Gale Warning 554, NWS Anchorage, AK

603 
FZAK51 PAFC 140204 RRA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA...RETRANSMIT
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141200-
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF PERSISTS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. A WEATHER FRONT IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF MOVES ONSHORE THIS
EVENING. A SECOND WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF SAT
EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-141200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-141200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-141200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-141200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.MON AND WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-141200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO E 30 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 
BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-141200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-141200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-141200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-141200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1230 PM AKDT FRI AUG 13 2010

.MODEL DISCUSSION...NAM AND GFS INITIALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON
SURFACE LOW OVER SAND POINT THIS EVENING BUT THEN THEN GFS DEEPENS 8
MB OR SO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES OVER NUNIVAK ISLAND SATURDAY NIGHT.
SINCE POSITIONING IS GOOD WOULD SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE ON THE PRESSURE
BETWEEN THE TWO MODELS.
A SECOND LOW SOUTHWEST OF ATTU SATURDAY MORNING IS PROGED FAIRLY
CLOSELY BY BOTH OF THESE MODELS...EVENTUALLY MOVING OVER UNMAK ISLAND
LATE SUN NIGHT.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...PRIMARY ENERGY IS ON THE WEST SIDE OF
GULF OF ALASKA HIGH ON WHICH A SERIES OF FRONTS MOVE NORTHWARD OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE BRUNT OF WINDS AND RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH
THE LOW THAT MOVES UP THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDE WILL BE WEST OF 153W
BUT SOME MOISTURE IS EXPECTED INTO COOK INLET AS WELL BUT TIMING IS
INEXACT.  LOTS OF RAIN AND WIND FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ZONES IN ADDITION TO MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS. LOOKS AS
A SHORT LIVED BREAK ON SUNDAY BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES EARLY
MONDAY.
IN SOUTHCENTRAL PRIMARILY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AT TIMES. SOME SUN
BREAKS POSSIBLE SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...GFS INDICATING YET ANOTHER LOW MOVING UP THE AK
PENINSULA ON MONDAY WITH THE LOW CENTER MOVING ONSHORE NEAR TOGIAK
MONDAY NIGHT...MORE RAIN FOR MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL MON PM THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH RESIDUAL SHOWERS ON WED.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALES 150 155 160 185 132 130 138
FIRE WEATHER...FINISHED FOR THE SEASON.

JMP AUG 10