Gale Warning 7, NWS Buffalo, NY

287 
WHUS71 KBUF 162058
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
358 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...GALE FORCE WINDS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.A STORM MOVING NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF STATES WILL CROSS THE
LOWER LAKES WEDNESDAY MORNING. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE
WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH RAPID PRESSURE RISES WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS.

LOZ042-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.101117T0000Z-101117T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T2100Z-101118T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
358 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T1600Z-101118T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
358 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-062>065-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T2100Z-101118T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
358 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

598 
WHUS71 KBUF 170238
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
938 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...GALE FORCE WINDS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.A STORM MOVING NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF STATES WILL CROSS THE
LOWER LAKES WEDNESDAY MORNING. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE
WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH RAPID PRESSURE RISES WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS.

LOZ043-171100-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-101117T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T2100Z-101118T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
938 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. A GALE
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-171100-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-101117T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T2100Z-101118T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
938 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-171100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T1600Z-101118T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
938 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-062>065-171100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T2100Z-101118T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
938 PM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR

534 
WHUS71 KBUF 170915
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
415 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE FORCE WINDS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.A STORM MOVING NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF STATES WILL CROSS THE
LOWER LAKES THIS MORNING. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE
WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH RAPID PRESSURE RISES WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS.

LOZ042-043-171715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-101117T1100Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T1900Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
415 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-171715-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T1400Z-101118T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
415 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-062>065-171715-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T1900Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
415 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SAGE

156 
WHUS71 KBUF 171231
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
731 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE FORCE WINDS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.A STORM MOVING NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF STATES WILL CROSS THE
LOWER LAKES THIS MORNING. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE WAKE
OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH RAPID PRESSURE RISES WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS.

LEZ020-040-041-172045-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T1231Z-101118T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
731 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-172045-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T1900Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
731 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SAGE

644 
WHUS71 KBUF 171449
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
949 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE FORCE WINDS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL MOVE DOWN THE ST.
LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH RAPID PRESSURE RISES WILL
PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE LOWER LAKES. 

LOZ043>045-063>065-172300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T1700Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
949 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-172300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0007.101117T1449Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
949 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-172300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
949 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

230 
WHUS71 KBUF 172103
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
403 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE ESAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL MOVE
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TONIGHT. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN
THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH RAPID PRESSURE RISES WILL
PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE LOWER LAKES.

LEZ020-040-041-180300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
403 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-180500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
403 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-180500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
403 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

879 
WHUS71 KBUF 172307
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
607 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL MOVE
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TONIGHT. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN
THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH RAPID PRESSURE RISES WILL
PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE LOWER LAKES.

LEZ040-041-180715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.101117T2307Z-101118T0800Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
607 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST THURSDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-180015-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
607 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-180500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
607 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-180500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
607 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

746 
WHUS71 KBUF 180226
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
926 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE NEARING THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE WILL MOVE
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES OVERNIGHT. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE
WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH RAPID PRESSURE RISES WILL PRODUCE
GALE FORCE WINDS ON LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

LOZ043>045-063>065-180500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
926 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-180500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
926 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-180800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-101118T0800Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
926 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

422 
WHUS71 KBUF 180347
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1047 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

LOZ042>045-180900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-101118T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1047 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

&&


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-180500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-101118T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1047 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 


$$

LEZ040-041-180900-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-101118T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1047 PM EST WED NOV 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
626 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL
MOVE NORTH INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND BRING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
TO THE REGION LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY AND IT WILL TURN QUITE WINDY AS WELL AS THE LOW PASSES BY
JUST TO OUR NORTH. COOLER AND MORE SEASONABLE WEATHER WILL THEN RULE
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AN ACTIVE PERIOD IN STORE AS A SIGNIFICANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DEVELOPS OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. 08Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST. MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY AND OBJECTIVE RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS AN
INTENSE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE CENTRAL CONUS
LONGWAVE TROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING NEAR THE ARKLATEX. AS THIS
FEATURE APPROACHES AND CAPTURES THE DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW...RAPID
INTENSIFICATION WILL ENSUE.

