Tornado Warning 16, NWS San Angelo, TX

000 
WWUS54 KSJT 270237
SVSSJT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
937 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

TXC267-435-270300-
/O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090427T0300Z/
SUTTON TX-KIMBLE TX-
937 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN KIMBLE AND SOUTHEASTERN SUTTON COUNTIES...

AT 935 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHEASTERN
SUTTON COUNTY...OR 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SONORA...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN SUTTON AND SOUTHWESTERN KIMBLE COUNTIES.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING FOR
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3045 10007 3030 10009 3029 10041 3047 10040
TIME...MOT...LOC 0237Z 280DEG 21KT 3034 10030

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
650 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

.DISCUSSION...
/SEE AVIATION SECTION FOR 00Z TAF DISCUSSION/

&&

.AVIATION...
SEVERE/POSSIBLY TORNADO STORM NEAR AND SOUTH OF OZONA MAY
AFFECT KSOA SONORA AROUND 1Z. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY BE
POSSIBLE FOR 2 TO 4 HOURS AT KSOA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OTHERWISE
POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF TAF SITES THROUGH THE NIGHT AS AN UPPER
SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT
EASTERN TAFS SITES IN THE MORNING HOURS AS IT MOVES EAST.
OTHERWISE MVFR CIGS...RETURN THIS EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 210 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009/

SHORT TERM...

FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... THERE IS A THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER
AS AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS SHIFTS EASTWARD TODAY
AND TONIGHT WITH A LEAD SHORTWAVE LIFTING OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN PLAINS...AND A SHORTWAVE AND SPEED MAX MOVE THROUGH
THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND INTO TEXAS. CURRENT WATER VAPOR SHOWS
WEAK SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO TEXAS FROM NEW
MEXICO/MEXICO...THIS WILL HELP INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG AND EAST OF THE DRYLINE. THE DRY LINE IS EXPECTED
TO EXTEND FROM THE EASTERN PANHANDLE TO THE BIG BEND REGION BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS WILL DESTABILIZE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE APPROACH OF A WEAK SHORTWAVE AND SHOULD SEE STRONGER AND
INCREASED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN
BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY...THESE STORMS WILL QUICKLY MOVE TO
THE NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY. SPC HAS PLACED THE
BIG COUNTRY IN A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVER THUNDERSTORMS. INITIALLY
THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ...BUT BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING THE TORNADO THREAT INCREASES AS 45 TO 55 KNOT LLJ DEVELOPS
ACROSS THE AREA. WITH A MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE FLOODING MAY BECOME
A THREAT AS HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. THIS SITUATION WILL NEED
TO BE MONITORED.

FOR TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING...THE COMBINATION OF THE LLJ AND A
SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL MAKE ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS WITH THE
ACTIVITY SHIFTING TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST BY MORNING. THE SEVERE
THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING HOURS.

FOR MONDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND A
CLOSED LOW MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN PACIFIC COAST...WITH A SERIES OF
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW...THIS
WILL KEEP THE MENTION OF PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST...WITH THE
MAIN ACTIVITY SHIFTING TO THE EASTERN BIG COUNTRY AND THE HEARTLAND.

28

LONG TERM...

WITH FOCUS ON SHORT TERM THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...WILL NOT SPEND AS MUCH TIME AS USUAL ON THE EXTENDED
PERIOD TODAY. A GLANCE AT THE 12Z GFS DOES SHOW THAT THE FORECAST
THROUGH MIDWEEK IS PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK. ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS
OVER THE EASTERN COUNTIES ON MONDAY SHOULD BE EXITING THE AREA TO
THE NORTHEAST BY MONDAY EVENING. A COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO
PUSH SOUTH INTO TX MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A STRONG VORT MAX
OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THE 12Z NAM IS A BIT MORE AGGRESSIVE IN THE SOUTHWARD
PROGRESS OF THE FRONT MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...AND THIS
WARRANTS KEEPING SOME POPS NEAR THE FRONT UP OVER THE BIG COUNTRY.
THE FRONT THEN DROPS DOWN INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND STALLS OUT.
STORMS WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER WEST TX IN
THE UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME AND MOVE EAST ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TX LATE
IN THE DAY AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT AS AN MCS ORGANIZES AND MOVES
EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN OK/NORTH TX.

THE MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK WITH THE
DETAILS...ALTHOUGH THE GFS/ECMWF BRING A POLAR FRONT DOWN INTO TX
AND EJECT A SOUTHERN STREAM DISTURBANCE INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PLAINS NEXT WEEKEND. THE GFS IS COLDER THAN THE ECMWF...WHICH
KEEPS THE BULK OF THE COOLER AIR TO OUR NORTHEAST. THE GFS IS ALSO
FARTHER SOUTH WITH THE TRACK OF NEXT WEEKENDS SOUTHERN STREAM
TROUGH WHICH WOULD BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIP THAN
THE DRIER ECMWF. WITH ALL THESE UNCERTAINTIES TO DEAL WITH...WILL
ONLY MAKE A FEW TWEAKS HERE AND THERE TO THE TEMPS AND POPS. I DID
BRING TEMPS DOWN FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK AND INSERTED POPS
FOR SAT/SAT NIGHT TIME FRAME.

LACY

FIRE WEATHER...

SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM GULF MOISTURE IN
ACROSS THE REGION AND THIS COMBINED WITH THE CONTINUING CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP THE FIRE DANGER LOW ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.

28

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 66  79  62  76  63 /  60  50  30  30  30
SAN ANGELO 	 66  84  63  80  65 /  60  30  10  30  30
JUNCTION 	 68  82  65  82  66 /  50  30  10  20  20

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

04/99/04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
228 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-271930-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
228 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STOMS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THE PRIMARY CONCERN IS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT WITH THE APPROACH OF A DRYLINE AND UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND
CONCHO VALLEY INTO THE HEARTLAND. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE
SEVERE.

WITH AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND FAVORABLE VERTICAL
SHEAR PROFILES...THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS TO CONTINUE TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...HEAVY RAINFALL AND
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
ON MONDAY...SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA EAST OF
A LINE FROM SWEETWATER TO EDEN TO JUNCTION. ON TUESDAY...THE
ARRIVAL OF A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS
WILL BRING A THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY OF THIS
WEEK.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
648 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             22 WNW ELDORADO         30.98N 100.94W
04/26/2009  E0.75 INCH       SCHLEICHER         TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL WAS REPORTED ON THE CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER COUNTY LINE
            ALONG HIGHWAY 190.

&&

LACY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
659 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 PM     HAIL             12 S OZONA              30.54N 101.20W
04/26/2009  E1.75 INCH       CROCKETT           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL REPORTED ON STATE HIGHWAY 163 SOUTH OF OZONA.

&&

LACY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
820 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     HAIL             SONORA                  30.57N 100.64W
04/26/2009  E1.50 INCH       SUTTON             TX   PUBLIC

&&

LACY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
841 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     HAIL             3 N SONORA              30.61N 100.64W
04/26/2009  E2.00 INCH       SUTTON             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL JUST LARGER THAN GOLFBALLS COVERED THE ROAD 3 MILES
            NORTH OF SONORA ON HIGHWAY 277.

&&

LACY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
855 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

TXZ076-270300-
CROCKETT TX-
855 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR CROCKETT
COUNTY...

AT 853 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 37 MILES WEST OF OZONA...OR NEAR
SHEFFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  THE INTERSECTION OF I-10 AND HIGHWAY 290 BY 925 PM CDT
  THE INTERSECTION OF I-10 AND HIGHWAY 405 BY 935 PM CDT
  OZONA BY 1000 PM CDT

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING FOR
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
905 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SONORA                  30.57N 100.64W
04/26/2009                   SUTTON             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SOME HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE REPORTED IN AND AROUND SONORA.

&&

LACY