Storm Warning 71, NWS Anchorage, AK

115 
FZAK51 PAFC 060025
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI MAR 5 2010

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061500-
400 PM AKST FRI MAR 5 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 975 MB LOW 15 NM WEST OF KENAI MOVES ONSHORE OVERNIGHT AND
DISSIPATES. A 1000 MB LOW 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY SAT NIGHT MOVES
ONSHORE OVER YAKUTAT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN PRESSURE SUN AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-061500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST FRI MAR 5 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT...DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS
24 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 40 KT W OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W
OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-061500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST FRI MAR 5 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-061500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST FRI MAR 5 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT...DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS
8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-061500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST FRI MAR 5 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE
EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-061500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI MAR 5 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT EXCEPT 11 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-061500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST FRI MAR 5 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY S
OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY S OF DANGEROUS
CAPE. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-061500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI MAR 5 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-061500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST FRI MAR 5 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-061500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI MAR 5 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT...INCREASING TO SW WIND 40 KT DURING
THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
510 PM AKST THU MAR 4 2010

.MODEL DISCUSSION...GFS NAM AND ECMWF IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MAJOR
SYSTEM PRESENTLY LOCATED SOUTH OF EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...WEAK LOW THAT WAS OVER KENAI PENINSULA
THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON. ALL UPPER AND
LOWER ATMOSPHERE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP LOW IN EASTERN
ALEUTIANS. STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET ACCOMPANIES THIS SYSTEM THAT
MOVES INTO THE GULF FRIDAY MORNING.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BERING REGION...WEAK LOW MOVES THROUGH FRI AND ANOTHER SIMILAR
SYSTEM ON SAT. PRIMARILY MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS WITH CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS.

SOUTHWESTERN...SNOW AND EAST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GENERATE SOME
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

SOUTHCENTRAL...FRONT MOVES OVER KODIAK FRI EVENING AND OVER KENAI
PEN FRI MORNING. STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS LATE THUR NIGHT
THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON. SNOW INLAND WITH RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE
COAST FRI AFTERNOON. COOLING ON FRI NIGHT WITH COLD ADVECTION FROM
THE WEST. EXPECT UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND POTENTIAL FOR SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH LATE SAT MORNING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MAIN FEATURE IS A LOW IN THE BERING THAT
MOVES EASTWARD AND MOVES ON SHORE NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM EARLY SUN
MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A TRIPLE POINT LOW DEVELOPING OVER
KODIAK. SHOULD REMAIN CLOUDY WITH SEASONABLE TO COOL TEMPERATURES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 125 131 161 181 185 187 195.
         HIGH WIND WARNING ZONE 101.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...130 132 150 155 165 170 171 172.
         GALE WARNING...120 125 129 138 141 160 179 180.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...138 140 155 165 170 176 179.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JMP MAR 10