Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Charleston, WV

000 
WGUS71 KRLX 171709
FFSRLX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
109 PM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

VAC051-171900-
/O.CON.KRLX.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-090617T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DICKENSON VA-
109 PM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT FOR
DICKENSON COUNTY...

LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLOODING OCCURRING AROUND 
BRUSH CREEK AND TURKEY BRANCH...AND SOME WATER ON ROUTE 80. ALL 
MOTORISTS IN DICKENSON COUNTY SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION...AS WATER 
IS OVER MANY ROADWAYS. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO JOHN
FLANNAGAN LAKE...HAYSI AND CLINTWOOD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER OVER ROADWAYS. NEVER 
TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO 
ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR CAR ON FLOODED ROADWAYS.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE 877-633-6772 WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3705 8250 3713 8255 3720 8256 3726 8239
      3719 8221 3712 8217 3711 8215 3709 8215
      3705 8213 3703 8215 3703 8218 3702 8222

$$

25

000 
WGUS71 KRLX 171900
FFSRLX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
300 PM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

VAC051-171905-
/O.EXP.KRLX.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-090617T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DICKENSON VA-
300 PM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 300 PM EDT FOR DICKENSON
COUNTY...

HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF DICKENSON COUNTY AND STREAMS ARE 
BEGINNING TO RECEDE...THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN 
EFFECT HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. ALTHOUGH STREAMS AND CREEKS HAVE 
BEGUN TO RECEDE...MOTORISTS SHOULD STILL EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION AS 
WATER AMD DEBRIS COULD STILL BE ON ROADWAYS. 

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND A FLASH FLOOD 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. PEOPLE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE 
WEATHER AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF A WARNING AGAIN 
BECOMES NECESSARY. 

TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR CAR ON FLOODED ROADWAYS.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE 877-633-6772 WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

IN ADDITION...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 
800 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

LAT...LON 3705 8250 3713 8255 3720 8256 3726 8239
      3719 8221 3712 8217 3711 8215 3709 8215
      3705 8213 3703 8215 3703 8218 3702 8222

$$

25

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
806 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING.  A WEAK COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...AND THEN RETURNS AS A WARM FRONT
THURSDAY NIGHT.  ANOTHER COLD FRONT ARRIVES SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON/...
SENT A QUICK UPDATE TO REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR AND SATELLITE
TRENDS. REDUCED POPS/WX ACROSS LOWLANDS FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING.
KEPT LIKELY POPS ACROSS SOUTHWEST VA...AND MOUNTAINS COUNTIES OF
WV DURING THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING AND EXPANDING CHANCE POPS
WEST INTO THE LOWLANDS BY 2 PM.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE CWA THIS
MORNING AS A WARM FRONT...ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE CENTER
CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN IL/IN/OH...COMBINED WITH SEVERAL
DISTURBANCES IN THE FLOW CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION.
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS INDICATE THE PRECIPITATION IS BECOMING MORE
WIDELY SCATTERED...AND THERE MAY BE A BRIEF LULL IN THE
PRECIPITATION LATER THIS MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA. AS THE WARM
FRONT CONTINUES TO LIFT THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...DEW POINTS WILL
BE ON THE INCREASE...REACHING THE LOWER 70S OVER THE WESTERN PARTS
OF THE CWA BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH PW VALUES RANGING BETWEEN 1.3 TO
1.6 INCHES.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES MORE UNSTABLE IN ADVANCE OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SPC HAS PLACED THE ENTIRE CWA IN A SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS TODAY. HAVE CONTINUED TO KEEP MENTION OF
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS IN THE WX GRIDS FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS
MODELS INDICATING MLCAPE VALUES BETWEEN 1000-1500J/KG AND 0-6KM BULK
SHEAR VALUES AVERAGING AROUND 40KTS. IN ADDITION...MODEL SOUNDINGS
INDICATING DRIER AIR WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE CWA AT MID AND UPPER
LEVELS...FURTHER INCREASING THE INSTABILITY...HAIL AND WIND THREAT.
BEST INSTABILITY/CHANCES FOR SEVERE STILL APPEARS TO LIE OVER
CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...ALTHOUGH SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE EVERYWHERE. HAVE DECIDED NOT TO EXPAND THE FFA AT
THIS TIME AS CURRENT PLACEMENT LOOKS REASONABLE.

COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA
AROUND 00Z...WITH DRIER AIR GRADUALLY WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE CWA
BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /2 PM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
SYSTEM EXITING FIRST THING THU MORNING YIELDS TO NW FLOW ALOFT WITH
WEAK SURFACE RIDGING SO A LESS ACTIVE DAY IS ANTICIPATED.  AIR MASS
THU PROGGED TO BE STABLE OR ONLY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AT BEST.  BY
EVENING...THOUGH...NEW WARM FRONT SETS UP ALONG A NW TO SE AXIS
ACROSS THE SW OR TUG FORK PORTION OF THE AREA WHERE THE INSTABILITY
GRADIENT EXISTS.  AIR MASS ON SW SIDE OF THIS GRADIENT IS EASILY
UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR SEVERE IN TERMS OF BOTH FLOW AND BUOYANCY.  THIS
AIR MASS COULD MOVE INTO SW PORTION OF FORECAST AREA BY FRI EVENING.
SPC REFLECTS THIS WITH SLIGHT RISK ACTUALLY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA.

LOOKS LIKE WARM FRONT MOVES ON THROUGH THE AREA THU NT.  HAVE LOW
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS AT THIS POINT AS MODELS DIFFER
SOMEWHAT ON TIMING AND PLACEMENT...BUT ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM COULD
BECOME STRONG.

WARM...HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS TAKES FULL CONTROL FRI.  MODELS
INDICATED SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY AXIS FRI AFTN/EVE IN THE
STRENGTHENING SW FLOW AHEAD OF A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER
MOVING ESE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.  STRENGTH OF FLOW AND CAPE
DEFINITELY SUGGESTS SEVERE POTENTIAL THIS TIME PERIOD AND SPC HAS
AREA UNDER A SLIGHT RISK.  GFS40 KEEPS THIS AXIS SOMEWHAT N AND W OF
THE FORECAST AREA WHILE NAM12 TARGETS THE AREA DEAD ON.  SYSTEM
MOVES OUT OF THE AREA SAT...POSSIBLY FASTER THAN CURRENT FORECAST
SUGGESTS.

ROLLED MAINLY WITH MET GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES THRU THRU FRI AND
THEN NO CHANGES AFTER THAT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
GENERALLY FOLLOWED ECMWF/HPC THINKING IN THE EXTENDED. PATTERN CHG
WILL COMMENCE THIS WEEKEND...WITH SHARP H5 TROUGH DEVELOPING ACROSS
EAST WHICH CLOSES OFF H5 LOW EASTERN LAKES...ACROSS NY STATE. THIS
TROUGH SLOWLY PULLS EAST THROUGH EXTENDED AS H5 RIDGE EXPANDS ACROSS
MOST OF THE CONUS.

COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH CWA DURING DAY SAT. EXPECT CONVECTION
ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF BAROCLINIC ZONE DURING AFT HEATING. STUCK
WITH HIGH CHC POPS FOR SAT. COLD POOL ASSOC WITH UPPER LVL LOW WILL
KEEP CLOUDS AROUND NORTHERN TIER COUNTIES/NORTHERN MTNS FOR SUN AND
MON...WITH EVERYONE ELSE DRYING OUT WITH JUST A FEW PASSING CLOUDS
FROM TIME TO TIME. COULD BE SOME INSTABILITY SHRA ON SUN AFTN...AND
ACCOUNTED FOR WITH CHC POPS ACROSS NORTH. MAYBE EVEN SMALL HAIL
THREAT AS WELL.

AS RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD TUES AND WED...N AND NE AREAS WILL BE ON
FRINGE OF NW FLOW. STUCK SCHC POPS IN AS MODELS ARE SHOWING ENERGY
TRAVERSING RING OF FIRE.

STUCK CLOSE TO HPC/MOSGUID FOR TEMPS. GRADUAL WARMING BY DAY 7 AS
RIDGE BUILDS INTO AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
BULK OF PRECIPITATION THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO CLEAR FROM WEST TO
EAST FOR A BRIEF RETURN OF MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE AGAIN AFTER 16Z WEDNESDAY AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION. EXPECT GUSTY
WINDS...WIDESPREAD MVFR/ISOLATED IFR VSBYS AND CIGS...AND SMALL HAIL
IN VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS. COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM
WILL ENTER SE OHIO AFTER 00Z. MAINLY LIGHT SURFACE WINDS WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF UP TO 22KTS. FOG MAY DEVELOP THURSDAY MORNING AS
THE SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION...BUT WILL DEPEND ON AMOUNT/TIMING OF
CLEARING. MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT.

AVIATION OUTLOOK /BEYOND 00Z THURSDAY...
NO WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR WVZ005>011-
     013>017-019-024>026-033>035.
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR OHZ066-067-
     075-076-083>087.
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR KYZ101>103-
     105.
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR VAZ003-004.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TRM/SL
NEAR TERM...ARJ
SHORT TERM...TRM
LONG TERM...26
AVIATION...SL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
417 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>017-019-024>026-033>035-180830-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-
CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-
ROANE-WIRT-RITCHIE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-
417 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN AND
SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY...MOSTLY
LATE IN THE DAY AND ON INTO THE NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

WVZ018-020-027>032-036>040-046-047-180830-
CALHOUN-DODDRIDGE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-FAYETTE-
NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
417 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEASTERN AND EAST
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LEAD TO ISOLATED WATER
PROBLEMS TODAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED IF THE POTENTIAL
INCREASES.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SL / TRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
624 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

VAZ003-004-171130-
BUCHANAN-DICKENSON-
624 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT DICKENSON AND SOUTHERN BUCHANAN
COUNTIES...

AT 622 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER ON COUNTRY ROADS AND
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

21

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
956 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

VAZ003-171445-
DICKENSON-
956 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING CENTRAL DICKENSON COUNTY...

AT 946 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT CONTINUED TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL
DICKENSON COUNTY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST 11 AM THIS MORNING.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER ON COUNTRY ROADS AND
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

SHOULD AN AREA RECEIVE SEVERAL STORMS IN A ROW...RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COULD BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT TODAY. PEOPLE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR STREAMS AND CREEKS
AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS
ISSUED.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION AND BE PREPARED FOR WATER ON
ROADWAYS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

25