Severe Thunderstorm Warning 140, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1210 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

.AVIATION...(06Z)NEW DEVELOPMENT GETTING STARTED OVER SOUTHERN
MISS/EASTERN LA WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA INTO THE MORNING HOURS. IFR
CIGS ARE EXPECTED...WITH WINDS HIGH ENOUGH TO INHIBIT FOG
DEVELOPMENT. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS...THEN SETTLE LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AS
A WEAK FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.

16

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
605 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-041200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
605 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE IN
COVERAGE AND BECOME ISOLATED DURING THE EVENING HOURS...THEN
REDEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.  SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH MUCH
OF THE DAY ON MONDAY...THEN TAPER OFF DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS.

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...EXTREME SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.  FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT INTO MONDAY...WHILE
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...A SEVERE STORM OR TWO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.  THROUGH THE PERIOD...THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM
SEVERE STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.  THERE WILL ALSO BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF TWO TO THREE INCHES WHERE
SEVERAL THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP EACH DAY BUT SEVERE
DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND STORM SPOTTERS FOR SEVERE
WEATHER MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH MONDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
156 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

MSZ067-040800-
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESBORO...
156 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO AFFECT WAYNE COUNTY...

AT 154 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF CLARA TO 6
MILES SOUTH OF CLARA...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
WAYNESBORO...WINCHESTER...ROBINSON JUNCTION...BUCKATUNNA...BATTLES
AND DENHAM THROUGH 300 AM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS
HAVE PASSED.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

THIS LINE OF STORMS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
LOCALLY IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF
WATER AROUND LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT
DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO
GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.