Gale Warning 247, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
100 PM AKST MON MAR 8 2010

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON GULF LOW AS IT MOVES
INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THIS EVENING IN THE RANGE OF 965 MB.
RESIDUAL LOW CENTER REMAINS OVER NORTHERN COOK INLET THROUGH TUE
NIGHT. A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING TUE AND
OVER DUTCH HARBOR TUE NIGHT.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL
AND WESTERN PART OF SOUTHWEST ZONES THIS AFTERNOON WILL TURN TO SNOW
THIS EVENING AS THE LOW MOVES INTO PWS. MODERATE NORTHEAST WINDS IN
COOK INLET WILL TRANSITION TO MODERATE TO STRONG WEST WINDS THIS
EVENING FROM NORTHERN COOK INLET TO KODIAK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...SNOW AND WIND WITH BLIZZARD OR NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS IN MANY AREAS. SNOW AMOUNTS IN LOWER ELEVATIONS 3 TO 5
INCHES TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON TUE WITH SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING LATE TUE
AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS DIMINISHING TUE AFTERNOON.

COPPER RIVER BASIN...WIDESPREAD SNOW DEVELOPING THIS EVENING AND
CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF TUE. HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN THE MOUNTAINS BUT
2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE IN LOW LANDS.

SOUTHWEST...SNOW ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE OTHERWISE MOSTLY LOW CLOUDS
AND STRATUS.  TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN COLD THROUGH WED.

GREATER BERING SEA...A MODEST LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES ACROSS ON TUE
WITH SNOW SHOWERS WITH SOME LOCALLY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THIS LOW.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
MAINLAND...REMAINING COOL WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.
GREATER BERING...A FRONT MOVES INTO WESTERN ALEUTIANS THU MORNING AND
PROGRESSIVELY MOVES OVER DUTCH HARBOR FRI MORNING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD: 121 125 131 171-ENDING THIS AFTERNOON
MARINE...    GALES: 120 132 138 140 160 165 150 155 170
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JMP MAR 10