Storm Warning 39, NWS Anchorage, AK

966 
FZAK51 PAFC 120314 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
615 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

CORRECTED ZONE 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121500-
400 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 964 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND MOVES TO 180 NM WEST
OF KODIAK AND WEAKENS TO 982 MB EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A 966 MB LOW
MOVES TO 430 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-121500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-121500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON...
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-121500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-121500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-121500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING
TO 18 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-121500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-121500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-121500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-121500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

138 
FZAK51 PAFC 121259
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130300-
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A GALE FORCE 968 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WEAKENS 
TO 982 MB FRI NIGHT AS IT MOVES TO NEAR PORT HEIDEN. A STORM 
FORCE 965 MB LOW MOVES NORTHWEST TO 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK 
CITY LATE SAT NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-130300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO E 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-130300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-130300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-130300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-130300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 40 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 12 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-130300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-130300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-130300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-130300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

781 
FZAK51 PAFC 130027
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131500-
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 975 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK MOVES TO 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF
CAPE NEWENHAM AND WEAKENS TO 987 MB SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A 958 MB LOW
460 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA SATURDAY AFTERNOON MOVES TO 70 NM EAST OF
KODIAK ISLAND AND WEAKENS TO 970 MB SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-131500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT...INCREASING TO 50 KT EAST OF HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-131500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. S OF CAINES HEAD...S WIND 25 KT IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-131500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-131500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-131500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS NE WIND 35 KT. W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 11 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-131500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-131500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-131500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-131500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 12 2010

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2010

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS NORTH FROM THE WEST COAST OF THE
US...THROUGH WESTERN CANADA...AND INTO THE BEAUFORT SEA. SOUTHERLY
WINDS ON THE UPSTREAM SIDE OF THE RIDGE CONTINUE TO FEED WARM GULF
AIR UP INTO MUCH OF MAINLAND ALASKA. OUT WEST...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM A LOW IN SIBERIA IS DRAPED ACROSS MUCH OF THE
BERING SEA...THE ALEUTIANS...AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. A
NUMBER OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES ARE ROTATING UP AND AROUND THIS
TROUGH.

AT THE SURFACE...A SERIES OF SURFACE LOWS ARE TRAINING AROUND THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC. A 965MB LOW IS ROTATING
INTO THE GULF AND STARTING TO SPREAD SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
WHILE A SECOND 974MB LOW IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN GENERAL ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM...ALTHOUGH THE GFS IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER WITH THE CURRENT LOW IN
THE GULF. MODELS ARE GRADUALLY CONVERGING ON A SOLUTION FOR THE TRACK
OF THE LOW NEAR THE PRIBILOFS...WITH THE ECMWF ALIGNING MORE WITH THE
GFS AND NAM. HOWEVER...AS THE LOW DEVOLVES INTO A SHORTWAVE
TOMORROW...THE MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE WITH REGARDS TO THE TRACK AND
STRENGTH OF THE RESIDUAL SHORTWAVE. SOME PROBLEMS BEGIN TO ARISE WITH
THE NEXT LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH THE NAM
BEING THE ONLY MODEL SPLITTING THIS SYSTEM INTO A DOUBLE BARREL LOW.
BY SUNDAY THE ECMWF LOW LAGS A GOOD 12 HOURS BEHIND THE GFS...AND THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO DIVERGE INTO NEXT WEEK. THE GFS WAS THE MODEL OF
CHOICE IN THE SHORT TERM. HOWEVER...THE DEPICTION OF A DOUBLE BARREL
LOW IN THE GULF OVER THE WEEKEND SEEMS MORE REALISTIC...THUS A BLEND
TOWARDS THE NAM WAS USED FURTHER OUT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

.SOUTHCENTRAL...THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE GULF COAST IS
ALREADY VISIBLE ON THE MIDDLETON ISLAND RADAR AND SHOULD MOVE ONSHORE
LATER THIS EVENING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE GULF LOW. EASTERLY
DOWNSLOPING FLOW SHOULD HELP ANCHORAGE AND REGIONS WEST AND NORTH OF
THE CHUGACH REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY...THOUGH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER CANNOT
BE RULED OUT. THUS WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOSTLY BE CONFINED
TO UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE KENAI PENINSULA AND THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST. THE WARM AIR MASS CURRENTLY OVER THE REGION WILL RESULT IN A
RAIN EVENT FOR THE GULF COAST...WITH SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE
BIGGEST IMPACT THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE IS STRONG GUSTY WINDS THROUGH
BAYS AND PASSES...SUCH AS TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE PORTAGE PASS. THE LOW
WILL TURN WEST TOMORROW AND REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF COAST.

.SOUTHWEST...MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AS A
LOW NEAR THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST AND WEAKEN.
WINDS SHOULD TURN MORE NORTHERLY IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW MOVING UP IN
THE GULF AND HELP USHER IN A SLIGHTLY COLDER AIR MASS. THE NEXT SHOT
OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE GULF LOW TRACKS
ACROSS THE AKPEN AND INTO BRISTOL BAY.

.ALEUTIANS...GALE FORCE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL BERING
OUT AHEAD OF THE RETROGRADING LOW NEAR THE PRIBILOFS. ISOLATED
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ISLAND CHAIN AS WEAK SHORTWAVES
ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FIRMLY ENTRENCHED OVER THE AREA.
SNOW SHOWERS ARE MORE LIKELY OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND THE AKPEN
AS THE GULF LOW PULLS DOWN COLDER MAINLAND AIR OVER THE SOUTHEAST
BERING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
NO REAL CHANGES IN STORE FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH THE UPPER LEVEL
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE REMAINING MORE OR LESS STATIONARY OVER WESTERN
CANADA WHILE A PARADE OF SHORTWAVES WRAP AROUND THE TROUGH OVER THE
BERING AND SOUTHERN GULF.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...120 125 132 140 150 172 175.
         STORM WARNING...130 138.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

KS FEB 10