Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2010

Small Craft Advisory 53, NWS Buffalo, NY

June 29, 2010

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Jun 29, 2010, 3:51 AM EDT. It took effect at Jun 29, 2010, 4:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 59 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 29, 2010, 3:51 AM EDT (07:51 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 29, 2010, 4:00 AM EDT
Expired
Jul 1, 2010, 3:01 PM EDT
In force
59 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

772 
WHUS71 KBUF 290751
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
351 AM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

LOZ042-291600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.100629T0800Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
351 AM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-291600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.100629T0800Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
351 AM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-291600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.100629T0800Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
351 AM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SAGE
12 follow-up statements
949 
WHUS71 KBUF 291344
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
944 AM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

LEZ020-040-041-292145-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100629T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
944 AM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-292145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
944 AM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-292145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
944 AM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-292145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
944 AM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM
538 
WHUS71 KBUF 291928
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
328 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

LOZ042-300330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
328 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-292300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100629T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
328 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-300330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
328 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-300330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
328 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM
353 
WHUS71 KBUF 292252
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
652 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

LEZ020-040-041-300000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100629T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
652 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LOZ042-300700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
652 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-300700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
652 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-300700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
652 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
282 
WHUS71 KBUF 300141
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
941 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

LEZ020-040-041-300945-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.100630T1400Z-100701T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
941 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-300945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
941 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
124 
WHUS71 KBUF 300718
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
318 AM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

LOZ042-301530-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
318 AM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-301530-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
318 AM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-301530-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.100630T1400Z-100701T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
318 AM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SAGE
129 
WHUS71 KBUF 301350
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
950 AM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

LOZ042-302200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
950 AM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-302200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.100630T1400Z-100701T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
950 AM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-302200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
950 AM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM
435 
WHUS71 KBUF 301924
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
324 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

LEZ020-040-041-302030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
324 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DIMINISHED TO BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA. 

$$

LOZ042-010330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
324 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-010330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
324 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM
652 
WHUS71 KBUF 302211
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
611 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

LEZ040-041-010300-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
611 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-010615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
611 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-010615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
611 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
910 
WHUS71 KBUF 010201
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1001 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

LOZ042-010315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1001 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 


$$

LEZ040-041-010315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1001 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LOZ043>045-011015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1001 PM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
604 
WHUS71 KBUF 010734
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
334 AM EDT THU JUL 1 2010

LOZ043-044-011600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
334 AM EDT THU JUL 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-011500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
334 AM EDT THU JUL 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
554 
WHUS71 KBUF 011350
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
950 AM EDT THU JUL 1 2010

LOZ045-011500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
950 AM EDT THU JUL 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING FURTHER TONIGHT.

$$

LOZ043-044-012200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
950 AM EDT THU JUL 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM
111 
WHUS71 KBUF 011901
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
301 PM EDT THU JUL 1 2010

LOZ043-044-012015-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-100701T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
301 PM EDT THU JUL 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 29, 3:45 AM EDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 29, 3:45 AM EDT, 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
345 AM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS WILL TAKE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK WITH WELL BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. MOST OF THE AREA
WILL BE RAINFREE...ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE A FEW PERIODS OF CLOUD
COVER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. THERE MAY BE A FEW PASSING SHOWERS BOTH
DAYS ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SPINNING OVER QUEBEC. A SIGNIFICANT WARMUP
IS THEN EXPECTED JUST IN TIME FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
07Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING
FROM QUEBEC INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. A MULTITUDE OF SUBTLE TROUGHS
ARE ROTATING AROUND THE SURFACE LOW...WITH ONE ANALYZED JUST NORTH
OF LAKE ONTARIO AT 07Z. BOTH NAM/GFS SWING THIS TROUGH INTO THE
NORTH COUNTRY BY DAYBREAK. REGIONAL RADARS ARE DEVOID OF ANY PRECIP
WITH THIS FEATURE...SO EXPECT IT TO PASS THROUGH THE EASTERN LAKE
ONTARIO REGION DRY WITH A PERIOD OF INCREASED CLOUD COVER. FARTHER
WEST...LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPANDING ACROSS LAKE ERIE AND WESTERN NY.
EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK WITH MANY AREAS
STARTING THE DAY MOSTLY CLOUDY.

DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE
INTO WESTERN NY. INCREASING SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING WITH THIS FEATURE
SHOULD PROVIDE INCREASING AMOUNTS OF SUNSHINE...ESPECIALLY OVER AND
DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE WITH A LAKE SHADOW EVOLVING. ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY CLOUDS WILL HANG TOUGHER IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE
ANOMALOUSLY DEEP MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW OVER QUEBEC. NAM AND HIGH
RESOLUTION MESOSCALE MODELS SHOW YET ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH
APPROACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY BETWEEN 18Z-21Z...WITH SOME
SUPPORT FROM HEIGHT FALLS AND DPVA ALOFT. WILL GO WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS IN THAT REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH BOTH NAM/GFS
SHOWING SBCAPE OF 200-400J/KG SUGGESTING POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM AS WELL.

ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL QUICKLY
END THIS EVENING WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND PROPAGATION OF THE
SURFACE TROUGH EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND. SKIES SHOULD BE MAINLY CLEAR
MOST OF THE NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA WITH A SURFACE RIDGE NOSING
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE LOWER LAKES. CLOUDS WILL LINGER ACROSS
THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY ALONG THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF MOIST
CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT...AND WILL LIKELY EXPAND SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT
WITH THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE TROUGH.
THESE FEATURES MAY TOUCH OFF A FEW MORE SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY. THE AIRMASS IS EVEN COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SOME
LAKE INSTABILITY WITH LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS RISING TO
AROUND 12K FEET. THIS MAY PRODUCE A SHOWER OR TWO AT THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO BY LATE TONIGHT. WILL CARRY CHANCE
POPS FOR OSWEGO/JEFF/LEWIS COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT TO COVER THIS
POTENTIAL.

OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE QUITE INTERESTING TONIGHT WITH AN
UNSEASONABLY CHILLY AIRMASS ENTERING THE REGION. THE LAKESHORES WILL
REMAIN BREEZY AND KEEP LOWS IN THE MID 50S WITH MIXING AND FLOW OFF
THE WARMER LAKES...WHILE AREAS FARTHER INLAND WILL AT LEAST
PARTIALLY DECOUPLE WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO THE 40S. SOME OF THE
DEEPEST AND COOLEST SOUTHERN TIER VALLEYS MAY FULLY DECOUPLE AND AT
LEAST MAKE A RUN AT UPPER 30S. EXPECT A SOLID 20 DEGREE SPREAD
BETWEEN THE LAKESHORES AND COOLEST VALLEYS BY LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A DEEP CLOSED UPPER LOW (500 MB HEIGHTS 2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
BELOW NORMAL) WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD FROM CENTRAL QUEBEC AT THE
BEGINNING OF THIS PERIOD WITH CHANNELED VORTICITY SWINGING AROUND
THE BASE OF IT ACROSS OUR CWA. MOS GUIDANCE CONTINUES LOW ON POPS AT
THIS TIME BUT WITH A COLD POOL IN PLACE AT LEAST UP TO 10K FEET
ALONG WITH DIURNAL SURFACE HEATING THIS TIME OF YEAR WE WILL KEEP IN
CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 850
TEMPERATURES IN THE 4C TO 6C RANGE WILL GIVE DELTA T'S AROUND 14C
AND WE ARE EVEN LOOKING AT LAKE INDUCE EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS IN THE 12K
TO 13K FOOT RANGE. THE PROJECTED 850 MB TEMPS WILL SUPPORT DAYTIME
HIGHS BELOW 70 IN MOST AREAS.

THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO WITHDRAW EASTWARD WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL HELP SUPPORT A COUPLE OF LEFTOVER SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE QUITE COOL FOR THE FIRST MORNING OF JULY...LOWS 50S IN THE
LAKE PLAIN BUT RANGING THROUGH 40S ELSEWHERE.

HIGH PRESSURE EDGES SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL LAKES REGION
THURSDAY BUT THE FLOW CONTINUES CYCLONIC ALOFT OVER US. DIURNAL
HEATING WILL ONCE AGAIN PRODUCE INSTABILITY IN THE LOWER 10K FEET OF
THE ATMOSPHERE. CONTINUITY HAS CHANCE POPS FOR THE EASTERN LAKE
ONTARIO COUNTIES. THIS LOOKS REASONABLE AND WE WILL CONTINUE THIS
THINKING. DAYTIMES HIGHS WILL CONTINUE A GOOD 10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL.

PARTLY CLOUDY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE SURFACE
HIGH BUILDS FURTHER EAST AND THE UPPER LOW MOVES TO NEWFOUNDLAND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY RAPIDLY WARMING SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE RIGHT THROUGH THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND.

AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS FRIDAY WILL
ADVANCE EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND. AT THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SETTLE INTO NEW YORK STATE ON FRIDAY. SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH
THE RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE FRIDAY...LIGHT WINDS AND
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 70S.

FOR SATURDAY AS THE AXIS OF THE 500 HPA RIDGE NEARS WESTERN NEW
YORK...850 HPA TEMPERATURES CLIMB TOWARDS 17 TO 18 C ON BOTH THE
ECMWF AND THE GFS. THESE TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SFC
WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES CLIMBING ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE MID 80S.
WITH WEAK SFC PRESSURE GRADIENTS...DO NOT EXPECT LAKE BREEZES TO
DRIFT TOO FAR INLAND.

WHILE THE GFS MAINTAINS 850S NEAR 18 TO 19 C ON SUNDAY...THE 00Z
ECMWF RISES 850S TOWARDS 20 TO 21 C. TAKING A SPLIT OF THESE TWO
MODELS...TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S
AND SEVERAL LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE GENESEE VALLEY WILL
LIKELY TOP 90.

MONDAY THE 00Z ECMWF HAS BACKED OFF ON MOVING GULF MOISTURE ALONG A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. THE GFS IS IN AGREEMENT.
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY STILL LOOKS GOOD.

TEMPERATURES AT NIGHT WILL BE NEAR NORMAL TO START...THEN SEVERAL
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH THE DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS PASSING INTO
THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PUSHED WELL EAST OF THE AREA
AND WEAKENED EARLY THIS MORNING WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. DRIER
AIR IS NOW ADVECTING INTO THE CWA BEHIND A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT...AND HAS ALLOWED SKIES TO AT LEAST PARTIALLY CLEAR ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA. COLD AIR ADVECTION AND THE ARRIVAL OF WRAP AROUND
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AGAIN THROUGH
DAYBREAK. MUCH OF THIS WILL BE VFR LEVEL STRATUS AND
STRATOCUMULUS...BUT THERE WILL BE SOME AREAS OF MVFR CIGS AS WELL
OVER THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER DUE TO UPSLOPING INTO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. MVFR CIGS ARE ALSO PROBABLE ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION GIVEN UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND MODEL
POINT SOUNDINGS...WITH THE BEST CHANCES BETWEEN 09Z-12Z.

DURING THE DAY TUESDAY EXPECT CLOUDS TO GRADUALLY THIN OUT AS A
NARROW SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA WITH INCREASING SUBSIDENCE
AND DRYING. WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON
GENERALLY OUT OF THE WEST-NORTHWEST...WITH SOME SOUTHWEST WINDS AT
THE END OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO DUE TO FUNNELING DOWN THE
LAKES. TUESDAY EVENING SKIES WILL CLEAR AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH
BEFORE MORE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE ARRIVES TOWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
ON LAKE ONTARIO FROM TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WEST WINDS ARE
ALREADY COMING UP ON LAKE ONTARIO...AND WILL PRODUCE CHOPPY
CONDITIONS WITH 2-4 FOOT WAVES THIS MORNING. AN UNSEASONABLY CHILLY
AIRMASS OVER THE RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS OF THE LAKE WILL PRODUCE
AN UNSTABLE MARINE BOUNDARY LAYER AND COMBINE WITH A MODERATE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TO PRODUCE SOLID SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. EXPECT WINDS TO COME UP INTO THE 20-25
KNOT RANGE WITH 4-7 FOOT WAVES.

ON LAKE ERIE TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER AND THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKER...WHICH SHOULD KEEP CONDITIONS BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA ALTHOUGH WAVES WILL STILL BE CHOPPY AT 2 TO
4 FEET. WINDS MAY COME UP JUST ENOUGH FOR MARGINAL SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY.

WINDS AND WAVES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE
UPCOMING HOLIDAY WEEKEND LOOKS IDEAL WITH HIGH PRESSURE PROVIDING
LIGHT WINDS...LITTLE WAVE ACTION AND WARM TEMPERATURES.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...SAGE
LONG TERM...SAGE/THOMAS
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 28, 5:17 AM EDT, 22 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
517 AM EDT MON JUN 28 2010

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-290930-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
517 AM EDT MON JUN 28 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-290930-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
517 AM EDT MON JUN 28 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 28, 9:51 PM EDT, 6 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
951 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SE PALERMO            43.34N 76.24W
06/28/2010                   OSWEGO             NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TWO BARNS AND TWO SHEDS DESTROYED.

&&

RSH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 8:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFJefferson25 min
Jun 28, 8:22 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF53 min
Jun 28, 8:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFJefferson, Lewis44 min
Jun 28, 8:40 PM EDTTornado WarningBUFOswego35 min
Jun 28, 9:58 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBUFOswego39 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2010Every small craft advisory in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.