Small Craft Advisory 8, NWS Buffalo, NY

922 
WHUS71 KBUF 240241
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
941 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2010

LEZ020-040-041-241100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.100124T1400Z-100125T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
941 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY MORNING...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
30 KNOTS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR

355 
WHUS71 KBUF 240828
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
328 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

LOZ044-045-241630-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.100124T2100Z-100125T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
328 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM
EST MONDAY. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
MOST OF THE NIGHT BEFORE TURNING SOUTHERLY AND DIMINISHING TOWARD
MONDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-241630-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.100124T1400Z-100125T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
328 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS
OF 30 KNOTS AT TIMES INTO THE EVENING. THEY WILL TURN SOUTHERLY
AND DIMINISH TOWARD THE MIDNIGHT HOUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM

981 
WHUS71 KBUF 241507
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1007 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

LEZ020-040-041-242315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-100125T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1007 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS GUST TO 30 KNOTS AT TIMES INTO THE EVENING. THEY
WILL TURN SOUTHERLY AND DIMINISH TOWARD THE MIDNIGHT HOUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-242315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.100124T2100Z-100125T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1007 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 5 AM EST MONDAY. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
MOST OF THE NIGHT BEFORE TURNING SOUTHERLY AND DIMINISHING TOWARD
MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

992 
WHUS71 KBUF 242050
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
350 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

LEZ020-242200-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-100125T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
350 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN JUST BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THIS EVENING...THEREFORE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

LOZ044-045-250500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.100125T0000Z-100125T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
350 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING INTO THE 15 TO 25 KNOT
RANGE AT THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-250400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-100125T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
350 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 KNOT RANGE WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

597 
WHUS71 KBUF 250258
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
958 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

LEZ040-041-251100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-100125T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.100125T1500Z-100126T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
958 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-251100-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.100125T1500Z-100126T1200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
958 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-251100-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.100125T1700Z-100126T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
958 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-251100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-100125T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
958 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR

903 
WHUS71 KBUF 250807
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
307 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

LOZ044-045-251615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-100125T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.100125T2100Z-100127T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
307 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
7 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-251615-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.100125T2100Z-100127T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
307 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-251615-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.100125T1500Z-100127T1200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
307 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-251615-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.100125T1700Z-100127T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
307 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

451 
WHUS71 KBUF 250833
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
333 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

LOZ044-045-251645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-100125T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.100125T2100Z-100127T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
333 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-251645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.100125T1500Z-100127T1200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
333 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-251645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.100125T2100Z-100127T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
333 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-251645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.100125T1700Z-100127T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
333 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
335 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL DRIFT
OUT TO SEA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND. MEANWHILE A LARGE AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE NATION WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY NIGHT. RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY
DROPPING BACK TO BELOW AVERAGE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE
COLDER AIR WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW ROUNDS OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS WELL EAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THOUGH 300 PM...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL FOR THE
MOMENT...WITH CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE CWA...OUTSIDE OF SOME SCT HIGH
CLOUDS JUST ENTERING THE SOUTHERN TIER. EXPECT HIGH CLOUDS TO
PROGRESSIVELY SPREAD FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
OVERNIGHT...REACHING THE NORTH COUNTRY BY DAYBREAK.

FOR TONIGHT...PERHAPS THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE WILL BE LOW
TEMPERATURES...AS THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL
HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER DAYBREAK. RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FACE A
COUPLE CHALLENGES...FIRST WITH INVADING HIGH CLOUDS LIMITING THIS.
THE BIGGER LIMITATION WILL BE AN INCREASING SOUTHEAST FLOW MOVING
INTO THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. EXPECT SIGNIFICANTLY
COLDER LOWS IN THE NORTH COUNTRY...WHICH SHOULD SEE SEVERAL HOURS OF
GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING BEFORE CLOUDS OR WINDS PICK UP. LOW
CONFIDENCE FORECAST FOR LOWS IS IN THE TEENS...BUT MAY SEE ISOLATED
LOCATIONS DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY
WINDS/CLOUDS MOVE IN. ELSEWHERE...LOWS SHOULD BE REACHED THIS
EVENING...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING LATE TONIGHT AS WINDS MIX THE
ATMOSPHERE. THE LAST LOCATIONS TO SCOUR OUT WILL BE THE SHELTERED
VALLEYS IN THE SOUTHERN TIER AND IN THE BUFFALO-ROCHESTER
CORRIDOR...WHERE THE TERRAIN SHELTERS THE REGION A BIT ON A
SOUTHEAST FLOW. IN EACH CASE...EXPECT THE SOUTHEAST FLOW TO
EVENTUALLY OUT BY DAYBREAK...CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO RISE ABOVE
FREEZING IN THESE LOCATIONS.

