Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Topeka, KS

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 232355
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
655 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

KSC149-240030-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-090324T0030Z/
POTTAWATOMIE-
655 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY...

AT 652 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. DESTRUCTIVE 
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.  THIS 
STORM WAS LOCATED OVER WESTMORELAND...OR 18 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
MANHATTAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.  QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS 
REPORTED IN WESTMORELAND AT 652 PM.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WHEATON AROUND 705 PM CDT...
  ONAGA AROUND 710 PM CDT...
  HAVENSVILLE AROUND 715 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE
TORNADOES RAPIDLY.

LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3956 9613 3955 9603 3943 9603 3942 9603
      3926 9637 3945 9657 3956 9640 3956 9614
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 232DEG 40KT 3940 9640

$$

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 240001
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
701 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

KSC149-240030-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-090324T0030Z/
POTTAWATOMIE-
701 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY...

AT 700 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF WHEATON...OR 24 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MANHATTAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ONAGA AROUND 710 PM CDT...
  HAVENSVILLE AROUND 715 PM CDT...

ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF 
POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE
TORNADOES RAPIDLY.

LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3956 9613 3955 9604 3955 9603 3944 9603
      3936 9625 3953 9644 3956 9640 3956 9614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 232DEG 40KT 3945 9631

$$

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 240032
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
732 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

KSC149-240042-
/O.EXP.KTOP.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-090324T0030Z/
POTTAWATOMIE-
732 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN POTTAWATOMIE
COUNTY HAS EXPIRED...

AT 732 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO
LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS EXPIRED.

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE 
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH 
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. STAY ALERT TO THE WEATHER.

LAT...LON 3956 9613 3955 9604 3955 9603 3944 9603
      3936 9625 3953 9644 3956 9640 3956 9614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 232DEG 40KT 3945 9631

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
335 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

.DISCUSSION...

PRIMARY CONCERNS IN THE FIRST PART OF THE FORECAST ARE STRONG
GRADIENT SURFACE WINDS AND SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.

STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH 56 KT WIND AT 1500FT HAVE
COMBINED TO PRODUCE HIGH WIND CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS
SURFACE FRONT COLD FRONT RACES EASTWARD AND THE ISOALLOBARIC COUPLET
MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. CURRENT HIGH WIND WARNING EXPIRES AT 7
PM AND THIS LOOKS REASONABLE...HOWEVER...SOME COUNTIES IN THE FAR
SOUTHEASTERN CWA MAY STILL HAVE VERY STRONG WINDS EARLY THIS
EVENING. MAY HAVE TO EXTEND THE WARNING FOR A COUPLE HOURS IN THE
FAR SOUTHEAST...BUT THE REST OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE WINDS DIMINISH
BELOW HIGH WIND CRITERIA BY THE EXPIRATION TIME.

INITIAL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE CWA
SHOULD MOVE NORTH INTO NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON WITH INITIATION OF
ADDITIONAL STORMS EXPECTED IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING. SURFACE FRONT OVERTAKES THE DRYLINE
IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE LINEAR AND THUS A DAMAGING WIND/HAIL THREAT NORTH OF I-70.
FARTHER SOUTH...THE COLD FRONT WILL BE SLOWER TO OVERTAKE THE
DRYLINE AND CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN DISCRETE SUPERCELLS INTO THE
EVENING HOURS BEFORE EVOLVING INTO A DAMAGING WIND THREAT LATE
TONIGHT.

THE FRONT HANGS UP IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS BEFORE SUNRISE TUESDAY.
LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE FAR
SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE CWA. IN CONTRAST...THE NORTHWESTERN
PORTION OF THE CWA WILL HAVE SOME CLEARING AND TEMPS FALLING BACK
INTO THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S BY SUNRISE. ON TUESDAY...UPPER TROF
SHIFTS EASTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON. COULD BE A COOL BLUSTERY
DAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN CWA WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WITH WEAK SURFACE
HIGH BUILDING IN WILL ALLOW FOR A BRIEF BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS FOR
OUR CWA. FOLLOWING A COOL MORNING WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO
MID 30S...HIGHS RECOVER INTO THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

NEXT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM DROPS INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION BY
THURSDAY NIGHT AND GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS THROUGH SATURDAY. UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES AND SOME
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. INCLUDES A
MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA.

STARK

&&

.AVIATION...
MAIN AVIATION FORECAST PROBLEMS RELATED TO WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON...AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THIS EVENING.  TIGHT SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT RESULTING IN WINDS OF 35 GUSTING TO NEAR 45 KTS AT
TAF SITES THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS SHOULD DECREASE AS SURFACE COLD
FRONT APPROACHES THIS EVENING AND GRADIENT WEAKENS.  WITH APPROACH
OF FRONT...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE WITH A FEW HOURS OF
STORMS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING.  SOME SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE DRIER AIR IS ADVECTED IN FROM THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  WHILE THERE MAY BE POSSIBLE IFR CONDITIONS WITH THE
STORMS...HAVE MAINLY KEPT WITH MVFR TEMPO GROUPS FOR A FEW HOURS
AROUND FRONTAL PASSAGE.  WESTERLY WINDS AT SURFACE WILL RESULT IN
DRYING OUT LATER TONIGHT AND VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 18Z.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM
MONDAY FOR KSZ008>012-020>024-035>040-054>056-058-059.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
141 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-241845-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
141 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH 7
PM CDT. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK
AREA. THESE STRONG WINDS HAVE ALSO CREATED A VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER
THROUGHOUT THE OUTLOOK AREA. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE
ATTEMPTED.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE DRYLINE AND MOVE EAST INTO NORTHEAST AND EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
INSTABILITY AND STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL INITIALLY SUPPORT SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
TORNADOES. LATER THIS AFTERNOON A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA CAUSING THE SUPERCELLS TO
CONGEAL INTO A LINE MAINLY CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND
SOME LARGE HAIL. AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 LOOK TO
HAVE THE MOST PROLONGED TORNADO THREAT FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
KANSAS AS THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
555 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     HAIL             1 WNW WAKEFIELD         39.22N 97.02W
03/23/2009  E0.75 INCH       CLAY               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LOTS OF PEA SIZE HAIL WITH THE LARGEST PENNY SIZE.

&&

JW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
609 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0604 PM     HAIL             5 NNE MOONLIGHT         39.07N 97.07W
03/23/2009  E1.00 INCH       DICKINSON          KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
610 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0609 PM     HAIL             1 NW JUNCTION CITY      39.04N 96.85W
03/23/2009  E1.00 INCH       GEARY              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            VISIBILITY REDUCED TO ZERO...A LOT OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL
            FALLING.

&&

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
614 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW FAIRVIEW          39.81N 95.75W
03/23/2009                   BROWN              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE LIMBS DOWNED AND GAS GRILL BLOWN ACROSS THE YARD.

&&

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
620 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     HAIL             2 SE MILFORD LAKE       39.14N 96.90W
03/23/2009  E0.75 INCH       GEARY              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0613 PM     HAIL             2 SE MILFORD LAKE       39.14N 96.89W
03/23/2009  E0.88 INCH       GEARY              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
637 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             2 NW MANHATTAN          39.20N 96.60W
03/23/2009  E1.00 INCH       RILEY              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BYRNE