUNTIES.

TEMPERATURES...EXPECT LOWS TO OCCUR DURING THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT
WITH TEMPS DROPPING INTO THE 30S. LATER TONIGHT INCREASING SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO STABILIZE...AND THEN RISE BEFORE DAYBREAK
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE PLAINS IN DOWNSLOPE AREAS. ON TUESDAY
STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL BE OFFSET SOMEWHAT BY THE
RAINFALL...BUT STILL EXPECT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS TO MAKE IT INTO THE
LOWER OR EVEN MID 50S WITH UPPER 40S ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THIS PERIOD BEGINS WITH OUR CWA UNDER STEADY RAIN FROM THE INITIAL
FRONT AND WEAKENING LOW LEVEL JET. MODELS ALL SHOW A BIT OF A BREAK
BETWEEN TUESDAY'S RAINS AND THE NEXT BATCH OF RAIN WHICH LOOKS TO
SURGE NORTHWARD UP ACROSS PA INTO NY STATE TUES EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT ON THE NOSE AND JUST WEST OF A SOUTHERLY 70 KT LL JET. ALL
INDICATIONS ARE FOR SOME COPIOUS QPF WITH THIS FEATURE FROM LATE
TUES NT THRU WED MORNING. HPC QPF GUIDANCE ALONG WITH NAM AND GFS
ALL SHOW OVER 2 INCHES OF QPF FROM 06Z TO 18Z WED IN A SWATH ACROSS
FINGER LAKES AND ERN LK ONTARIO REGION. THIS WILL BE ON TOP OF
WHATEVER FALLS ON TUESDAY...PROB 0.5 TO 1 INCH. THIS WOULD BE ENOUGH
TO CAUSE SOME MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING CONCERNS SO WILL ISSUE FLOOD
WATCH FROM THE GENESEE VALLEY EASTWARD FROM 06Z WED TO 06Z THURS.
WILL ALSO INCLUDE CATT COUNTY AS THIS HEAVY QPF WILL FALL OVER A
GOOD PORTION OF THE UPPER ALLEGHENY RIVER BASIN AND MAY CAUSE OLEAN
TO GO INTO FLOOD.

FURTHER WEST...THIS NEXT BATCH OF HEAVIER RAIN LOOKS TO SLIDE TO THE
EAST...STILL CAN GET UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN TUES NT BUT THIS SHOULD
NOT BE QUITE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. THIS COULD CHANGE IF
EVERYTHING TURNS OUT 50 MILES FURTHER WEST...BUT 12Z MODELS SEEM TO
BE IN CONSENSUS IN KEEPING IT JUST TO THE EAST.  LATEST RFC
CONTINGENCY RUNS DO SHOW POTENTIAL FOR OUR RIVER AND CREEK POINTS
ON GENESEE...BLACK AND EVEN ALLEGHENY RIVERS TO APPROACH OR GET TO
FLOOD STAGE...BUT HOLD THE BUF AREA CREEKS SOMEWHAT BELOW.

THE STEADIEST RAIN WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY AS THE
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO EASTERN NEW YORK STATE. COLDER AIR FOLLOWING
THE FRONT WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY AND THIS
WILL BECOME LAKE ENHANCED AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS ON...WITH A DECENT
PLUME OF SNOW BY WED EVENING...ON ABOUT A 250 VECTOR. THIS WOULD
ALLOW FOR ANY LAKE SNOWS TO FOCUS NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF BUF LATE WED.

AS EVEN COLDER AIR ADVECTS ACROSS THE LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DOWNWIND OF BOTH LAKES.
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE GIVEN THE FAIRLY WELL-ALIGNED
FLOW...AND DEEPER MOISTURE/MORE MODERATE WINDS THAN WERE EXPERIENCED
WITH OUR PREVIOUS EVENT. AS TO WHERE THE LAKE EFFECT MAY OCCUR...THE
NAM AND GFS SUGGESTS A 260-ISH FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THIS WOULD PLACE THE HEAVIEST SNOWS OVER CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
ERIE/WYOMING/SRN GENESEE OFF ERIE (BUF SOUTHTOWNS) AND JEFF/NRN
LEWIS OFF ONTARIO.

LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE EAST OF THE LAKES THURSDAY...SLIGHTLY DRIER
AIR WILL WORK IN AND TEMPS WILL BE MARGINAL...850'S -9C OR SO...SO SOME
ADDTL ACCUM LIKELY EAST OF THE LAKES. BANDS WILL HOLD ON THURS NT
BUT SHIFT A BIT SOUTH WITH PASSAGE OF A WEAK TROUGH.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...THEY WILL PEAK OVERNIGHT TUES NT IN WEST AND
WED AM IN EAST..T.HEN FALL BACK THROUGH THE DAY WED AND WED
NT...HOLDING STEADY IN L-M 30S ON THURS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NW FLOW BEGINS TO WEAKEN ON FRIDAY AS LONG WAVE TROUGH PULLS EAST
ACROSS QUEBEC AND SOME RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. WILL
STILL CARRY HIGH CHC POPS SE OF THE LAKES BUT NOT EXPECTING MUCH
ACCUMS. 850 MB TEMPS AGAIN REMAIN MARGINAL...IN -8 TO -10C
RANGE...SO NOT ESPECIALLY COLD...PROB MID 30S OR SO FOR MAXES.

WEEKEND THEN APPEARS RATHER TRANQUIL AND COLD...BUT WE HAVE A
PATTERN CHANGE AS THE STRONGLY NEGATIVE NAO WILL FORCE THE NEXT LOW
SOUTH...TAKING IT ON A TRACK FROM MINN TO THE OHIO VALLEY AND
EVENTUALLY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THIS WOULD KEEP THE SNOW TO
OUR SOUTH...MOSTLY...AT LEAST PER 12Z ECMWF...BUT GFS TAKES IT
CLOSER. FOR NOW...WILL CARRY CHC POPS FOR LIGHT SNOW SRN TIER SAT NT
AND SUN AS THEY MAY GET BRUSHED. ELSEWHERE...WEAK NORTH TO NORTHEAST
FLOW NOT CONDUCIVE TO LK EFFECT SO MINIMAL POPS BOTH DAYS. FLOW
TURNS NW AGAIN MONDAY SO WILL RE-INSERT CHC POPS SE OF THE LAKES.
CONFIDENCE IN WEEKEND FORECAST IS LOW. TEMPS WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE LONG RANGE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING WILL SLIDE OFF THE
EASTERN SEABOARD TONIGHT WITH VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 12Z TUE WITH
JUST A FEW PERIODS OF CIRRUS LEVEL CLOUDS. LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO
THE UPPER LAKES WILL SPREAD INCREASING CLOUDS INTO WESTERN NY BY 12Z
TUE WITH RAIN BEGINNING SHORTLY THEREAFTER. SOUTHERLY DOWNSLOPE
WINDS WILL TEND TO HOLD CIGS/VSBY TO VFR DURING THE RAIN ACROSS MUCH
OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER INCLUDING KBUF-KROC. UP AT KIAG A LITTLE
FARTHER AWAY FROM DOWNSLOPE WINDS MAY DROP DOWN TO MVFR FOR A FEW
HOURS FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. DOWN AT KJHW THERE
IS A BETTER CHANCE OF MVFR OR EVEN IFR CIGS AWAY FROM ANY DOWNSLOPE
INFLUENCE.

THERE WILL BE QUITE IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR THE FIRST HALF
OF TUESDAY AS AN INTENSE 70-80 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET PROPAGATES INTO
WESTERN NY. BEFORE THAT...SOME MARGINAL LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL
BEGIN TONIGHT WITH 35-45 KNOTS OF WIND JUST OFF THE DECK. TUESDAY
MORNING THE WINDS WILL START TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE WITH GUSTS
IN THE 20-30 KNOT RANGE...EVEN HIGHER ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE
WHERE DOWNSLOPE WINDS MAY BRING LOCAL GUSTS OF 40-50 KNOTS.

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY NIGHT...WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR WITH RAIN.
WEDNESDAY...IFR/MVFR WITH RAIN ENDING AS A PERIOD OF WET SNOW FROM
WEST TO EAST.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MVFR WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOCAL LIFR EAST
OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW.
THURSDAY...GENERALLY MVFR WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND LOCAL LIFR
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES.
FRIDAY...GENERALLY VFR EXCEPT MVFR/IFR IN LOCAL LAKE SNOWS SOUTHEAST
OF THE LAKES.
SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TONIGHT WITH
INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE WINDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE WHERE
LOCAL DOWNSLOPING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY BRING GALE FORCE WINDS.
ELSEWHERE EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA
EXCEPT FOR THE WESTERN END OF LAKE ONTARIO WHICH IS NOT FAVORED FOR
STRONGER WINDS IN SOUTHEAST FLOW. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT
AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT MOVES OVERHEAD AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR NYZ003>008-013-014-020-021.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 5 AM TO 3 PM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ019-085.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 3 PM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ012-020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR
         LEZ020.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO 4 AM EST
         WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ043>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...SFM
LONG TERM...SFM
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
311 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

NYZ019-085-302015-
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
311 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 3 PM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON TUESDAY AND BECOME MODERATE TO
HEAVY AT TIMES WHILE CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE LATEST
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN DURING
THIS PERIOD. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WOULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON
AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS...WITH WATER LEVELS APPROACHING BANKFULL
STAGE IN SOME CASES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-302015-
WYOMING-
311 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 3 PM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON TUESDAY AND BECOME MODERATE TO
HEAVY AT TIMES WHILE CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL FOR 1.5 TO
2 INCHES OF RAIN DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WOULD
CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS...WITH WATER
LEVELS APPROACHING BANKFULL STAGE IN SOME CASES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ020-302015-
CATTARAUGUS-
311 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 3 PM EST TUESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   FLOOD WATCH.

RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON TUESDAY AND BECOME MODERATE TO
HEAVY AT TIMES WHILE CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL FOR 2.0 TO 2.5
INCHES OF RAIN DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WOULD
CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS...WITH WATER
LEVELS APPROACHING BANKFULL STAGE IN SOME CASES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003>008-013-014-021-302015-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
311 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON TUESDAY AND BECOME MODERATE TO
HEAVY AT TIMES WHILE CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL FOR 2 TO 3 INCHES
OF RAIN DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WOULD CAUSE
SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS...WITH WATER LEVELS
RISING TO NEAR OR EVEN OVER FLOOD STAGE IN SOME CASES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-002-010-011-302015-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
311 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON TUESDAY AND BECOME MODERATE TO
HEAVY AT TIMES WHILE CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. LATEST
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN DURING
THIS PERIOD. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WOULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON
AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS...WITH WATER LEVELS APPROACHING BANKFULL
STAGE IN SOME CASES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-302015-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
311 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-302015-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
311 PM EST MON NOV 29 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF