Alert archive / New Jersey / Winter Weather Advisories in 2009
Winter Weather Advisory 8, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this winter weather advisory at Oct 15, 2009, 4:03 AM EDT for Carbon County, Monroe County, Pennsylvania; 4 counties in New Jersey. It took effect at Oct 15, 2009, 10:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 25 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 15, 2009, 4:03 AM EDT (08:03 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 15, 2009, 10:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 16, 2009, 11:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 25 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Counties Hunterdon County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Carbon County, PA, Monroe County, PA
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1340 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 24 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 118 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KPHI 150803 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 403 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT... .RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BRING 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. PAZ054-055-151600- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.091015T1600Z-091016T1000Z/ CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 403 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. A DEVELOPING COASTAL STORM WILL SPREAD RAIN INTO THE AREA DURING TODAY...AND WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND ACCUMULATE AN INCH OR SO BY DARK...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SNOW TONIGHT MAY ADD AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO...AND END EARLY FRIDAY WITH A TOTAL OF 1 TO 4 INCHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN POCONOS LATER TODAY...TONIGHT...AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
6 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KPHI 151348 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 948 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT... .RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BRING 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. NJZ001-152200- /O.EXB.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.091015T1400Z-091016T1200Z/ SUSSEX- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWTON 948 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL SPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. WITH WINDS PICKING UP IN INTENSITY OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TEMPERATURES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BEGIN TO DROP TURNING ANY FALLING PRECIPITATION INTO SNOW. THERE MAY BE ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THE SYSTEM SPINS FURTHER OFFSHORE THE SNOW WILL BE COMING TO AN END FRIDAY MORNING WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TODAY...TONIGHT...AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ PAZ054-055-152200- /O.EXT.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.091015T1400Z-091016T1200Z/ CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 948 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL SPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. WITH WINDS PICKING UP IN INTENSITY OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TEMPERATURES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BEGIN TO DROP TURNING ANY FALLING PRECIPITATION INTO SNOW. THERE MAY ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THE SYSTEM SPINS FURTHER OFFSHORE THE SNOW WILL COMING TO AN END FRIDAY MORNING WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN POCONOS LATER TODAY...TONIGHT...AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ HEAVENER
000 WWUS41 KPHI 151839 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 239 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 NJZ001-PAZ054-055-160300- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 239 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. A COASTAL LOW HAS SPREAD SNOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND RAIN AND SNOW IN THE VALLEYS ACROSS THE REGION. ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH VALLEY LOCATIONS AVERAGING LESS THAN AN INCH. THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY WARM AND MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR ON NON PAVED SURFACES AS WELL AS SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. BECAUSE THERE ARE STILL LEAVES ON THE TREES, OVER SOME OF THE HIGHEST TERRAIN, SOME LIMBS MIGHT COME DOWN FROM THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW AND CAUSE WIDELY SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE THE INTENSITY WILL LESSEN OVERNIGHT AND ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD COME TO AN END DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MIGHT BECOME SLIPPERY AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ GIGI/HEAVENER
000 WWUS41 KPHI 152023 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 423 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 NJZ007>009-160400- /O.EXB.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-091016T0400Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON 423 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. THIS IS MAINLY FOR HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS. A BAND OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAS COOLED THE ATMOSPHERE AND HAS CHANGED THE RAIN TO SNOW. SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE OVER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS UNTIL THIS BAND MOVES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION SHOULD DECREASE IN INTENSITY AND PROBABLY CHANGE BACK TO RAIN. THIS SNOW BAND WILL AFFECT TRAVEL ON INTERSTATE 80 AND POSSIBLY ALSO PARTS OF INTERSTATE 78. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES CAN ACCUMULATE SNOW SINCE THEY ARE NOT IN CONTACT WITH THE GROUND. ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES. BECAUSE THERE ARE STILL LEAVES ON THE TREES... OVER SOME OF THE HIGHEST TERRAIN... SOME LIMBS MIGHT COME DOWN FROM THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW AND CAUSE WIDELY SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH THE EVENING RUSH. SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MIGHT BECOME SLIPPERY AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-160430- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 423 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. A COASTAL LOW HAS SPREAD SNOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND RAIN AND SNOW IN THE VALLEYS ACROSS THE REGION. ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD AVERAGE 1 TO 4 INCHES WITH VALLEY LOCATIONS AVERAGING LESS THAN AN INCH. THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY WARM AND MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR ON NON PAVED SURFACES AS WELL AS SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. BECAUSE THERE ARE STILL LEAVES ON THE TREES... OVER SOME OF THE HIGHEST TERRAIN... SOME LIMBS MIGHT COME DOWN FROM THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW AND CAUSE WIDELY SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE THE INTENSITY WILL LESSEN OVERNIGHT AND ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD COME TO AN END DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MIGHT BECOME SLIPPERY AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ GIGI
