Severe Thunderstorm Warning 268, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1008 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

.DISCUSSION...

HAVE UPDATED ZONES WIHCH INCLUDE POPS AND TEMPERATURES BASED
ON LATEST RADAR DATA. EVOLVING THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXT ACROSS FAR NE
OK HAS RESULTED IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET. WILL
KEEP LOW POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...EXCEPT WHERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE ONGOING. LOWER TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ACROSS THE
AFOREMENTIONED AREA TO ACCOUNT FOR RAIN COOLED AIR.
OTHERWISE...REST OF FORECAST ELEMENTS LEFT AS THEY ARE.

RECENTLY ISSUED THUNDERSTORM WATCH #361 EFFECTIVE UNTIL 4 AM.

UPDATED ZFP/AFM/PFM ALREADY SENT.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1001 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101515-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1001 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
   THIS EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING .

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN ONGOING ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO MOVE MORE SOUTHEASTERLY IN RESPONSE TO A
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET. WHILE MUCH OF THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT HAS SHIFTED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND... A SMALL TORNADO
THREAT WILL REMAIN AS LOCALIZED BOUNDARY FROM PREVIOUS
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE A BRIEF SPIN
UP. MOST OF THE SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE
AREA AFTER 1 AM.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE BOTH
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES BACK INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL AGAIN BECOME
UNSTABLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF WEDNESDAY NIGHTS THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX
ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE STORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS RICH GULF MOISTURE REMAINS OVER
THE REGION.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR A PERIOD
OF UNSETTLED WEATHER THAT INCLUDES SEVERAL ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
818 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

OKZ054-100145-
OSAGE OK-
818 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL OSAGE

AT 818 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES WEST OF PAWHUSKA...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...PAWHUSKA...PERSHING...
TALLANT AND NELAGONEY.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF
40 TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3676 9616 3655 9618 3657 9662 3668 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 0118Z 266DEG 33KT 3663 9650

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
842 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0837 PM     HAIL             2 S PAWHUSKA            36.64N 96.34W
06/09/2009  E0.88 INCH       OSAGE              OK   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

MAT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
909 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

OKZ055-061-100245-
ROGERS OK-WASHINGTON OK-
909 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN ROGERS AND WASHINGTON

AT 908 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
CENTERED 3 MILES SOUTH OF OCHELATA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM
INCLUDE...OOLOGAH...TALALA...RAMONA AND OCHELATA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF
40 TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3662 9582 3660 9582 3660 9569 3660 9561
      3645 9570 3652 9601 3653 9601 3663 9600
TIME...MOT...LOC 0208Z 281DEG 28KT 3656 9595

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HOLLOW                  36.89N 95.27W
06/09/2009                   CRAIG              OK   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREES LIMBS DOWN

&&

MAT