Gale Warning 84, NWS Anchorage, AK

254 
FZAK52 PAFC 311251
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-010300-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 981 MB LOW NEAR 49N 174E WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND
DISSIPATE BY MONDAY NIGHT. EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
BERING SEA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ150-010300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-010300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-010300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT ALONG THE WESTERN CAPES. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-010300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-010300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-010300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-010300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-010300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT PACIFIC SIDE...10 FT
BERING SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-010300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-010300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-010300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10
FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-010300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

353 
FZAK52 PAFC 010021
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-011500-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 982 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL WEAKEN TO 994 MB 440 NM SOUTH
OF ATKA MON NIGHT THEN DISSIPATE TUE MORNING. EASTERLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH TUE. 

$$

PKZ150-011500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-011500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-011500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-011500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-011500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-011500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-011500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-011500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-011500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-011500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-011500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-011500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 31 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AKST SAT JAN 30 2010

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SITUATED OVER THE WESTERN BERING THIS
MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW IS WEAKENING THIS
MORNING AND WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE.  TO THE EAST AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDE IS BUILDING OVER WESTERN CANADA. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHICH WILL AID IN THE DISSIPATION
OF THE GULF OF ALASKA LOW.  THE MAIN JET STREAM IS STILL SOUTH OF THE
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ALTHOUGH THAT WILL CHANGE AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE BUILDS IN AND AN OMEGA BLOCK SETS UP OVER THE STATE.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
IN THE SHORT TERM MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT. THE NAM IS
SLIGHTLY SLOWER ON MOVING THE LOW IN THE GULF FURTHER SOUTH ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON WHICH MADE THE GFS THE MODEL OF PREFERENCE FOR THE SHORT
TERM. IN THE WEST...DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MODEL RUNS BEGIN TO APPEAR
BY ABOUT 78 TO 84 HOURS...AROUND THE TUESDAY EVENING TIMEFRAME.  GFS
AND NAM HAVE THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FURTHER
WEST THAN THE ECMWF...HOWEVER GFS IN PARTICULAR DOES NOT SEEM TO
HANDLE THE DISSOLUTION OF THE LOW ON TUESDAY MORNING VERY WELL.
THEREFORE THE ECMWF WAS THE MODEL OF CHOICE AGAIN IN THE LONGTERM
TODAY...BLENDED WITH HPC GUIDANCE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...FOG AND LOW STRATUS ARE DOMINANT IN MANY
LOCATIONS THIS MORNING...BUT THE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE
THROUGH THE DAY AS THE RIDGE BRINGS IN SUNNY SKIES.  EXPECT FOG TO
CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT TONIGHT AS WELL...ALTHOUGH A WEAK EASTERLY
WAVE MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS TO THE NORTH GULF COAST FOR TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.  THESE SHOWERS WILL BE MIXED PRECIPITATION OR EVEN ALL RAIN
FURTHER SOUTH WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES REMAINING ALOFT.  BY TUESDAY
THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTH AND SKIES WILL CLEAR AGAIN.

WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...ISOLATED SHOWERS LINGER THIS MORNING SOUTH
OF BRISTOL BAY BUT ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS THIS REGION
ALSO FALLS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE.  AREAS OF
FOG AND LOW STRATUS PERSIST ALONG THE WEST COAST BUT MAY BE LESS OF A
FACTOR TOMORROW NIGHT AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE OFFSHORE. BY TUESDAY A
FRONTAL BAND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH...ALTHOUGH WINDS
WILL NOT BE STRONG WITH THIS BAND TEMPS ALOFT WILL BE FAIRLY WARM AND
THE PRECIP WILL BE MIXED THROUGH BRISTOL BAY BUT WILL REMAIN ALL SNOW
IN THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA.

IN THE BERING/ALEUTIANS...EARLIER MODEL RUNS INDICATED THAT THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND THEIR ASSOCIATED FRONTS WOULD REMAIN WELL SOUTH
OF THE CHAIN BUT THIS SEEMS TO NO LONGER BE THE CASE.  THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM ALREADY EVIDENT ON SATELLITE WILL REMAIN JUST SOUTH
OF THE ALEUTIANS BUT ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT IS EXPECTED TO TRAVERSE THE
BERING SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY.  AGAIN WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT
WITH THIS FRONT...BUT TEMPS ARE WARM AND RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE
ALEUTIANS WITH MIXED PRECIP MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE PRIBILOFS BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT FEATURE FOR THE MAINLAND
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE ISOLATED
SHOWERS ALONG THE GULF COAST AS VERY WEAK SHORTWAVES PROGRESS
THROUGH.  IN THE ALEUTIANS...RAINY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE BUT
STRONG WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AS THE LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES SOUTH
FAIRLY RAPIDLY BY MIDWEEK.  GIVEN THE RECENT CHANGES IN THE MODEL
FORECAST HOWEVER...THE CONFIDENCE IN THE MIDWEEK FORECAST IS ONLY
FAIR.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

LEWF JAN 10