000 WWUS41 KPHI 160005 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 805 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 NJZ007>009-160115- /O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-091016T0400Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON 805 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. THE BAND OF ACCUMULATING ROADWAY SNOW HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS AND TEMPERATURES HAVE CREPT ABOVE FREEZING. WHILE RAIN AND SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT, ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LESS THAN AN INCH AND OCCUR MAINLY ON NON PAVED SURFACES. $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-161000- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 805 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. A COASTAL LOW HAS SPREAD SNOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND RAIN AND SNOW IN THE VALLEYS ACROSS THE REGION. ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE REGION HAVE AVERAGED 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ON THE POCONO PLATEAU IN PENNSYLVANIA. WHILE THE SNOW HAS BECOME LIGHTER, IT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO IS POSSIBLE IN MOST AREAS WITH THE GREATEST ACCUMULATION ON NON PAVED SURFACES. WITH THE SUN GONE FOR THE DAY AND TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING, SOME ICY SPOTS WILL DEVELOP ON UNPAVED BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. SO FAR MOST OF THE REPORTED POWER OUTAGES HAVE BEEN OVER THE LOWER TERRAIN OF THE POCONOS. THERE ARE STILL LEAVES ON THE TREES. OVER SOME OF THE HIGHEST TERRAIN WITH CONTINUED ACCUMULATING SNOW, SOME TREE LIMBS SHOULD COME DOWN FROM THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW AND CAUSE WIDELY SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE THE INTENSITY ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD COME TO AN END DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES, HIGHEST ON THE POCONO PLATEAU. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MIGHT BECOME SLIPPERY AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. ANOTHER COASTAL LOW SHOULD BRING MORE MIXED PRECIPITATION INTO THE WEEKEND. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ GIGI
000 WWUS41 KPHI 160750 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 350 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 NJZ001-PAZ054-055-161500- /O.EXT.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-091016T1500Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 350 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. A COASTAL LOW SPREAD SNOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AND RAIN AND SNOW IN THE VALLEYS...ACROSS THE REGION. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE REGION HAVE AVERAGED 1 TO 4 INCHES THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ON THE POCONO PLATEAU IN PENNSYLVANIA. WHILE THE SNOW BECAME MOSTLY LIGHTER OVERNIGHT...IT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS MORNING. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO IS POSSIBLE IN MOST AREAS WITH THE GREATEST ACCUMULATION ON NON-PAVED SURFACES. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING EARLY THIS MORNING...SOME ICY SPOTS WILL EXIST ON UNTREATED BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. THERE ARE STILL LEAVES ON THE TREES, AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH ANY CONTINUING ACCUMULATING SNOW, SOME TREE LIMBS MAY COME DOWN FROM THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW. THIS MAY CAUSE WIDELY SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE THE INTENSITY OF ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD COME TO AN END DURING TODAY WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...HIGHEST ON THE POCONO PLATEAU. ANOTHER COASTAL LOW SHOULD BRING MORE MIXED PRECIPITATION INTO THE WEEKEND. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS41 KPHI 161457 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1057 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 NJZ001-PAZ054-055-161600- /O.EXP.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-091016T1500Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 1057 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE COASTAL LOW WHICH HAS BROUGHT RAIN AND SNOW TO THE REGION HAS MOVED WELL OFFSHORE THIS MORNING. SOME OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW AND LIGHT RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH CAN BE EXPECTED. ANOTHER COASTAL LOW WILL BRING ADDITIONAL MIXED PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA INTO THE WEEKEND. $$ MEOLA
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Oct 14, 10:55 PM EDT, 5 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 14, 10:55 PM EDT, 5 hours 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1055 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER UPSTATE NEW YORK AND LOWER ONTARIO WILL MOVE
EASTWARD OVERNIGHT. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY, THEN HEAD
NORTHEAST AND INTENSIFY OFF OUR COAST THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO AFFECT OUR AREA
OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD GRADUALLY ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
THE SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN MOVING ACROSS THE DELMARVA LOOKS LIKE IT
WILL FADE WITH AN EXITING UPPER SHORT WAVE EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD. ONCE THE SHORT WAVE EXITS, THERE SHOULD BE A RELATIVE LULL
BEFORE PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS AND BREAKS OUT IN EARNEST IN THE
ISENTROPIC LIFT LATER TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY MORNING.
COPIOUS MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT.
LAV GUIDANCE IS RUNNING ABOUT 2F TOO LOW ON THE HOURLIES AND WE
USED IT WITH THE CORRECTION FACTOR TO SLIGHTLY ADJUST THE MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES UPWARD TONIGHT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
ITS NOT OFTEN THAT WE GET BACK TO BACK NOREASTERS IN OCTOBER.
AS THE FIRST LOW REACHES THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THURSDAY, RAIN
WILL OVERSPREAD OUR AREA. AS THE INTENSITY INCREASES DURING THE
AFTERNOON, SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX IN WITH THE RAIN IN OUR NORTHERN
MOUNTAIN REGIONS. TEMPERATURES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL RUN
IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WITH GROUND
TEMPERATURES STILL QUITE MILD, VERY LITTLE ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED ON ROAD SURFACES. HIGHEST ELEVATIONS COULD SEE AROUND
2 INCHES OF SOGGY WET SNOW BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF
FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL CERTAINLY BEAR WATCHING. THE LINE BETWEEN
NO ADVISORIES/WARNINGS AND AN ADVISORY/WARNING EVENT WILL BE A
FINE ONE. JUST TO OUR NORTH AND WEST ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS COULD BE
SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN IN OUR AREA. MOVE THAT LINE 20 OR 30 MILES
SOUTHEAST, AND WE HAVE OUR FIRST WINTER STORM(EVEN THOUGH ITS ONLY
OCTOBER). STAY TUNED. THAT FIRST STORM WILL BE MOVING OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST LAT FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME
LIGHTER AND MORE INTERMITTENT BUT WILL NOT END COMPLETELY, AS
YET ANOTHER COASTAL LOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE BEGINNING OF THIS PERIOD LOOKS TO START OFF RATHER ACTIVE AS IT
CONTINUES FROM THE SHORT TERM. A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE EAST. A STRONG PACIFIC
JET IS FORECAST TO BE MOVING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND
SOUTHWESTERN CANADA WITH A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE BUILDING. THIS FORCES
THE EASTERN INCOMING TROUGH TO AMPLIFY SOME MORE. AS THIS OCCURS,
SHORT WAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE TROUGH ALONG WITH A STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL JET AND TIGHTENING BAROCLINICITY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST SHOULD ALLOW ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TO DEVELOP. THIS MOSTLY
APPEARS TO BE SEPARATE ENERGY FROM THE SHORT TERM SINCE THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE TRENDING MUCH MORE AMPLIFIED OVER THE
WEEKEND. THE TIMING AND EXTENT OF THE PRECIPITATION IS IN QUESTION
OVER THE WEEKEND GIVEN THE VARYING MODEL GUIDANCE AND EVEN ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS. WE TRENDED TOWARD HPC GUIDANCE /WHICH WENT MORE TOWARD THE
ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN/, ALTHOUGH DID BLEND IN SOME OF CONTINUITY GIVEN
THE UNCERTAINTY.
THE FIRST PIECE OF ENERGY LOOKS TO SLIDING AWAY EARLY SATURDAY,
HOWEVER A SURFACE TROUGH MAY BE IN PLACE TO KEEP SOME PRECIPITATION
AROUND. THE NEXT COASTAL LOW IS THEN FORECAST TO ORGANIZE AND
STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES NORTH AND NORTHEASTWARD SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
BASED ON THE HPC PRESSURES/FRONTS GRAPHICS, THIS SYSTEM PULLS AWAY
BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD OUR AREA FROM
THE OHIO VALLEY. THE GFS IS MUCH SLOWER IN SLIDING THIS SYSTEM OUT
AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TURNS INTO A MORE PRONOUNCED CLOSED LOW.
