Severe Thunderstorm Warning 653, NWS Norman, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1200 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1200 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM LATE
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS FROM THIS
AFTERNOON UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
MODERATE INSTABILITY... COMBINED WITH SURFACE BOUNDARIES... AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH... AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR... WILL BRING A
CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATER TODAY. INSOLATION
AND AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WILL PROVIDE
SUFFICIENT LIFT FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO MAKE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY AUG 18.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...70 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
A FLOOD WATCH IS EFFECTIVE FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA FROM
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MID-DAY TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RECEDE BEYOND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
A FLOOD WATCH IS EFFECTIVE FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA UNTIL
MID-DAY TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY GENERATE
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM
TUESDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
547 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

OKZ015-017-172330-
DEWEY OK-BLAINE OK-
547 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR BLAINE AND DEWEY COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EAGLE CITY AT
546 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50
MPH ARE LIKELY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WERE FORMING ON AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY EXTENDING WEST TOWARD TALOGA. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE AS
STORM STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING.

LAT...LON 3577 9821 3585 9890 3599 9905 3616 9862
      3616 9822

BURKE