Coastal Flood Warning 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

000 
WHUS41 KPHI 160304
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1104 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

DEZ002>004-NJZ020>027-161115-
/O.CAN.KPHI.CF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0002.091016T0900Z-091016T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091016T2200Z-091017T1600Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1104 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 AM EDT
FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM 5 AM TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING.

THE STEADY EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW CUASED THE TIDES TO RISE ABOVE
NORMAL THIS EVENING AND THE DEALWARE NEW JERSEY COASTS INCLUDING
THE BACK BAYS EXPERIENCED WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING...IN
SOME CASES...JUST SHY OF MODERATE.

THE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WAS BETWEEN 530 PM AND 645 PM EDT WITH
THE HIGH TIDE OCCURRING  UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER ON THE BACK BAYS
AND ALONG DELAWARE BAY.

IF YOU EXPERIENCED FLOODING THE NEXT HIGH TIDES WILL BE EQUAL TO
OR A LITTLE MORE THAN WHAT WE EXPERENCED. PLEASE REMEMBER TO MOVE
YOUR VEHICLE AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING OCCURS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST BETWEEN
615 AM AND 715 AM EDT. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND
DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER.

FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE...FORECAST TIDE HEIGHTS ARE
7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY...
8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT CAPE MAY...AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT
REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR...AND BETWEEN 8.0 AND
8.5 FEET MLLW AT REEDY POINT.

THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN
630 PM AND 730 PM EDT...AND THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS
ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 700 AM AND 800 AM EDT. AGAIN...HIGH
TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW
HOURS LATER.

FOR THE FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES...POSSIBLE
TIDE HEIGHTS ARE ARE 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND
ATLANTIC CITY...8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT CAPE MAY...AROUND
7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR...AND
BETWEEN 8.0 AND 8.5 FEET MLLW AT REEDY POINT.

THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT A SUSTAINED EAST TO
NORTHEAST WIND INTO SATURDAY WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING
THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

NJZ012>014-161115-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0002.091016T0900Z-091016T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091016T2200Z-091017T1600Z/
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
1104 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 AM EDT
FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 AM EDT
FRIDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY
EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. 

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

A STEADY EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD
MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE ATLANTIC
OCEANFRONT...RARITAN BAY AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS.

ANY RAINFALL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE
FLOODING...AND WAVE ACTION WILL LEAD TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION.

HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND RARITAN BAY
OCCURS BETWEEN 615 AM AND 715 AM EDT. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT
BACK BAYS OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER.

FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE...FORECAST TIDE HEIGHTS ARE
8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK.

THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND
RARITAN BAY BETWEEN 630 PM AND 730 PM EDT...AND THE SATURDAY
MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND RARITAN BAY
BETWEEN 700 AM AND 800 AM EDT. AGAIN...HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT
BACK BAYS OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER.

FOR THE FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES...POSSIBLE
TIDE HEIGHTS 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK.

THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT A SUSTAINED EAST TO
NORTHEAST WIND INTO SATURDAY WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING
THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT. COASTAL
RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...
AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

000 
WHUS41 KPHI 160743
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
343 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-162000-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0002.091016T0900Z-091016T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091016T2200Z-091017T1600Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
343 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS
EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OCCURRED AT HIGH TIDE FRIDAY
EVENING AND SOME AREAS ALMOST REACHED MODERATE. THE STEADY
NORTHEAST TO EAST FLOW WILL MAINTAIN THE LEVEL OF THE WATERS IN
THE BACK BAYS AND THE CONTINUED FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO TIDES
REACHING THE SAME HEIGHTS OR HIGHER TODAY. THIS IS THE CASE ON
THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY COASTS INCLUDING THE BACK BAYS.

THE FIRST LOW PRESSURE IS WELL NORTHEAST OF THE JERSEY COAST BUT
ANOTHER WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE
NORTH OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS WILL PROLONG THE POTENTIAL FOR
TIDAL FLOODING. 

REMEMBER TO MOVE YOUR VEHICLE AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TODAY.

HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING OCCURS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST BETWEEN
615 AM AND 715 AM EDT. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND
DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER.

FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE...FORECAST TIDE HEIGHTS ARE
7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY...
8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT CAPE MAY...AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT
REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR...AND BETWEEN 8.0 AND
8.5 FEET MLLW AT REEDY POINT.

THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN
630 PM AND 730 PM EDT...AND THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS
ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 700 AM AND 800 AM EDT. AGAIN...HIGH
TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW
HOURS LATER.