THE ECMWF IS NOT AS CLOSED OFF AND LOOKS FARTHER EAST AND SLOWER
WITH THE SURFACE LOW STRENGTHENING SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. AS OF
NOW, WE TOOK A BLENDED APPROACH WITH THE POPS UTILIZING MOSTLY EVEN
WEIGHTING OF CONTINUITY AND HPC GUIDANCE. THIS KEPT POPS NO HIGHER
THAN LIKELY ATTM. BASED ON SOME FORECAST SOUNDINGS, WE WENT WITH A
RAIN/SNOW MIX FOR NOW FOR THE FAR NORTHWEST ZONES. THIS COULD END UP
BEING MORE ELEVATION DEPENDENT, UNLESS THE PRECIPITATION IS HEAVY
ENOUGH WHERE IT COOLS THE ENTIRE COLUMN ENOUGH TO ALLOW A COMPLETE
CHANGE TO WET SNOW. THE GFS SOUNDINGS FOR THE POCONOS WOULD SUGGEST
A WET SNOW POTENTIAL SATURDAY MORNING, THEN A WARM SURGE GETS GOING
AROUND 850 MB THROUGH MOST OF SUNDAY. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY, WE WENT
WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN LOOKS TO SETTLE ACROSS OUR AREA DURING THE EARLY
TO MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT MAY BE LURKING TO OUR
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY, BUT FOR NOW THE MID LEVEL RIDGE MAY TEND TO
KEEP THAT TO OUR NORTH SO A DRY FORECAST WAS CARRIED.
&&
.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
THE FIRST SURGE OF MOISTURE IS GRADUALLY WORKING ACROSS THE AREA
EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE CLOUD BASES ARE STARTING TO LOWER BUT
STILL VFR. RADAR DATA INDICATING SOME PRECIPITATION GRADUALLY MOVING
INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST, HOWEVER LINGERING DRY AIR HAS BEEN
ERODING SOME OF THIS AS IT MAKES ITS EASTWARD TRACK. SOME LIGHT
RAIN OR MOSTLY SPRINKLES HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT KILG AND KMIV THUS
FAR, AND THIS INITIAL MOISTURE SURGE IS ANTICIPATED TO BE RATHER
LIGHT WITH LITTLE TO NO CEILING/VISIBILITY IMPACTS. AS A RESULT, WE
DID NOT CARRY THIS IN THE LATEST TAFS. AS ADDITIONAL STORM ENERGY
ARRIVES FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT AND ESPECIALLY EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING, THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE AND EXPAND MORE WITH TIME.
BY THIS TIME, THE ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO BE MOIST ENOUGH TO ALLOW
THE RAIN TO REACH THE GROUND A LITTLE HEAVIER. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW THAT WILL BECOME BETTER ESTABLISHED, THE
VISIBILITIES TEND TO STAY UP FOR AWHILE AND WE MAINTAINED THIS IDEA
IN THIS SET OF TAFS. FROM ABOUT DAYBREAK THURSDAY ON, CEILINGS ARE
EXPECTED TO LOWER TO MVFR AND IFR WITH THE RAIN BECOMING STEADIER
AND HEAVIER THROUGH THE DAY. WE THEREFORE STEPPED THE VISIBILITIES
DOWNWARD.
A LIGHT AND MOSTLY VARIABLE WIND FOR AWHILE TONIGHT WILL SETTLE TO A
NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION TOWARD THURSDAY MORNING. AS A STORM SYSTEM
DEVELOPS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND EVEN STRENGTHENS, THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN UP ALLOWING THE SURFACE WINDS TO
INCREASE. IT APPEARS THE GUSTS WILL BE MOSTLY CONFINED FROM THE KPHL
METRO AREA ON SOUTH AND EASTWARD, THEREFORE WE WENT IN THIS
DIRECTION, BUT CARRIED THE HIGHEST GUSTS AT KACY. WE TOOK A LOOK AT
THE LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR POTENTIAL, AND BASED ON THE SOUNDINGS THE
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IS MOST PRONOUNCED AT AND ABOVE 5,000 FEET
THEREFORE WE DID NOT CARRY A MENTION.
OUTLOOK...
MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE THE RULE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS
ONE COASTAL STORM DEPARTS AND THEN ANOTHER APPEARS TO DEVELOP IN ITS
WAKE. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS, POTENTIALLY 30 KNOTS OR MORE, LOOKS TO
LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABLY CLOSER TO
THE COAST. PERIODS OF RAIN WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH MOST OF THE
WEEKEND, AND A NOTED IMPROVEMENT MAY HAVE TO WAIT UNTIL EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS TOWARD OUR AREA FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY.
&&
.MARINE...
RELATIVELY GOOD CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE
ON THURSDAY. A NOREASTER IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TO OUR SOUTH ON
THURSDAY AND LIFT NORTHEAST TO THE EAST OF OUR WATERS EARLY FRIDAY.
VERY ROUGH SEAS AND GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS, WHILE CONDITIONS OVER DELAWARE BAY MAY ONLY BE
MARGINALLY BETTER. WE MAINTAIN THE GALE WATCH, EXCEPT THAT WE ARE
BACKING THE START TIME UP A BIT.
THERE STILL ARE INDICATIONS OF YET ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
AFFECTING THE WATERS OVER THE WEEKEND, AND MUCH OF THE WATERS
/ESPECIALLY NORTH/ MAY REMAIN IN A SUSTAINED NORTHEAST FLOW INTO
SUNDAY.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
RAIN MAY BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES SOUTH AND CENTRAL PORTIONS
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AVERAGE 1 TO 1 1/2 INCHES WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
SINCE THESE AMOUNTS WILL BE SPREAD OVER A 12 TO 18 HOUR PERIOD,
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL
NOT BE ISSUED AT THIS TIME.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WE ARE MOVING TOWARD A NEW MOON, AND ONE HAS TO ADD VERY LITTLE TO
THE NORMALLY CONSERVATIVE AVN-BASED TIDAL GUIDANCE TO HAVE
WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ON THURSDAY EVENING AND MODERATE
TIDAL FLOODING AND ASSOCIATED BEACH EROSION ALONG THE COAST AND THE
RARITAN AND DELAWARE BAY SHORES ON FRIDAY. EVENTUALLY, TIDAL
FLOODING MAY MOVE UP THE TIDAL DELAWARE AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY, BUT
FOR NOW WE ARE GOING TO DROP THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE FROM THE
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AND THEN EXTEND IT IN TIME TO COVER BOTH FRIDAY
HIGH TIDES. WE ARE NOT EXTENDING IT GEOGRAPHICALLY AT THIS TIME,
ALTHOUGH ULTIMATELY WE MAY. WE ALSO NOTE THAT IF THE COASTAL AREAS
EXPERIENCE SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS INTO SATURDAY, A WATCH/WARNING
MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED FURTHER IN TIME.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NJZ012>014-020>027.
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NJZ014-024>026.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR NJZ013-
020-022-023-027.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING FOR DEZ002>004.
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR DEZ004.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR DEZ003.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR
ANZ430-431-450>455.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR
ANZ452>455.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ430-
431-450-451.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RPW /
NEAR TERM...RPW / GIGI /
SHORT TERM...RPW
LONG TERM...GORSE
AVIATION...GORSE
MARINE...GORSE / DELISI
HYDROLOGY...RPW
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...DELISIHazardous weather outlook, Oct 15, 3:55 AM EDT, 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 355 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 PAZ054-055-160800- CARBON-MONROE- 355 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. HIGHER ELEVATIONS SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH COLD AIR TO CAUSE RAIN TO TURN TO SNOW...WITH ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IF ENOUGH SNOW ACCUMULATES, SOME TREE LIMB DAMAGE MIGHT OCCUR. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW WITH POSSIBLE MIXED PRECIPITATION MAY OCCUR SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NJZ001-160800- SUSSEX- 355 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. HIGHER ELEVATIONS SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH COLD AIR TO CAUSE RAIN TO TURN TO SNOW...WITH ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IF ENOUGH SNOW ACCUMULATES, SOME TREE LIMB DAMAGE MIGHT OCCUR. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW WITH POSSIBLE MIXED PRECIPITATION MAY OCCUR SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ007>010-015>019-PAZ060>062-067>071- 160800- NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WARREN-MORRIS- HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY- BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 355 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ002-NJZ012-021-160800- KENT-MIDDLESEX-CUMBERLAND- 355 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ003-004-NJZ013-014-020-022-023-027-160800- INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH- OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 355 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND ADVISORY. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND ADVISORY. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ450>455-160800- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 355 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-431-160800- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 355 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NJZ025-026-160800- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- 355 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NJZ024-160800- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- 355 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 3:39 AM EDT | High Wind Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Cape May, Ocean | 12 hr |
| Oct 15, 4:09 AM EDT | Gale Warning | PHI | 30 hr | |
| Oct 15, 10:06 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Ocean | 13 hr |
| Oct 15, 3:26 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Middlesex, Monmouth and 1 more | 20 hr |
Nearby
Winter Weather Advisories in New Jersey, 2009Winter Weather Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2009Every winter weather advisory in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.