Flash Flood Warning 19, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1210 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

.AVIATION...(06Z)NEW DEVELOPMENT GETTING STARTED OVER SOUTHERN
MISS/EASTERN LA WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA INTO THE MORNING HOURS. IFR
CIGS ARE EXPECTED...WITH WINDS HIGH ENOUGH TO INHIBIT FOG
DEVELOPMENT. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS...THEN SETTLE LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AS
A WEAK FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.

16

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
300 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-050800-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
300 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS MORNING
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR OF
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THROUGH SUNRISE. STORMS ARE FORECAST TO
DEVELOP SOUTHEAST INTO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE MAINLY AFTER
SUNRISE. SOME OF THE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF BECOMING BRIEFLY
SEVERE WITH THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM SEVERE STORMS BEING DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL ALSO POSE A
HAZARD IN THUNDERSTORMS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE WHERE STORMS MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS...WHICH COULD RESULT
IN BRIEF PERIODS OF FLOODING OVER LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. RESIDENTS
ARE URGED TO SET WEATHER RADIOS TO TONE ALERT TO RECEIVE WATCHES AND
WARNINGS.

OVER THE MARINE AREA...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL MARINE CRAFT THIS MORNING.

HEADING INTO TONIGHT...THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT LOOKS TO DIMINISH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. AT THIS TIME...THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND STORM SPOTTERS FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE REQUIRED TODAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
156 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

MSZ067-040800-
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESBORO...
156 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO AFFECT WAYNE COUNTY...

AT 154 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF CLARA TO 6
MILES SOUTH OF CLARA...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
WAYNESBORO...WINCHESTER...ROBINSON JUNCTION...BUCKATUNNA...BATTLES
AND DENHAM THROUGH 300 AM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS
HAVE PASSED.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

THIS LINE OF STORMS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
LOCALLY IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF
WATER AROUND LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT
DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO
GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
219 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

ALZ051>053-MSZ067-040815-
WASHINGTON-CLARKE-CHOCTAW-WAYNE-
219 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO AFFECT
WASHINGTON...CLARKE...CHOCTAW AND WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 216 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 3 MILES WEST OF SOUWILPA TO 3 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF BATTLES...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
AQUILLA...BATTLES...SOUWILPA...BOLINGER...SILAS AND BARRYTOWN THROUGH
315 AM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
BRING DOWN DEAD OR DISEASED TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN
SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. LOCAL LOSS OF ELECTRICAL POWER MAY
RESULT FROM DOWNED POWER LINES. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN
OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...OR SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR
BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS STORMS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES LOCALLY IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF
PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED ROADWAYS.
THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.