Storm Warning 78, NWS Anchorage, AK

587 
FZAK51 PAFC 100046
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE MAR 9 2010

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101500-
400 PM AKST TUE MAR 9 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
RESIDUAL LOW PRESSURE OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN
OVERNIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF ON THU
MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-101500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE MAR 9 2010

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WED NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-101500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE MAR 9 2010

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. EXCEPT SW 25 KT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. 
SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-101500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE MAR 9 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-101500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE MAR 9 2010

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS THIS
EVENING. WINDS INCREASING TO W 15 KT GUSTING 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT GUSTING 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-101500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE MAR 9 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-101500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE MAR 9 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 50 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE IN THE EVENING. SEAS
15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-101500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE MAR 9 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-101500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE MAR 9 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT EXCEPT SW WIND 15 KT NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SW WIND 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NW WIND 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-101500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE MAR 9 2010

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT GUSTING 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
100 PM AKST MON MAR 8 2010

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON GULF LOW AS IT MOVES
INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THIS EVENING IN THE RANGE OF 965 MB.
RESIDUAL LOW CENTER REMAINS OVER NORTHERN COOK INLET THROUGH TUE
NIGHT. A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING TUE AND
OVER DUTCH HARBOR TUE NIGHT.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL
AND WESTERN PART OF SOUTHWEST ZONES THIS AFTERNOON WILL TURN TO SNOW
THIS EVENING AS THE LOW MOVES INTO PWS. MODERATE NORTHEAST WINDS IN
COOK INLET WILL TRANSITION TO MODERATE TO STRONG WEST WINDS THIS
EVENING FROM NORTHERN COOK INLET TO KODIAK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...SNOW AND WIND WITH BLIZZARD OR NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS IN MANY AREAS. SNOW AMOUNTS IN LOWER ELEVATIONS 3 TO 5
INCHES TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON TUE WITH SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING LATE TUE
AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS DIMINISHING TUE AFTERNOON.

COPPER RIVER BASIN...WIDESPREAD SNOW DEVELOPING THIS EVENING AND
CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF TUE. HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN THE MOUNTAINS BUT
2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE IN LOW LANDS.

SOUTHWEST...SNOW ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE OTHERWISE MOSTLY LOW CLOUDS
AND STRATUS.  TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN COLD THROUGH WED.

GREATER BERING SEA...A MODEST LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES ACROSS ON TUE
WITH SNOW SHOWERS WITH SOME LOCALLY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THIS LOW.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
MAINLAND...REMAINING COOL WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.
GREATER BERING...A FRONT MOVES INTO WESTERN ALEUTIANS THU MORNING AND
PROGRESSIVELY MOVES OVER DUTCH HARBOR FRI MORNING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD: 121 125 131 171-ENDING THIS AFTERNOON
MARINE...    GALES: 120 132 138 140 160 165 150 155 170
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JMP MAR 10