Gale Warning 231, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
510 PM AKST THU MAR 4 2010

.MODEL DISCUSSION...GFS NAM AND ECMWF IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MAJOR
SYSTEM PRESENTLY LOCATED SOUTH OF EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...WEAK LOW THAT WAS OVER KENAI PENINSULA
THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON. ALL UPPER AND
LOWER ATMOSPHERE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP LOW IN EASTERN
ALEUTIANS. STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET ACCOMPANIES THIS SYSTEM THAT
MOVES INTO THE GULF FRIDAY MORNING.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BERING REGION...WEAK LOW MOVES THROUGH FRI AND ANOTHER SIMILAR
SYSTEM ON SAT. PRIMARILY MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS WITH CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS.

SOUTHWESTERN...SNOW AND EAST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GENERATE SOME
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

SOUTHCENTRAL...FRONT MOVES OVER KODIAK FRI EVENING AND OVER KENAI
PEN FRI MORNING. STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS LATE THUR NIGHT
THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON. SNOW INLAND WITH RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE
COAST FRI AFTERNOON. COOLING ON FRI NIGHT WITH COLD ADVECTION FROM
THE WEST. EXPECT UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND POTENTIAL FOR SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH LATE SAT MORNING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MAIN FEATURE IS A LOW IN THE BERING THAT
MOVES EASTWARD AND MOVES ON SHORE NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM EARLY SUN
MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A TRIPLE POINT LOW DEVELOPING OVER
KODIAK. SHOULD REMAIN CLOUDY WITH SEASONABLE TO COOL TEMPERATURES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 125 131 161 181 185 187 195.
         HIGH WIND WARNING ZONE 101.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...130 132 150 155 165 170 171 172.
         GALE WARNING...120 125 129 138 141 160 179 180.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...138 140 155 165 170 176 179.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JMP MAR 10