Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2009

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 554

July 6, 20096 counties in Idaho; 30 counties in Montana; 4 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 6, 2009, 1:33 PM MDT for 6 counties in Idaho; 30 counties in Montana; 4 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 6, 2009, 1:33 PM MDT (19:33 UTC)
Expired
Jul 6, 2009, 8:53 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 40 counties

Clark County, ID, Fremont County, ID, Jefferson County, ID, Lemhi County, ID, Madison County, ID, Teton County, ID, Beaverhead County, MT, Blaine County, MT, Broadwater County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Cascade County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Deer Lodge County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Gallatin County, MT, Glacier County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Granite County, MT, Hill County, MT, Jefferson County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, Lewis and Clark County, MT, Liberty County, MT, Madison County, MT, Meagher County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Park County, MT, Pondera County, MT, Powell County, MT, Silver Bow County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Teton County, MT, Toole County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT, Fremont County, WY, Hot Springs County, WY, Park County, WY, Teton County, WY

The radar

The Great Falls radar (KTFX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 1:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOPowell23 min
Jul 6, 1:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSODeer Lodge, Granite, Powell, Ravalli45 min
Jul 6, 2:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXJefferson39 min
Jul 6, 2:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOPowell38 min
Jul 6, 2:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark48 min
Jul 6, 2:25 PM MDTTornado WarningTFXLewis and Clark35 min
Jul 6, 2:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOGranite, Powell46 min
Jul 6, 2:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark, Teton46 min
Jul 6, 2:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark41 min
Jul 6, 2:54 PM MDTTornado WarningTFXLewis and Clark36 min
Jul 6, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark47 min
Jul 6, 3:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOPowell27 min
Jul 6, 3:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXMadison42 min
Jul 6, 3:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark, Teton54 min
Jul 6, 3:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Meagher41 min
Jul 6, 3:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBroadwater, Jefferson26 min
Jul 6, 3:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXPondera, Teton42 min
Jul 6, 3:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBroadwater, Meagher17 min
Jul 6, 3:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Teton49 min
Jul 6, 3:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBroadwater, Meagher19 min
Jul 6, 4:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBroadwater, Cascade, Lewis and Clark, Meagher22 min
Jul 6, 4:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Judith Basin45 min
Jul 6, 4:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin39 min
Jul 6, 4:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Judith Basin3 min
Jul 6, 4:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Chouteau, Pondera, Teton38 min
Jul 6, 4:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBroadwater, Gallatin, Judith Basin, Meagher52 min
Jul 6, 4:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Chouteau46 min
Jul 6, 5:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau34 min
Jul 6, 5:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZWheatland62 min
Jul 6, 5:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Hill, Liberty51 min
Jul 6, 6:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2009-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 33 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2009-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
33 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-256 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1575 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 1:05 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark55 min
Jul 6, 4:02 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont58 min
Jul 6, 4:40 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Carter, Custer, Fallon, Powder River35 min
Jul 6, 5:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarter, Custer, Fallon, Powder River, Rosebud7 hr
Jul 6, 12:22 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLaramie113 min
Jul 6, 1:40 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Carbon, Converse, Goshen, Laramie, Niobrara and 1 more95 min
Jul 6, 2:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCConverse, Goshen, Laramie, Niobrara, Platte6 hr
Jul 6, 5:35 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCConverse, Goshen, Laramie, Niobrara, Platte55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2009Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Idaho, 2009Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2009Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.