FOR THE FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES...POSSIBLE
TIDE HEIGHTS ARE ARE 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND
ATLANTIC CITY...8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT CAPE MAY...AROUND
7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR...AND
BETWEEN 8.0 AND 8.5 FEET MLLW AT REEDY POINT.

THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT A SUSTAINED EAST TO
NORTHEAST WIND INTO SATURDAY WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING
THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

000 
WHUS41 KPHI 161516
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1116 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-162330-
/O.EXP.KPHI.CF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091016T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091016T2200Z-091017T1600Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1116 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A COASTAL FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. 

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

MINOR TO MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING OCCURRED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE THIS MORNING. THE STEADY NORTHEAST WIND WILL MAINTAIN THE LEVEL
OF THE WATERS IN THE BACK BAYS AND THE CONTINUED FLOW WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO TIDES REACHING ABOUT THE SAME HEIGHTS THIS EVENING
...EVEN THOUGH THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE IS SLIGHTLY LOWER. THE
BACK BAYS IN PARTICULAR MAY BE SLOW TO DRAIN AFTER THE HIGH TIDE.

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE REGION
LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS WILL
PROLONG THE POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH
TIDE FOR SATURDAY MORNING IS HIGHER THAN THIS EVENING...SO THE
FLOOD POTENTIAL SATURDAY MAY BE HIGHER AS WELL.

REMEMBER TO MOVE YOUR VEHICLE AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TODAY.

THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN
630 PM AND 730 PM EDT...AND THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS
ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 700 AM AND 800 AM EDT. AGAIN...HIGH
TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW
HOURS LATER.

FOR THE FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES...POSSIBLE
TIDE HEIGHTS ARE ARE 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND
ATLANTIC CITY...8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT CAPE MAY...AROUND
7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR...AND
BETWEEN 8.0 AND 8.5 FEET MLLW AT REEDY POINT.

THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT A SUSTAINED EAST TO
NORTHEAST WIND INTO SATURDAY WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING
THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1016 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST
THIS MORNING AND INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OF OUR AREA
OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. ANOTHER COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO AFFECT OUR AREA DURING THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD GRADUALLY ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
BIG CHANGES ARE COMING TO OUR AREA TODAY AS A COASTAL LOW...A
NOR/EASTER...INTENSIFIES ON ITS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TREK TODAY.
LOTS OF EFFECTS FOR OUR AREA ARE ON TAP...INCLUDING WIND...
RAIN...SNOW FAR NORTH...AND POSSIBLE COASTAL FLOODING. SEE ALL THE
APPROPRIATE ASSOCIATED PRODUCTS WHICH HAVE BEEN ISSUED.

FIRST...PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTH: THE NAM SEEMED TO INITIALIZE
TOO COOL WITH THE 00Z RUN. SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND THERMAL
PROFILES WERE TUNED MORE TO GFS MODEL OUTPUT FOR A SOLUTION, OR,
IN A FEW INSTANCES A SLIGHT HEDGE TOWARD THE NAM WAS USED.
1000-850 THICKNESSES AROUND 1300 METERS...OR BETWEEN 1300 AND
1305...SHOWED MORE CONSISTENCY BETWEEN THE NAM AND THE GFS THIS
MORNING, BUT OVERALL THE NAM WAS SLIGHTLY COOLER, AND PERHAPS A
BIT TOO COOL. EVEN SO, EVAPORATIVE COOLING IS EXPECTED TO TURN
RAIN TO WET SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ESSENTIALLY ABOVE
1000 FEET...LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, AND PERHAPS INTO
FRIDAY AS WELL AS THE STORM STARTS TO PULL AWAY. WITH EXPECTED
QPF OF A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH, THE FIRST GUESS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES
WAS CONTINUED. WITH THESE AMOUNTS, MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF CARBON AND MONROE IN PENNSYLVANIA AND SUSSEX IN NEW JERSEY,
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING.

SECOND...WINDS WILL BE A CONCERN NEAR THE COAST WITH THE
DEVELOPING STRONG GRADIENT. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO RAMP UP LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE STORM NEARS OUR LATITUDE. GFS AND NAM 925
HPA WINDS WERE BOTH A BIT LESS THAN YESTERDAY...BUT STILL SHOWED
45 KNOTS AT TIMES ALONG THE COAST. THE GRADIENT SEEMED TO BE
TIGHTEST OVER CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OUR AREA...SO A WIND ADVISORY WAS
CONTINUED FOR THE NEXT TIER OF ZONES INLAND, AND EXTENDED TO THE
FAR SOUTH AND FAR NORTH COASTAL STRIP ZONES. IN BETWEEN, THE HIGH
WIND WATCH WAS UPGRADED TO A HIGH WIND WARNING. THE REASONING USED
WAS THAT, IF WINDS CAN STRETCH A COUPLE MORE KNOTS, THEN WED BE
IN WARNING TERRITORY. ALSO, WITH LEAVES STILL ON TREES, THERE
WILL BE A LOT OF WIND LOADING, SO ANY DOWNED TREES AND LIMBS ARE
MORE LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY COASTAL
ZONES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
THE TONIGHT PERIOD WILL BE THE TIME OF MOST CONCERN FOR THE
WEATHER, WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION, WINDS EAST, POSSIBLE
COASTAL FLOODING, AND SNOW NORTH. AGAIN, GFS OUTPUT WAS PREFERRED.
SEE DETAILS IN THE PRECEDING SECTION.

