Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Charleston, WV

000 
WGUS71 KRLX 170814
FFSRLX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
414 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

VAC027-051-170820-
/O.EXP.KRLX.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-090617T0815Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DICKENSON VA-BUCHANAN VA-
414 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 415 AM EDT FOR BUCHANAN AND
NORTH CENTRAL DICKENSON COUNTIES...

HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVE OUT OF THE COUNTIES...THEREFORE THE 
FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 

OCCASIONAL LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED THE NEXT HOUR OR 
TWO...BUT NO HIGH WATER IS ANTICIPATED.

TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR CAR ON FLOODED ROADWAYS.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE 877-633-6772 WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3726 8235 3747 8205 3742 8193 3737 8193
      3732 8186 3729 8184 3728 8181 3729 8180
      3727 8176 3724 8173 3718 8178 3718 8182
      3714 8188 3712 8198

$$

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
157 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
FRONT PUSHES SLOWLY NORTHEAST AS A WARM FRONT OVERNIGHT...MOVING
THROUGH NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA WEDNESDAY. DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE.
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASS LATE THURSDAY AND AGAIN FRIDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
CONCERNED ABOUT THE LOW LVL CONVERGENCE AND MID LEVEL SUPPORT
OVERNIGHT. EXPANDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND STARTED IT EARLIER.

THE BEST INFLOW IS TOWARD SRN OHIO THROUGH 06Z...SHIFTS TOWARD W
CNTRL WV DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS. THE GROUND IS DRIER IN OHIO...
BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT LOCALIZED PROBLEMS. THE SE DOWNSLOPE MAY
SAVE CRW VNCTY...BUT GROUND TOO WET TO LEAVE OUT. AT 01Z HAVE THE
FRONT FROM NEAR BMG IN TO CVG OH TO HTS TO TRI TO NR CLT NC.

SINCE I INCREASED THE SE FLOW INTO THE MOUNTAINOUS COUNTIES...LOWERED THE
MIN TEMPS IN THE UPSLOPE AREAS...INCLUDING SNOWSHOE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
BUSY IN THE SHORT TERM. PERIOD BEGINS WITH COLD FRONT ATTEMPTING TO
CROSS CWA 00-06Z THU. 12Z GFS/00Z ECMWF/12Z UKMET PLOW FRONT
THROUGH...WITH SREF/GEMNH/NAM HANGING UP FRONT AND WASHING OUT
ACROSS OH RVR. DECIDED TO FOLLOW GFS/ECMWF AT THIS POINT. INSERTED
GUSTY WINDS/HVY RAIN IN WX GRIDS WITH MLCAPE 1000-1500 J/KG AND
DECENT 0-1 AND 0-6KM SHEAR...ALONG WITH PW AROUND 1.75IN. STORM MODE
MOSTLY LINEAR WITH EMBEDDED SEGMENTS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE.
DAMAGING WINDS MAIN THREAT...BUT SOME ROTATING UPDRAFTS POSS NE
KY/SE OH WITH LOW LVL SHEAR TO WORK WITH. OF COURSE ANY DEBRIS
CLOUDS FROM MORNING CONVECTION WILL AFFECT AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY TO
WORK WITH. SPC HAS WESTERN/SOUTHERN AREAS SLGHT RISK. GREATEST
THREAT LOOKS TO BE NE KY/SE OH...CLOSER TO BEST UPPER SUPPORT/FLOW.
INSTABILITY SHOULD BE WANING BY THE TIME LINE GETS EAST OF
I77...WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

MOST AREAS SHOULD CATCH A BREAK THURS AFTN BEHIND FRONT.
HOWEVER...MODELS INDICATING H5 ENERGY IN NW FLOW WILL DIVE SE AND
AFFECT MAINLY NE KY/SOUTHERN COAL FIELDS/SW VA. ACCOUNTED FOR WITH
CHC POPS.

WARM FRONT DEVELOPS ACROSS NORTHERN HALF CWA BY DAWN FRI IN RESPONSE
TO SFC LOW TRAVERSING UPPR MIDWEST. MODEST INSTABILITY WITH WARM
FRONT WILL HELP SPARK CONVECTION AS THE DAY WEARS ON NORTHERN TIER
COUNTIES. AS A RESULT...INSERTED HIGH CHC POPS ACROSS NORTH FOR MOST
OF FRI AS WARM FRONT HANGS ARND NORTHERN TIER/OR JUST NORTH OF CWA.
WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR WATER PROBLEMS...WITH PW ARND 1.75 IN
AND POSS TRAINING. SHOULD REMAIN DRY ACROSS THE SOUTH AS SOME UPPR
RIDGING WILL TRY TO SNEAK FROM SW.

AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW WILL SEND COLD FRONT APPROACHING WESTERN
FLANK OF CWA BY 12Z SAT. RAMPED POPS BACK UP ACROSS WEST INTO CHC
POPS.

FOR TEMPS BLENDED ONGOING GUID WITH LATEST MOSGUIDEBC. WILL MAKE A
RUN TOWARD 90 SOUTH OF I64 FRI IN WARM SECTOR AND INFLUENCE OF BRIEF
UPPR RIDGING. LOWS REMAIN BALMY MID 60S...TO UPPR 60S ACROSS SOUTH
FRI NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
GENERALLY FOLLOWED ECMWF/HPC THINKING IN THE EXTENDED. PATTERN CHG
WILL COMMENCE THIS WEEKEND...WITH SHARP H5 TROUGH DEVELOPING ACROSS
EAST WHICH CLOSES OFF H5 LOW EASTERN LAKES...ACROSS NY STATE. THIS
TROUGH SLOWLY PULLS EAST THROUGH EXTENDED AS H5 RIDGE EXPANDS ACROSS
MOST OF THE CONUS.

COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH CWA DURING DAY SAT. EXPECT CONVECTION
ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF BAROCLINIC ZONE DURING AFT HEATING. STUCK
WITH HIGH CHC POPS FOR SAT. COLD POOL ASSOC WITH UPPER LVL LOW WILL
KEEP CLOUDS AROUND NORTHERN TIER COUNTIES/NORTHERN MTNS FOR SUN AND
MON...WITH EVERYONE ELSE DRYING OUT WITH JUST A FEW PASSING CLOUDS
FROM TIME TO TIME. COULD BE SOME INSTABILITY SHRA ON SUN AFTN...AND
ACCOUNTED FOR WITH CHC POPS ACROSS NORTH. MAYBE EVEN SMALL HAIL
THREAT AS WELL.

AS RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD TUES AND WED...N AND NE AREAS WILL BE ON
FRINGE OF NW FLOW. STUCK SCHC POPS IN AS MODELS ARE SHOWING ENERGY
TRAVERSING RING OF FIRE.

STUCK CLOSE TO HPC/MOSGUID FOR TEMPS. GRADUAL WARMING BY DAY 7 AS
RIDGE BUILDS INTO AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT...CREATING MVFR AND ISOLATED IFR CONDITIONS.
MUCH OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DISSIPATED OVERNIGHT...BUT A
FEW STORMS PERSIST OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN WV AND SW VA. EXPECT GUSTY
WINDS AND REDUCED VSBYS IN VCNTY OF THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE AGAIN AFTER 15Z WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT
BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION...WITH THE COLD FRONT ENTERING SE OHIO
BETWEEN 03-05Z. MAINLY LIGHT SURFACE WINDS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF
UP TO 22KTS.  MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT.

AVIATION OUTLOOK /BEYOND 00Z THURSDAY...
NO WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR WVZ005>011-
     013>017-019-024>026-033>035.
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR OHZ066-067-075-
     076-083>087.
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR KYZ101>103-105.
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR VAZ003-004.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KTB/ARJ/30
NEAR TERM...KTB
SHORT TERM...TRM
LONG TERM...26
AVIATION...SL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
931 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>017-019-024>026-033>035-180145-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-
CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-
ROANE-WIRT-RITCHIE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-
931 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

WVZ018-020-027>032-036>040-046-047-180145-
CALHOUN-DODDRIDGE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-FAYETTE-
NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
931 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LEAD TO ISOLATED WATER
PROBLEMS LATE TONIGHT.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LEAD TO ISOLATED WATER
PROBLEMS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1014 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

KYZ101-170300-
GREENUP-
1014 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN GREENUP COUNTY...

AT 1010 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR VANCEBURG...MOVING EAST
AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM MAY
ALSO PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS OF AROUND ONE INCH IN AN
HOUR. THIS COULD CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL
ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR BRUSHART AROUND 1045 PM...LETITIA AROUND 1055
PM AND LOAD AROUND 1100 PM.

PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

10

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1122 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

KYZ101-OHZ086-087-WVZ007-170430-
GREENUP-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GALLIPOLIS...
IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN
1122 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

HERE IS A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...

AT 11:15 PM...A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST...
OUT OF GREENUP COUNTY KENTUCKY...AND THROUGH LAWRENCE AND GALLIA
COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...AND MOVING INTO MASON COUNTY WEST
VIRGINIA. THIS INCLUDES SUCH COMMUNITIES AS GREENUP...IRONTON...PEDRO...
AID...GALLIPOLIS...AND POINT PLEASANT.

DOWNPOURS OF RAIN ARE LIKELY. IN LOCALIZED AREAS...AN INCH OF RAIN COULD
FALL IN 30 MINUTES...CAUSING STREET AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING...AND RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS.

HOPEFULLY BY MIDNIGHT...THE RAIN SHOULD BE DIMINISHING IN GREENUP
COUNTY. HOWEVER...THE RAIN WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH GALLIA AND
MASON COUNTIES.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER FLOWING ACROSS A ROAD...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT.

IF SERIOUS FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR FORECAST...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING
COULD BE ISSUED.

KTB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
123 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PEDRO                   38.63N 82.67W
06/17/2009                   LAWRENCE           OH   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            RTE 93, RTE 650, RTE 179, RTE 141 AND RTE 21 NORTH OF
            IRONTON AND IN THE PEDRO AREA WERE FLOODED. SEVERAL HOMES
            HAD WATER IN THEM.

&&

JS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
156 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

VAZ004-WVZ024-025-033>035-170700-
BUCHANAN-LOGAN-MCDOWELL-MINGO-RALEIGH-WYOMING-
156 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BUCHANAN...MCDOWELL...SOUTH
CENTRAL RALEIGH...SOUTHERN LOGAN...SOUTHERN MINGO AND WYOMING
COUNTIES...

AT 152 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN
WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND
QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER ON COUNTRY ROADS AND
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT.  THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO
ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

21