Gale Warning 99, NWS Anchorage, AK

629 
FZAK62 PAFC 121257
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-130300-
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A GALE FORCE 984 MB LOW AT 57N 174W REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY AND
DISSIPATES FRI EVENING. A GALE FORCE 968 MB LOW AT 56N 152W WEAKENS
TO 982 MB FRI NIGHT AS IT MOVES TO 57N 158W...THEN DISSIPATES SAT
EVENING AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 60N 166W. A NORTHWEST PACIFIC LOW
STRENGTHENS TO 988 MB SAT NIGHT AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TO 53N 175E.
$$

PKZ411-130300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
56N. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ412-130300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF
176W. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ413-130300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ414-130300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

552 
FZAK62 PAFC 130028
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-131500-
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 975 MB LOW NEAR 56N 156W MOVES TO 58N 163W AND WEAKENS TO 987 MB
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW THEN BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY AND
WEAKENS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW NEAR 50N 170E MOVES TO
53N 174E AND INTENSIFIES TO 989 MB SATURDAY MORNING. THIS LOW THEN
MOVES NORTHWEST AND WEAKENS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ411-131500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-131500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-131500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-131500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY
FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

832 
FZAK62 PAFC 130349 CCA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-131500-
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 975 MB LOW NEAR 56N 156W MOVES TO 58N 163W AND WEAKENS TO 987 MB
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW THEN BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY AND
WEAKENS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW NEAR 50N 170E MOVES TO
53N 174E AND WEAKENS TO 989 MB SATURDAY MORNING. THIS LOW THEN
MOVES NORTHWEST AND WEAKENS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ411-131500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-131500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-131500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-131500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY
FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

495 
FZAK62 PAFC 131302
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-140300-
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 985 MB LOW NEAR 57N 161W MOVES TO NEAR 59N 164W AND WEAKENS TO 989
MB SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATES. A 994 MB LOW NEAR 49N 176E
SAT MORNING WILL MOVE TO 50N 177W SUN MORNING AND STRENGTHEN TO
988 MB. THIS LOW THEN MOVES TO NEAR 49N 168W AND WEAKENS TO 990 MB BY
MON MORNING.
$$

PKZ411-140300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 TO 40 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-140300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-140300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-140300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

891 
FZAK62 PAFC 140028
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-141500-
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 991 MB LOW NEAR 58N 163W WILL DISSIPATE SATURDAY NIGHT. A 992 MB
LOW NEAR 49N 178E WILL MOVE TO 49N 175W SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS 992 MB
LOW WILL MOVE TO 48N 168W MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-141500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-141500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-141500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 TO 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-141500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2010

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS NORTH FROM THE WEST COAST OF THE
US...THROUGH WESTERN CANADA...AND INTO THE BEAUFORT SEA. SOUTHERLY
WINDS ON THE UPSTREAM SIDE OF THE RIDGE CONTINUE TO FEED WARM GULF
AIR UP INTO MUCH OF MAINLAND ALASKA. OUT WEST...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM A LOW IN SIBERIA IS DRAPED ACROSS MUCH OF THE
BERING SEA...THE ALEUTIANS...AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. A
NUMBER OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES ARE ROTATING UP AND AROUND THIS
TROUGH.

AT THE SURFACE...A SERIES OF SURFACE LOWS ARE TRAINING AROUND THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC. A 965MB LOW IS ROTATING
INTO THE GULF AND STARTING TO SPREAD SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
WHILE A SECOND 974MB LOW IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN GENERAL ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM...ALTHOUGH THE GFS IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER WITH THE CURRENT LOW IN
THE GULF. MODELS ARE GRADUALLY CONVERGING ON A SOLUTION FOR THE TRACK
OF THE LOW NEAR THE PRIBILOFS...WITH THE ECMWF ALIGNING MORE WITH THE
GFS AND NAM. HOWEVER...AS THE LOW DEVOLVES INTO A SHORTWAVE
TOMORROW...THE MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE WITH REGARDS TO THE TRACK AND
STRENGTH OF THE RESIDUAL SHORTWAVE. SOME PROBLEMS BEGIN TO ARISE WITH
THE NEXT LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH THE NAM
BEING THE ONLY MODEL SPLITTING THIS SYSTEM INTO A DOUBLE BARREL LOW.
BY SUNDAY THE ECMWF LOW LAGS A GOOD 12 HOURS BEHIND THE GFS...AND THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO DIVERGE INTO NEXT WEEK. THE GFS WAS THE MODEL OF
CHOICE IN THE SHORT TERM. HOWEVER...THE DEPICTION OF A DOUBLE BARREL
LOW IN THE GULF OVER THE WEEKEND SEEMS MORE REALISTIC...THUS A BLEND
TOWARDS THE NAM WAS USED FURTHER OUT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

.SOUTHCENTRAL...THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE GULF COAST IS
ALREADY VISIBLE ON THE MIDDLETON ISLAND RADAR AND SHOULD MOVE ONSHORE
LATER THIS EVENING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE GULF LOW. EASTERLY
DOWNSLOPING FLOW SHOULD HELP ANCHORAGE AND REGIONS WEST AND NORTH OF
THE CHUGACH REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY...THOUGH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER CANNOT
BE RULED OUT. THUS WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOSTLY BE CONFINED
TO UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE KENAI PENINSULA AND THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST. THE WARM AIR MASS CURRENTLY OVER THE REGION WILL RESULT IN A
RAIN EVENT FOR THE GULF COAST...WITH SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE
BIGGEST IMPACT THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE IS STRONG GUSTY WINDS THROUGH
BAYS AND PASSES...SUCH AS TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE PORTAGE PASS. THE LOW
WILL TURN WEST TOMORROW AND REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF COAST.

.SOUTHWEST...MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AS A
LOW NEAR THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST AND WEAKEN.
WINDS SHOULD TURN MORE NORTHERLY IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW MOVING UP IN
THE GULF AND HELP USHER IN A SLIGHTLY COLDER AIR MASS. THE NEXT SHOT
OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE GULF LOW TRACKS
ACROSS THE AKPEN AND INTO BRISTOL BAY.

.ALEUTIANS...GALE FORCE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL BERING
OUT AHEAD OF THE RETROGRADING LOW NEAR THE PRIBILOFS. ISOLATED
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ISLAND CHAIN AS WEAK SHORTWAVES
ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FIRMLY ENTRENCHED OVER THE AREA.
SNOW SHOWERS ARE MORE LIKELY OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND THE AKPEN
AS THE GULF LOW PULLS DOWN COLDER MAINLAND AIR OVER THE SOUTHEAST
BERING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
NO REAL CHANGES IN STORE FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH THE UPPER LEVEL
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE REMAINING MORE OR LESS STATIONARY OVER WESTERN
CANADA WHILE A PARADE OF SHORTWAVES WRAP AROUND THE TROUGH OVER THE
BERING AND SOUTHERN GULF.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...120 125 132 140 150 172 175.
         STORM WARNING...130 138.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

KS FEB 10