FOR SUNDAY...THE GFS IS SEVERAL HOURS FASTER BRINGING IN
PRECIPITATION THAN THE NAM...AND GIVEN GENERAL SUPPORT FROM THE
GEM/UKMET...PREFER THE FASTER GFS SOLUTION. EXPECT PRECIPITATION
WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN TIER BY MID-MORNING...SPREAD INTO BUFFALO
AROUND NOON-ISH...REACHING WATERTOWN SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.

OVERALL...THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION...THOUGH
PRECIPITATION WILL NOT BE THAT HEAVY. IN THIS EVENT...THE BEST
DYNAMICS MISS TO BOTH THE WEST AND EAST...WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
OCCLUDED FRONT THE MAIN CAUSE FOR PRECIPITATION ON SUNDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 40S ON SUNDAY...AS BREEZY
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS BRING IN WARMER AIR. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO
GENERALLY MOVE IN WITH OR JUST AHEAD OF THE THE RAIN...WITH GUSTS OF
35 MPH FAIRLY COMMONPLACE...AND HIGHER GUSTS ON THE SOUTHERN TIER.
DID NUDGE DOWN HIGHS A BIT...WITH MODEL SOUNDING SHOWING THE WARMEST
AIR WILL LIKELY BE SEPARATED BY AN INVERSION DURING MOST OF THE
DAYTIME HOURS ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO WARM INTO SUNDAY EVENING...RESULTING IN HIGH TEMPERATURES
OCCURRING OVERNIGHT IN SOME LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD RAIN WILL HAVE OVERSPREAD MOST OF THE
REGION. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT WITH THE TIMING OF
A STRONG PACIFIC SYSTEM WITH A SURFACE LOW MOVING TO NEAR LAKE
SUPERIOR BY MONDAY MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED COLD OCCLUSION WILL SWEEP
EAST ACROSS THE CWA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...DEEP
LAYER SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BOOST PWATS TO AROUND 1 INCH...WHICH IS
SOME 2-3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE AVERAGE. FORCING WILL BEGIN TO
COME TOGETHER AS WELL WITH MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS COMBINING WITH
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND INCREASING UPPER LEVEL JET SUPPORT. A
50-60 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET WILL ALSO PROVIDE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE. BOTH THE NAM/GFS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST FEW
DAYS IN KEEPING THE BEST JUXTAPOSITION OF FORCING AND MOISTURE TO
OUR SOUTH AND EAST. THUS EXPECT HEAVIEST RAIN POTENTIAL TO BE FOUND
FROM THE MID ATLANTIC STATES INTO EASTERN PA AND EASTERN NY. SOME OF
THE HEAVIER RAIN MAY CLIP THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE CWA IN
LEWIS COUNTY...AND HAVE INDICATED QPF OF UP TO AN INCH IN THE GRIDS
THERE. OTHERWISE EXPECT AROUND A HALF INCH ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES
TO THE WATERTOWN AREA WITH A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH ACROSS WESTERN
NY. SEE HYDRO SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS ON EXPECTED HYDRO RESPONSE.

STEADIER RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST LATER SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SURFACE FRONT. A
DECENT MID LEVEL DRY SLOT WILL THEN WORK EAST ACROSS THE AREA WITH
MAINLY RAIN FREE CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE DAY. WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE WILL ARRIVE IN WESTERN NY BY THE END OF THE DAY WITH
INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS LATE. STEADY COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON AFTER
MORNING HIGHS STILL WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR MID WINTER.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY COLDER AIR WILL STEADILY FILTER BACK INTO
THE REGION. BOTH THE NAM AND GFS SHOW EXTENSIVE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
CROSSING THE REGION DURING THIS TIME. LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE MAIN MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED LOW
LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD SUPPORT LIKELY SNOW SHOWERS JUST ABOUT
EVERYWHERE LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF
TUESDAY. AIRMASS MAY ALSO BECOME JUST COLD ENOUGH FOR SOME LAKE
EFFECT CONCERNS AS WELL WITH 850MB TEMPS BOTTOMING OUT AROUND -10C
TUESDAY MORNING ON BOTH THE NAM AND GFS.