THIS FIRST STORM WILL BE MOVING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST LATER FRIDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME LIGHTER AND MORE
INTERMITTENT BUT IS NOT FORECAST TO END COMPLETELY, AS YET
ANOTHER COASTAL LOW WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP AND IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT OUR AREA MAINLY IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE BEGINNING OF THIS PERIOD LOOKS TO START OFF RATHER ACTIVE AS IT
CONTINUES FROM THE SHORT TERM. A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE EAST. A STRONG PACIFIC
JET IS FORECAST TO BE MOVING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND
SOUTHWESTERN CANADA WITH A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE BUILDING. THIS FORCES
THE EASTERN INCOMING TROUGH TO AMPLIFY SOME MORE. AS THIS OCCURS,
SHORT WAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE TROUGH ALONG WITH A STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL JET AND TIGHTENING BAROCLINICITY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST SHOULD ALLOW ANOTHER COASTAL STORM TO DEVELOP. THIS MOSTLY
APPEARS TO BE SEPARATE ENERGY FROM THE SHORT TERM SINCE THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE TRENDING MUCH MORE AMPLIFIED OVER THE
WEEKEND. THE TIMING AND EXTENT OF THE PRECIPITATION IS IN QUESTION
OVER THE WEEKEND GIVEN THE VARYING MODEL GUIDANCE AND EVEN ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS. WE TRENDED TOWARD HPC GUIDANCE /WHICH WENT MORE TOWARD THE
ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN/, ALTHOUGH DID BLEND IN SOME OF CONTINUITY GIVEN
THE UNCERTAINTY.

THE FIRST PIECE OF ENERGY LOOKS TO MOVE AWAY EARLY SATURDAY,
HOWEVER A SURFACE TROUGH MAY BE IN PLACE TO KEEP SOME
PRECIPITATION AROUND. THE NEXT COASTAL LOW IS THEN FORECAST TO
ORGANIZE AND STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES NORTH AND NORTHEASTWARD
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. BASED ON THE HPC PRESSURES/FRONTS GRAPHICS,
THIS SYSTEM PULLS AWAY BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS TOWARD OUR AREA FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. THE GFS IS MUCH
SLOWER IN MOVING THIS SYSTEM OUT AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TURNS
INTO A MORE PRONOUNCED CLOSED LOW. THE ECMWF IS NOT AS CLOSED OFF
AND LOOKS FARTHER EAST AND SLOWER WITH THE SURFACE LOW
STRENGTHENING SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. FOR NOW, A BLENDED
APPROACH WAS USED WITH THE POPS UTILIZING MOSTLY EVEN WEIGHTING OF
CONTINUITY AND HPC GUIDANCE. THIS KEPT POPS NO HIGHER THAN LIKELY
AT THIS TIME. BASED ON SOME FORECAST SOUNDINGS, WE WENT WITH A
RAIN/SNOW MIX FOR THE FAR NORTHWEST ZONES. THIS COULD END UP
BEING MORE ELEVATION DEPENDENT, UNLESS THE PRECIPITATION IS HEAVY
ENOUGH WHERE IT COOLS THE ENTIRE COLUMN ENOUGH TO ALLOW A COMPLETE
CHANGE TO WET SNOW. THE GFS SOUNDINGS FOR THE POCONOS WOULD
SUGGEST A WET SNOW POTENTIAL SATURDAY MORNING, THEN A WARM SURGE
GETS GOING AROUND 850 MB THROUGH MOST OF SUNDAY. GIVEN THE
UNCERTAINTY, WE WENT WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN LOOKS TO SETTLE ACROSS OUR AREA DURING THE
EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT MAY BE LURKING
TO OUR NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY, BUT FOR NOW THE MID LEVEL RIDGE MAY
TEND TO KEEP THAT TO OUR NORTH SO A DRY FORECAST WAS CARRIED.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

EXCELLENT DETAIL ON THE AVIATION WEATHER PAGE SHOWING FLIGHT
CATEGORIES. OUR TAFS STILL VFR BUT SOME LIGHT RAIN IS MAKING ITS
WAS EAST AND NORTH. GOOD PART NOT REACHING THE GROUND ATTM. AS
MENTIONED LAST EVENING... A CONCERN WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION IN THE
NORTHERN AREAS WITH SOME ICING CONCERNS.

BELOW IS THE FORECAST ICING LEVELS AND RH AT THAT LEVEL..

STA 15/12 15/18 16/00 16/06 16/12 16/18 17/00 17/06 17/12
BOS 02290 02290 02395 02495 02695 02495 02295 02690 02990
LGA 03790 03495 02695 06895 05395 03895 03395 06795 04295
PHL 04290 05695 08795 08495 08395 08195 08295 08595 08195
IPT 02270 01695 01495 01295 01595 01595 01895 01695 01295

AS OF 3 AM HERE IS SOME VWP DOPPLER RADAR PROFILE DATE...
KCCX-SE WIND 20 KT 1,000 FT VEERING AROUND TO SW 15KT AT 7,000 FT
WITH CLDS TOPPING OFF AROUND 14,000 FT.
KDIX-NNE WIND 15 KT FROM 1-4,000 FT BACKING TO SW THEN W 30 KT AT
14,000 FT.
KDOV - NE WIND 20 KT BACK TO SW 20 KT AT 5,000 FT AND WSW 11,000 FT.
TPHL - NE WIND 20 KT TO 2,000 FT BACK TO SOUTH AT 4,000 FT THEN WSW
30 KT AT 12,000 FT.
KAKQ - NE WINDS 15 KT AT 1,000 FT VEERING SE THEN BACKING TO S 15 KT
AT 5,000 FT THEN WSW UP THROUGH 16,000 FT AT 30 KT.

SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ALL TAF SITES AND LIKELY TO BE A 48 HOUR ISSUE.
STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE IN NJ/DE WITH SOME GUSTS APPROACHING 45 KT
PERHAPS AT ACY/MIV. OTHERWISE SOME GUSTS INTO THE 20 TO NEAR 30
RANGE BACK TOWARDS PHL.

OUTLOOK...
MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THE
FIRST REAL GOOD SUPER VFR DAYS NOT UNTIL  MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
PRESENT CONDITIONS AT BUOY 44009-WIND FROM 100 DEGREES AT 10-14 KTS.
FORECAST CALLS FOR AT LEAST 12 FT SEAS BY LATE TONIGHT AND GALE
FORCE WINDS. TEXAS TOWER BUOY AT 2 THIS MORNING REPORTING A 100
DEGREE WIND WITH 2 TO 4 KT AND 2 FT SEA. FORECAST IS FOR AT LEAST 13
FT BY 10 AM FRI. BUOYS INSIDE DELAWARE BAY ARE 1 TO 2 FT BUT
EXPECTING NEAR 5 AND 6 FT ACROSS THE LOWER BAY TONIGHT.

WITH THAT SAID...A VERY STORY PERIOD BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AS A
COASTAL LOW MOVES NORTH FROM THE CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST OUT TO SEA
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOWS CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH WILL BE
155 MILES SOUTHEAST BY 8 PM FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE THEN 340
MILES EAST BY FRIDAY MORNING. ANOTHER MODEL HAS IT 125 MILES
SOUTHEAST 8 PM AND 450 MILES AWAY FROM 8 AM FRIDAY.

THE CLOSENESS WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE WIND BUT THE TIDE WILL RISE
AS WE CONTINUE WITH AN EXTENDED LONG PERIOD FETCH.

SMALL CRAFT ARE UP AND GALE WATCHES FLYING ALONG THE ENTIRE MID
ATLANTIC REGION. SO IT IS NOT SAFE TO VENTURE TO FAR OFF SHORE AFTER
MID DAY TODAY. FORECAST FROM THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER RAISED
GALES FOR THE CANYON AREAS. THE FIRST LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE WELL
OFFSHORE ON FRIDAY BUT A SECONDARY ONE IS GOING TO FORM SOMETIME
SATURDAY AND KEEP THE WIND GRADIENT HIGH ENOUGH TO HAVE AT LEAST
HIGH END SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES OR GALE WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

THE FORECAST FOR THE DELAWARE 44009 BUOY MAXS OUT AROUND 14 FEET
BUT I WOULDNT BEEN SURPRISED AT ALL TO SEE 20 FEET WITH THE
EXTENDED FETCH...INTO SUNDAY WITH THE NEXT STORM ADDING WAVES ON
TOP WITH NO REAL STRONG HIGH PRESSURE.

NO REAL IMPROVEMENT IN THE PICTURE UNTIL MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE
LOWS EXIT THE WESTERN BOUNDARY OF THE ATLANTIC AND HIGH PRESSURE
REACHES THE MID ATLANTIC COAST.

TO SEE THE WIND FIELD AROUND THE DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW GO TO ANY
BUOY PAGE AND BEFORE GOING DOWN TO THE CONDITIONS CLICK ON LATEST
SATELLITE WIND MAP FOR THIS AREA.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THE UPCOMING WEATHER EVENT IS TRULY MARINE IN ALL FACETS WITH
INCREASING GALE FORCE WINDS...BUILDING SEAS AND TIDAL FLOODING. WE
HAVE HAD SOME STRONG STORMS IN OCT PAST FEW YEARS BUT NOTHING STRONGER
THAN HURRICANE WILMA IN 2005 WHEN SHE RODE UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD.
WILMA PRODUCED 22 FT SEAS AT BUOY 44009 A RECORD THAT STANDS FOR
OCTOBER. WE MONITOR THE OFFSHORE WAVE FORECAST SINCE IT IMPACTS
THE COASTLINE AS THE WATER APPROACHES THE COAST AND KEEPS THE BACK
BAYS FROM DRAINING AND BREAKING WAVES ON THE BEACH BRINGING BEACH
EROSION.

REGARDING TIDAL FLOODING, THE EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW HAS BEGUN TO
STRENGTHEN ENOUGH TO CAUSE A GENERAL INCREASE IN DEPARTURES,
ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COASTLINE.
CONSERVATIVE SSE GUIDANCE TAKES ALL SITES ALONG THE COAST AND
DELAWARE BAY TO WITHIN ABOUT A HALF-FOOT OF THE LEVEL NEEDED FOR
MINOR TIDAL FLOODING THIS EVENING, AND IT IS LAGGING ABOUT A HALF-
FOOT BEHIND PRESENT DEPARTURES. WE HAVE ISSUED AN ADVISORY FOR
THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE FROM OCEAN COUNTY SOUTH ALONG THE COAST
AND FOR DELAWARE BAY.

OTHERWISE, THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT AND THAT
COULD BE RAISED TO A WARNING WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 8 HOURS. THE
CONCERN IS THAT DEPARTURES STARTING WITH TOMORROWS HIGH TIDES
COULD RUN UP TO 2 FT OR ABOVE AND THAT WOULD PLACE US IN MODERATE
LEVELS. AS MENTIONED, THE BUILDING SEAS, ANY HEAVY RAINFALL AT
TIME OF HIGH TIDE AND THE APPROACHING NEW MOON WILL ALL COMBINE TO
RAISE THE TIDE LEVELS HIGHER.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR PAZ054-055.
NJ...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY
     FOR NJZ025-026.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
     FOR NJZ012>014-020>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT
     THIS EVENING FOR NJZ020>027.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     NJZ013-014-020-022-023-027.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY
     FOR NJZ024.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NJZ001.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
     FOR DEZ002>004.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT
     THIS EVENING FOR DEZ002>004.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     DEZ003-004.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT FOR ANZ430-431-
     450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RPW/
NEAR TERM...HEAVENER/
SHORT TERM...RPW/
LONG TERM...GORSE
AVIATION...EBERWINE
MARINE...EBERWINE
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...EBERWINE/DELISI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1036 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-160900-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
1036 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. HIGHER ELEVATIONS SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH COLD AIR TO
CAUSE SNOW...WITH ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES MAY OCCUR
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IF ENOUGH SNOW ACCUMULATES, SOME TREE
LIMB DAMAGE MIGHT OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW
WITH POSSIBLE MIXED PRECIPITATION MAY OCCUR SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ007>010-015>019-PAZ060>062-067>071-
160900-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WARREN-MORRIS-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-
BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1036 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW
MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME
HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS. TIDAL FLOODING
MAY EVENTUALLY BECOME A CONCERN ALONG THE TIDAL DELAWARE AND THE
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002-NJZ021-160900-
KENT-CUMBERLAND-
1036 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW
MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME
HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ012-160900-
MIDDLESEX-
1036 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW
MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME
HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ003-004-NJZ020-022-023-027-160900-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1036 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT
FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW
MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME
HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ013-014-160900-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
1036 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT
FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW
MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME
HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-160900-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1036 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW
MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME
HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ025-026-160900-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
1036 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT
FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW
MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME
HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ024-160900-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
1036 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT
FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

THE COASTAL LOW WILL CARRY OVER INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND COASTAL LOW
MAY AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME
HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH OF THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.