MODEL GUIDANCE NOW IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC
EVOLUTION WITH THE NAM FINALLY COMING AROUND TOWARD THE GFS/GEM
SOLUTIONS. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE NOW TRACKS THE SURFACE LOW TO CENTRAL
KENTUCKY BY THIS AFTERNOON THEN ACROSS LAKE ERIE TO A POSITION JUST
WEST OF KBUF AT 12Z WEDNESDAY. THE ORIGIN OF THIS SYSTEM IN THE DEEP
SOUTH WILL ALLOW A DEEP PLUME OF GULF MOISTURE TO BE CAPTURED AND
ADVECTED NORTHWARD WITH PWAT EXCEEDING 1 INCH TONIGHT...SOME 2-3
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE AVERAGE FOR MID NOVEMBER. AS THE SURFACE
LOW INTENSIFIES LATER TODAY...A WING OF STRONG WARM ADVECTION WILL
DEVELOP AHEAD OF IT AND SPREAD QUICKLY NORTH TOWARDS THE LOWER LAKES
REGION. IMPRESSIVE DYNAMICS WILL COME TOGETHER WITH A WELL DEFINED
JET COUPLET DEVELOPING ALOFT SUPPORTED BY THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION
OF AN EAST/WEST ORIENTED JET OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA...AND THE LEFT
EXIT REGION OF A SSW/NNE ORIENTED JET MOVING UP ALONG THE EASTERN
SEABOARD. THE JET COUPLET WILL COMBINE WITH STRONGLY DIFFLUENT MID
AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW TO PRODUCE STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT. AT THE SAME
TIME...A VERY STRONG 60-70 KNOT SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL
DEVELOP ON THE FRONT SIDE OF THE DEEPENING CYCLONE PRODUCING STRONG
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND ENHANCED ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE ACROSS THE
DEVELOPING WARM FRONTAL ZONE. ALL OF THIS FORCING APPEARS TO LINE UP
IN TIME AND SPACE TO PRODUCE A PERIOD OF STRONG DEEP LAYER ASCENT
ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES REGION TONIGHT.

GIVEN THE QUALITY OF THE MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS COMING TOGETHER...
EXPECT A WIDESPREAD MODERATE QPF EVENT WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A
HALF INCH TO AN INCH ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...WITH SOME LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN SOME UPSLOPE AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
NEAR THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET. THE SHORT DURATION WILL LIMIT
EXCESSIVE QPF POTENTIAL...WITH MOST OF THE RAIN FALLING IN A 6-8
HOUR PERIOD. THE AREA HAS BEEN VERY DRY FOR THE PAST FEW WEEKS... SO
NO HYDRO PROBLEMS ARE FORESEEN OTHER THAN SOME PONDING IN POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS. AS FAR AS TIMING GOES...EXPECT RAIN TO OVERSPREAD
THE SOUTHERN TIER DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON THEN REACH THE
SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO BY LATE AFTERNOON...FINALLY REACHING THE
NORTH COUNTRY EARLY THIS EVENING. SHOWALTER INDEX APPROACHES ZERO OR
EVEN GOES SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE TONIGHT...SO MAY SEE A FEW ISOLATED
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL TONIGHT.

OVERNIGHT THE PRIMARY AREA OF WARM ADVECTION AND FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET AND UPPER LEVEL JET COUPLET WILL SHIFT NORTH
AND EAST INTO CANADA AND NORTHERN NY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE STEADY
RAIN TO TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS TEMPORARILY ACROSS WESTERN NY
AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME SUGGESTION OF A MID LEVEL DRY SLOT NOTED
IN BOTH THE NAM/GFS GUIDANCE. BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE WILL ALREADY BE MOVING BACK INTO WESTERN NY...WITH STRONG
MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND FORCING ALONG A SURGING COLD FRONTAL ZONE
SUPPORTING AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS ONCE AGAIN.

OTHER CONCERN FOR TONIGHT IS WIND POTENTIAL EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
THE STRONG 60-70 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET WILL BE ORIENTED FROM SOUTHEAST
TO NORTHWEST...WHICH IS A FAVORABLE ORIENTATION FOR DOWNSLOPE WINDS
AND CHANNELING IN THE BLACK RIVER VALLEY AND FORT DRUM AREA. NAM
POINT SOUNDINGS IN LEWIS COUNTY SHOW AN INVERSION NEAR THE
ADIRONDACK RIDGE TOPS AT 2-3 THOUSAND FEET...AND 60+ KNOT WINDS
EXTENDING DOWN TO JUST ABOVE THE RIDGES. THE STABLE LOW LEVELS
SHOULD PROVIDE A FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT FOR A DOWNSLOPE
WIND EVENT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ON THE LEE SLOPES OF THE
ADIRONDACKS. WITH THIS IN MIND AND GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW
LEVEL JET...WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT FOR JEFFERSON AND
LEWIS COUNTIES. THIS IS MAINLY FOR THE BLACK RIVER VALLEY AND FORT
DRUM/HARRISVILLE AREAS. FARTHER WEST THE LAKE ERIE SHORE IS ALSO
SUSCEPTIBLE TO DOWNSLOPE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS...HOWEVER THE CORE OF
THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL PASS TO THE EAST OF THIS REGION SO THIS
SHOULD NOT BE AN ISSUE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH CLOSER AGREEMENT WITH THIS CYCLE FOR THE
WEDNESDAY'S DEEPENING LOW TRACK. EVEN THE RECENT OUTLIER NAM IS ON
BOARD TO TRACK THE DEEPENING LOW JUST WEST OF BUFFALO AROUND 12Z
WEDNESDAY. THIS TRACK COUPLED WITH A STRONG ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT
WILL LEAD TO FAIR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THE WINDS WILL
REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY OR WARNING CRITERIA BUT IT BEARS KEEPING AN
EYE ON IF THE STORM DEEPENS EVEN MORE THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.

HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE NON DIURNAL. HIGHS WILL BE IN
THE MORNING BEFORE COLDER AIR WRAPS AROUND THE LOW AS IT TRACKS
TOWARD THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY.

SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ONLY LIKELY
PROBABILITIES LEFT FOR THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY THE END OF
THE DAY.

THERE WILL BE A FURTHER DECREASE IN ACTIVITY FOR AWHILE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT BUT AS COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO SWEEP SOUTHEASTWARD AROUND THE
DEPARTING LOW LAKE EFFECT AND UPSLOPE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE GENERALLY IN THE 30S. 850 MB TEMPERATURES ARE
MARGINAL BUT SNOW SHOWERS ARE LIKELY TO MIX IN WITH THE RAIN
SHOWERS. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THURSDAY WILL BE A CHILLY DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S BUT THAT'S NEAR
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR ANYWAY. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS
WITH THE HIGHEST POPS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES. SCATTERED MIXED RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT IN UPSLOPE AREAS
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES. WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE LOW 30S
TO UPPER 20S THERE MAY BE SOME MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATION. WE WILL KEEP
AN EYE ON THAT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
PROGRESSIVE PATTERN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS THE UPPER TROUGH SWINGS OUT OF THE AREA ALLOWING FOR
SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT RISES. SURFACE RIDGE WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
QUICKLY ON FRIDAY WHICH WILL END ANY LINGERING LAKE INDUCED
PRECIPITATION. SURFACE WARM FRONT LIFTING QUICKLY THROUGH THE
UPPER MIDWEST AND CENTRAL GREAT LAKES AS WEAK CLIPPER TYPE LOW
MOVES ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR INTO QUEBEC FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY
NIGHT. LIMITED ASSOCIATED MOISTURE GIVEN THE SOURCE REGION AND
RAPID MOVEMENT...AND WITH THE PRIMARY WARM FRONTAL ZONE LINING UP
NORTH OF THE AREA...WOULD EXPECT THE PRIMARY PRECIPITATION
CHANCES TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA...ALTHOUGH CAN SEE SOME
PRECIPITATION SNEAKING INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY AND SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY. TEMPERATURES MARGINAL FRIDAY NIGHT SO COULD SEE A
RAIN/SNOW MIX...BUT CERTAINLY NOT A SIGNIFICANT EVENT EXPECTED.

FOR THE MOST PART...THE WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE. SOME
LINGERING COLD AIR IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW COULD BRING SOME LAKE
RESPONSE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY MORNING...OTHERWISE
RIDGING BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER
ALONG WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

WARM FRONTAL ZONE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT
LAKES SUNDAY AND LIFTING SLOWLY ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY.
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE ALONG THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
PATCHES OF MID LEVEL CLOUD CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THESE SHOULD TEND TO LIFT NORTH OF
THE AREA AND BREAK APART THIS MORNING. THE FAIR WEATHER WILL BE
SHORT LIVED AS MID/HIGH CLOUDS SPREAD NORTH THIS AFTERNOON IN
ADVANCE OF A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES. WARM AIR
ADVECTION WILL QUICKLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH RAIN
OVERSPREADING THE SOUTHERN TIER FIRST IN THE 18Z-20Z TIME FRAME THEN
REACHING THE KBUF-KROC CORRIDOR BY 20Z-22Z...FINALLY STARTING AT
KART AROUND 00Z. EXPECT CIGS/VSBY TO BE VFR DURING THE FIRST FEW
HOURS OF RAIN. BY THIS EVENING THE LOW LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO
SATURATE...AND THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME MORE NORTHEAST WHICH
IS ONE OF THE FAVORED DIRECTIONS FOR IFR AT MANY OF THE TAF SITES.
THUS EXPECT CIGS TO DETERIORATE TO WIDESPREAD IFR BY MID EVENING
WITH STEADY SOAKING RAIN. THERE WILL ALSO BE AREAS OF FOG AND LOCAL
LIFR ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AS THE STRATUS
LAYER INTERSECTS THE HILLS.

LATER TONIGHT EXPECT THE STEADIER RAIN TO PUSH EAST OF THE WESTERN
NY TAF SITES...LEAVING BEHIND SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS. SURFACE WINDS
WILL ALSO BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW CIGS
TO IMPROVE TO MVFR. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WRAP AROUND SHOWERS WILL BE
INCREASING ONCE AGAIN ACROSS WESTERN NY WITH WIDESPREAD MVFR AND
AREAS IF IFR CIGS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER. OVER AT KART EXPECT IFR AND RAIN TO LAST THROUGH THE
NIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY...WIDESPREAD MVFR WITH AREAS OF IFR IN OCCASIONAL SHOWERS.
THURSDAY...AREAS OF MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR.
SATURDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE DEEP SOUTH THIS MORNING WILL MOVE
NORTH THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY LATE TODAY THEN REACH A POINT JUST
WEST OF BUFFALO BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE MOVING DOWN THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. EASTERLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY ON LAKE ONTARIO
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS TO THE WEST HALF OF THE LAKE.

AS THE SURFACE LOW PASSES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WINDS WILL SWING
AROUND TO THE WEST AND RAPIDLY INCREASE. MODEST COLD AIR ADVECTION
WILL SUPPORT DOWNWARD MOMENTUM OF STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT...AND
STRONG PRESSURE RISES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL ALSO
SUPPORT SAME. WE WILL ISSUE GALE WATCHES FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR NYZ007-008.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
         FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
         EVENING FOR LOZ042>045-062>065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
         WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...SAGE
LONG TERM...TMA
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
539 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

NYZ007-008-171045-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
539 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LOWER LAKES REGION
ON WEDNESDAY. RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TUESDAY EVENING AHEAD
OF THIS LOW. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH TO AN INCH ARE
LIKELY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ON THE TUG HILL. THE AREA HAS
BEEN DRY RECENTLY...SO STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL BE ABLE TO HANDLE
THE RAINFALL.

AS THE LOW MOVES BY WINDS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE
DAY WEDNESDAY. WEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG
THE LAKE ERIE SHORE INLAND ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NEW YORK AND
ALSO NEAR LAKE ONTARIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>006-010>014-019>021-085-171045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
539 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LOWER LAKES REGION
ON WEDNESDAY. RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AHEAD OF THIS LOW. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH TO AN
INCH ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ON THE TUG HILL. THE
AREA HAS BEEN DRY RECENTLY...SO STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL BE ABLE TO
HANDLE THE RAINFALL.

AS THE LOW MOVES BY WINDS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE
DAY WEDNESDAY. WEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG
THE LAKE ERIE SHORE INLAND ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NEW YORK AND
ALSO NEAR LAKE ONTARIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-171045-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
539 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LOWER LAKES REGION
ON WEDNESDAY. WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF THIS LOW AND
MAY PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING ON
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-171045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
539 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LOWER LAKES REGION
ON WEDNESDAY. WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF THIS LOW AND
MAY PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING ON
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-171045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
539 AM EST TUE NOV 16 2010

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LOWER LAKES REGION
ON WEDNESDAY. WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF THIS LOW AND
MAY PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING ON
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SAGE