NORMALLY THIS WOULD NOT BE QUITE COLD ENOUGH FOR A SIGNIFICANT LAKE
RESPONSE WITH LAKE ERIE DOWN TO ZERO TO +1C. EXTENSIVE SYNOPTIC
SCALE MOISTURE AND LIFT MAY HELP TO OFFSET THIS SOMEWHAT...WITH MORE
OF A LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SETUP DEVELOPING. BOTH THE NAM AND GFS
SUGGEST SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW WHICH WOULD DIRECT THIS ACTIVITY
INTO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA OFF LAKE ERIE. STILL LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY
HOWEVER GIVEN THE VERY MARGINAL TEMPERATURES. FOR NOW HAVE INDICATED
AN AREA OF HIGHER POPS NORTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE AND ALSO ACROSS SKI
COUNTRY AND THE SOUTHERN TIER DUE TO UPSLOPE EFFECTS THERE. EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO AIRMASS DOES NOT BECOME COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT LAKE
ENHANCEMENT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING. FLOW IS ALSO SOUTHWEST HERE...SO
EXPECT ANY ACTIVITY TO BE DIRECTED INTO THE WATERTOWN AREA WITH
UPSLOPE SNOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE TUG HILL. WILL ALSO INCLUDE AN
AREA OF HIGHER POPS ON TUESDAY TO COVER THIS POTENTIAL. WILL
HIGHLIGHT THIS POTENTIAL IN THE HWO.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD MAIN CONCERNS WILL REVOLVE AROUND LAKE
EFFECT POTENTIAL. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF FORECAST THE BOUNDARY LAYER
FLOW TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH 850MB
TEMPS DROPPING TO AROUND -14C. THE COLDER AIRMASS WILL SUPPORT A
MORE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT FOR A PURE LAKE RESPONSE
DURING THIS PERIOD. WESTERLY FLOW WOULD PLACE THE LAKE SNOWS ACROSS
SKI COUNTRY AND THE SOUTHERN TIER EAST OF LAKE ERIE AND THE TUG HILL
REGION EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. IT APPEARS LAKE EFFECT HEADLINES MAY
EVENTUALLY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS PERIOD.

BY THURSDAY FORECAST UNCERTAINTY INCREASES SOMEWHAT. THE LATEST 12Z
GFS AND ECMWF MODEL RUNS ARE REMARKABLY SIMILAR IN APPEARANCE ON
THURSDAY WITH A NORTHERN STREAM LOW MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC
WHILE A WEAK SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE STREAKS OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY
SPREADING MOISTURE INTO PA AND NY. WHILE THE LATEST RUNS ARE VERY
SIMILAR TO EACH OTHER...THEY ARE NOT SIMILAR IN LOOK AND TIMING TO
PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS WHICH DECREASES FORECAST CONFIDENCE. ON FRIDAY
THE MAIN SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE WILL MOVE EAST...AND IS CURRENTLY
FORECAST BY BOTH OPERATIONAL RUNS AND THE MAJORITY OF ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS TO REMAIN UN-PHASED WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM AND SUPPRESSED
WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL LEAVE A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS
THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF DROPPING
850MB TEMPS DOWN TO AROUND -20C. THIS WILL BRING TEMPS WELL BELOW
AVERAGE AGAIN. FOR NOW WILL KEEP LOW CHANCE POPS BOTH DAYS WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOW 20S ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AND TEENS ACROSS
HIGHER TERRAIN. IF FUTURE MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE
TEMPERATURES COLDER THAN -20C ALOFT THESE FORECAST HIGHS WILL NEED
TO BE ADJUSTED DOWNWARD.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
BUF/IAG/ROC...NO ISSUES WITH VSBY/CIGS THROUGH MID-MORNING
SUNDAY...WITH ONLY HIGH CLOUDS. EXPECT NE WINDS TO LINGER A BIT
LONGER THIS EVENING THAN MOST GUIDANCE DUE TO THE TOPOGRAPHIC
BLOCKING OF A SE FLOW. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 35 KTS AT
2000 FT SHORTLY AFTER 00Z. THIS WILL LIKELY FALL SHORT OF LLWS
CRITERIA...BUT DOES BEAR WATCHING WITH THE 00Z BUF SOUNDING
EXPECTED TO HELP OUT IN THIS REGARD. PREFER FASTER GFS TIMING
WITH OTHER MODEL SUPPORT...LOWERING CIGS/VSBY QUICKLY TO MVFR
LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO EAST.

