Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2010
Storm Warning 233, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 10, 2010, 10:30 PM AKST. It was in force for 18 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 10, 2010, 10:30 PM AKST (07:30 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 11, 2010, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
275 FZAK51 PAFC 110730 AAB CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 1030 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010 AMENDED ALL ZONES EXCEPT 121 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-111500- 400 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 955 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL WEAKEN TO 976 MB AS IT MOVES TO 110 NM EAST OF KODIAK THU AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA ON FRI. $$ PKZ120-111500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 1030 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...EAST WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ121-111500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ125-111500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 1030 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-111500- PASSAGE CANAL 1030 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-111500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 1030 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 65 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT EXCEPT 16 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN. .THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT EXCEPT 16 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-111500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 1030 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ138-111500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 1030 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-111500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 1030 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT EXCEPT N 40 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 7 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ141-111500- KACHEMAK BAY 1030 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
081 FZAK51 PAFC 111243 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-120300- 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET...A 967 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WEAKENS TO 982 MB 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD TONIGHT AND DISSIPATES OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA FRI MORNING. A 984 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK TONIGHT MOVES TO 200 NM EAST OF KODIAK AT 991 MB FRI MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATES OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SAT MORNING. $$ PKZ120-120300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND THIS MORNING. WINDS BECOMING E 50 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS SUBSIDING 18 TO 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT SE 30 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT AND SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ121-120300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ125-120300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KT THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE THIS MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ129-120300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ130-120300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NE 50 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. SEAS 22 FT EXCEPT 16 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 40 KT...SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ132-120300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ138-120300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ140-120300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 7 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 7 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ141-120300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
960 FZAK51 PAFC 111519 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 620 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 UPDATED ZONES 120 AND 125 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-120300- 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET...A 967 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WEAKENS TO 982 MB 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD TONIGHT AND DISSIPATES OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA FRI MORNING. A 984 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK TONIGHT MOVES TO 200 NM EAST OF KODIAK AT 991 MB FRI MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATES OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SAT MORNING. $$ PKZ120-120300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 620 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 60 KT E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND THIS MORNING. WINDS BECOMING E 50 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS SUBSIDING 18 TO 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT SE 30 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT AND SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ121-120300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ125-120300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 620 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KT THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE THIS MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ129-120300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ130-120300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NE 50 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. SEAS 22 FT EXCEPT 16 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 40 KT...SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ132-120300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ138-120300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ140-120300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 7 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 7 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ141-120300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
240 FZAK51 PAFC 111621 AAB CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 720 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 UPDATED ZONES 121 129 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-120300- 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET...A 967 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WEAKENS TO 982 MB 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD TONIGHT AND DISSIPATES OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA FRI MORNING. A 984 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK TONIGHT MOVES TO 200 NM EAST OF KODIAK AT 991 MB FRI MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATES OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SAT MORNING. $$ PKZ120-120300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 620 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 60 KT E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND THIS MORNING. WINDS BECOMING E 50 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS SUBSIDING 18 TO 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT SE 30 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT AND SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ121-120300- RESURRECTION BAY 720 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ125-120300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 620 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KT THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE THIS MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ129-120300- PASSAGE CANAL 720 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ130-120300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NE 50 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. SEAS 22 FT EXCEPT 16 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 40 KT...SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ132-120300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ138-120300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ140-120300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 7 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 7 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ141-120300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
698 FZAK51 PAFC 120026 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-121500- 400 PM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 980 MB LOW 210 NM EAST OF KODIAK WILL DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL TEMPORARILY BUILD OVER THE GULF ON SAT. $$ PKZ120-121500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ121-121500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ125-121500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ129-121500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ130-121500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ132-121500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ138-121500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ140-121500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-121500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKST THU NOV 11 2010 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 10, 12:40 PM AKST, 9 hours 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 10, 12:40 PM AKST, 9 hours 50 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1240 PM AKST WED NOV 10 2010
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE FOCUS FOR TODAY IS A MAJOR STORM
ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THIS
LOW NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE BERING. A STRONG JET STREAK ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE TROUGH IS FEEDING ARCTIC AIR INTO THE SYSTEM. SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES COLD AIR IS ALREADY WRAPPING BACK AROUND THE
CENTER AND THE SYSTEM IS OCCLUDING. WINDS ARE RAPIDLY INCREASING
ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA AND ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA AS THE
SYSTEM APPROACHES. A SHORT-WAVE RIDGE DOWNSTREAM OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
WAS PARTIALLY RESPONSIBLE FOR PRODUCING AREAS OF STRATUS AND FOG
OVERNIGHT. AN INCREASE IN WINDS ALONG COASTAL AREAS HAS ERODED
MUCH OF THIS BUT STRATUS REMAINS QUITE EXTENSIVE OVER INLAND
AREAS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. OUT WEST
CONDITIONS ARE VERY QUIET WITH JUST A FEW AREAS OF SHOWERS.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS INITIALIZED WELL WITH THE MAJOR PACIFIC
LOW BUT THERE ARE KEY DIFFERENCES IN THE TRACK OF THE LOW AS IT
MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS HAS
BEEN THE MOST CONSISTENT MODEL BUT IS FARTHER WEST THAN ANY OTHER
SOLUTIONS. THE ECMWF...WHICH HAD BEEN TRENDING TOWARD THE WESTERN
GFS SOLUTION HAS NOW TRENDED WAY TO THE EAST. THE NAM/UKMET/GEM
ARE ALL CLOSE TOGETHER IN BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS.
A LOOK AT GFS ENSEMBLES SHOWS VERY LITTLE VARIATION IN POSITION.
ALSO...WITH AN INCREASING NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH THESE LOWS HAVE
A TENDENCY TO MOVE BACK TOWARD THE COLD AIR. THEREFORE...PREFER TO
GO WITH A SOLUTION CLOSER TO THE GFS PERHPAS TEMPERED A BIT BY THE
MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION OF THE NAM/UKMET/GEM. THE TRACK WILL HAVE
HUGE RAMIFICATIONS ON THE WIND AND PRECIP FORECAST ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL.
MODELS ALSO DIFFER ON TIMING AND STRENGTH OF NEXT SYSTEM WHICH JET
RAPIDLY DRIVES INTO THE GULF THURSDAY NIGHT. GFS/ECMWF BLEND SEEMS
LIKE A NICE COMPROMISE. SOME OF THE MODELS HINT AT YET ANOTHER WEAK
LOW FOLLOWING THIS...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THE FAST FLOW ALOFT.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE OCCLUDED FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SHEAR APART
AS IT REACHES THE NORTH GULF COAST. THEREFORE...DON'T EXPECT THE
STORM FORCE WINDS TO PENETRATE INLAND OR INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
THE OTHER IMPORTANT AFFECT OF THIS IS THAT THE MUCH WARMER AIR WILL
INITIALLY BE HELD OUT OVER THE GULF SO THAT PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL
BE PREDOMINANTLY SNOW ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA AND PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND REGIONS THIS TONIGHT. WARMER AIR WILL MAKE PROGRESS INLAND
THURSDAY...SO PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN ALONG
THE COASTAL AREAS. THE LOW CENTER WILL LAG WELL BEHIND THE OCCLUDED
FRONT. AS IT APPROACHES THE KENAI PENINSULA THURSDAY AFTERNOON WINDS
WILL INCREASE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND ANOTHER SLUG OF PRECIP
WILL MOVE IN. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK OF THE LOW. THE
MOST LIKELY SCENARIO SEEMS TO TAKE THE LOW OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA
TOWARD COOK INLET. THIS TRACK WILL RESULT IN STRONG EASTERLY WINDS
FROM CORDOVA TO EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM. THE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY
DISSIPATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AND TRACK INLAND...SO MOST
PLACES WILL LIKELY SEE A QUICK SHOT OF PRECIP. WITH LOTS OF WARM
AIR THIS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN OR A MIX OF RAIN AND
SNOW.
RIGHT BEHIND THIS SYSTEM MODELS INDICATE A SHORT-WAVE MOVING OUT OF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON SATURDAY AND ANOTHER PACIFIC SYSTEM MOVING TO
SOUTHCENTRAL BY SATURDAY NIGHT. THEREFORE...UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE.
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...BRISTOL BAY WILL BE ON THE OUTER EDGE OF THE
SYSTEM TRACKING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
THERE WILL BE SOME DECENT OVERRUNNING...SO EXPECT AREAS OF LIGHT
PRECIP TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES
ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY WARM SO THAT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A VARIETY
OF PRECIPITATION TYPES FROM SNOW TO FREEZING RAIN TO ALL RAIN.
FURTHER NORTH FROM THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TO KUSKOKWIM DELTA THE
ONLY IMPACT FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BE GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS. THE
UPPER LOW WHICH HAS BEEN SITTING OVER THE BERING SEA FOR THE PAST
WEEK OR MORE WILL LIFT OFF TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. DYNAMICS LOOK PRETTY WEAK AS THE LOW
OPENS INTO A WAVE...SO JUST EXPECT SOME LIGHT SNOW AS THIS MOVES
THROUGH.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...A SYSTEM SOUTH OF KAMCHATKA THIS MORNING
WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC CREATING A
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN. THIS WILL ENSURE THAT MAJOR STORMS
STAY AWAY FROM THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS. INSTEAD A COLD ADVECTION
PATTERN WILL SET-UP RESULTING IN GUSTY NORTHERLIES AND SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE LARGE VARIATIONS IN THE
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS. HOWEVER...THERE IS GENERAL AGREEMENT ON
BUILDING OF A RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WOULD
LEAD TO THE FIRST MAJOR ARCTIC AIR OUTBREAK OVER MAINLAND ALASKA.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...120 130 132 138 140 150.
GALE WARNING...125 141 155 160 165.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
SEB NOV 10The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 7 hr | |
| Nov 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 10, 4:23 PM AKST | Dense Fog Advisory | AFC | 3 hr | |
| Nov 10, 10:30 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 18 hr | |
| Nov 10, 10:30 PM AKST | Hurricane Force Wind Warning | AFC | 6 hr | |
| Nov 10, 10:45 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 29 hr | |
| Nov 10, 10:50 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 5 hr | |
| Nov 10, 10:50 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 53 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 11:55 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.