JHW...GENERALLY VFR THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...THOUGH THERE IS A
CHANCE MVFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT UNDERNEATH A DEVELOPING
INVERSION. WINDS INCREASE TO 40 KTS AT 1500 FT AFTER
00Z...MARGINAL TO LLWS CRITERIA. LEAVE OUT FOR NOW...BUT WILL BE
CLOSE. CIGS/VSBY LOWER TO MVFR OR POSSIBLY IFR WITH RAIN MOVING IN
SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ALSO...WITH GUSTS TO 35 KTS EXPECTED
AHEAD OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT.

ART...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF FOG BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z TONIGHT...BUT WELL BELOW
CONFIDENCE THRESHOLD TO MENTION IN TAF OR TEMPO.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT...IFR/MVFR IN LOW CIGS AND FOG...WITH WIND GUSTS AROUND
35 KTS EARLY.
MONDAY...MVFR WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.
TUESDAY...PERIODS OF IFR WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...VFR/MVFR IN SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING WILL MOVE OUT TO
SEA THROUGH SUNDAY AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM OVER THE MID SECTION OF
THE NATION LIFTS INTO THE WESTERN LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM ON SUNDAY.
DOWNSLOPE WINDS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE WILL ENHANCE THE WINDS
FURTHER INTO THE 20-30 KNOT RANGE. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE
ISSUED FOR SUNDAY FOR THE GUSTY WINDS. THE WINDS WILL BE OFFSHORE SO
THIS WILL KEEP THE HIGHEST WAVES ON THE CANADIAN SHORE. MAY
EVENTUALLY NEED SMALL CRAFTS AS WELL ON LAKE ONTARIO...BUT WILL HOLD
OFF FOR NOW WITH WINDS MARGINAL FOR SCA GIVEN THE OFFSHORE FLOW
PUSHING THE GREATEST WAVE ACTION TO THE CANADIAN SHORE.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THEN BECOME
MORE WESTERLY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL BE A SOLID
20-30 KNOTS MUCH OF THIS PERIOD WITH HIGH END SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS. MAY SEE SOME GALE FORCE GUSTS AS WELL...BUT DONT EXPECT
ANY WIDESPREAD OR LONG LASTING GALES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
OUTSIDE OF LOCALIZED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS...SEE NO REASON TO STRAY
TOO MUCH FROM MODEL CONSENSUS QPF...WHICH GENERALLY FORECASTS AROUND
.25 OF AN INCH WEST...WITH LESS EAST FOR SUNDAY. UNLESS THIS
CHANGES...THIS DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING IN
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...INCLUDING BUFFALO/ROCHESTER AND
VICINITY. TEMPERATURES RISING WELL INTO THE 40S WILL CAUSE SOME
SNOWMELT...WATER EQUIVALENT SNOWPACKS ARE GENERALLY RUNNING BELOW
NORMAL...WITH ONLY ISOLATED LOCATIONS IN THE SOUTHERN TIER ABOVE TWO
INCHES. THIS WILL CAUSE RIVERS AND CREEKS TO RISE...BUT IT DOES NOT
APPEAR TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. ICE JAMS DO REMAIN AN
ISOLATED RISK...BUT AFTER COORDINATION WITH THE CITY OF BUFFALO
ENGINEERS OFFICE...FEEL ICE IS GENERALLY ON THE THIN SIDE...LESS
LIKELY TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT ICE JAMS.

SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY A MORE SIGNIFICANT SLUG OF RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE HEAVIEST RAIN STILL LOOKS TO
TARGET EASTERN PA INTO EASTERN NY...HOWEVER SOME OF THIS MAY CLIP
LEWIS COUNTY AS WELL WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN.
A DEEPER SNOWPACK MAY ALSO LEAD TO MORE SNOWMELT RUNOFF IN THIS
AREA AS TEMPS WARM INTO AT LEAST THE LOWER 40S LATER SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MUCH OF MONDAY. WILL HOIST A FLOOD WATCH FOR LEWIS COUNTY
ONLY TO ADDRESS THE POTENTIAL. MAIN CONCERN IS SMALL STREAMS AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MAY SEE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE MAIN STREAM
BLACK AS WELL...BUT THIS IS A SLOW RISING RIVER WITH THE HIGHEST
WATER LEVELS NOT OCCURRING FOR SEVERAL DAYS AFTER THE HEAVY RAIN
ENDS.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
THE BUFFALO WSR-88D RADAR IS STILL DOWN. TECHNICIANS HAVE
DIAGNOSED A COMMS PROBLEM. THE ISSUE HAS BEEN PASSED TO OUR
COMMUNICATIONS VENDOR WHICH IS LOOKING INTO THE ISSUE. NO
ESTIMATED TIME FOR RETURN TO SERVICE YET.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...FLOOD WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
     NYZ008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ020-
         040-041.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...APFFEL
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...APFFEL
MARINE...HITCHCOCK
HYDROLOGY...APFFEL/HITCHCOCK
EQUIPMENT...APFFEL/HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
343 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2010

NYZ010-019-085-242045-
NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
343 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
SUNDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH ARE
EXPECTED. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO RESULT IN SNOWMELT ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATION HEADWATERS OF THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND
CATTARAUGUS CREEK WHERE A GREATER SNOWPACK REMAINS.

INCREASING RUNOFF FROM RAIN AND SNOWMELT WILL PRODUCE SOME MODEST
RISES ON THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS AND CATTARAUGUS CREEK. ICE COVER
IN THE CREEKS MAY ALSO POSE A LOW RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING. AT
THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE ICE IS NOT THICK ENOUGH FOR A SIGNIFICANT
ICE JAM RISK...BUT THE SITUATION WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY.

COLDER AIR WILL FILTER BACK INTO THE REGION LATER MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE AIRMASS MAY BECOME JUST
COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT LAKE ENHANCED SNOW LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. IF LAKE SNOWS DO DEVELOP...SOUTHWEST WINDS WOULD DIRECT
THE ACTIVITY INTO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA. TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY...POSSIBLY
SETTING THE STAGE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ011-012-020-242045-
GENESEE-WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-
343 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

COLDER AIR WILL FILTER BACK INTO THE REGION LATER MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE AIRMASS MAY BECOME JUST
COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT LAKE ENHANCED SNOW LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. IF LAKE SNOWS DO DEVELOP...SOUTHWEST WINDS WOULD DIRECT
THE ACTIVITY INTO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA. TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY...POSSIBLY
SETTING THE STAGE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-013-014-021-242045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
ALLEGANY-
343 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-007-242045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-
343 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH
ARE EXPECTED. THE RAIN COMBINED WITH SOME ADDED RUNOFF FROM
SNOWMELT WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT WATER RISES ON SMALL STREAMS
AND IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WITH SOME MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE.

COLDER AIR WILL FILTER BACK INTO THE REGION TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE AIRMASS MAY BECOME JUST COLD ENOUGH FOR LAKE
ENHANCED SNOW TO DEVELOP TUESDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WOULD DIRECT
THIS LAKE SNOW INTO THE WATERTOWN AREA WITH SNOW ALSO EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL. SOMEWHAT
COLDER AIR ARRIVING TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MAY BRING A
BETTER CHANCE OF HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW...WITH WESTERLY WINDS
TARGETING THE TUG HILL REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ008-242045-
LEWIS-
343 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2010

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE EXPECTED. THE RAIN
COMBINED WITH SOME ADDED RUNOFF FROM SNOWMELT WILL RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT WATER RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS WITH SOME MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE.

COLDER AIR WILL FILTER BACK INTO THE REGION TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE AIRMASS MAY BECOME JUST COLD ENOUGH FOR LAKE
ENHANCED SNOW TO DEVELOP TUESDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WOULD DIRECT
THIS LAKE SNOW INTO THE WATERTOWN AREA WITH SNOW ALSO EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL. SOMEWHAT
COLDER AIR ARRIVING TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MAY BRING A
BETTER CHANCE OF HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW...WITH WESTERLY WINDS
TARGETING THE TUG HILL REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-242045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
343 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK