River Flood Warning 32, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 290321
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
FLORIDA...
 
  MURDER CREEK AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. 
  PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK AFFECTING BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 
  STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR AFFECTING BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 
  TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY. 
  CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS AFFECTING COVINGTON...CRENSHAW AND ESCAMBIA 
  COUNTIES. 
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES. 
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...OKALOOSA AND SANTA
  ROSA COUNTIES. 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 
  YELLOW RIVER AT MILLIGAN AFFECTING COVINGTON...OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA 
  COUNTIES. 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO AFFECTING GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND AFFECTING MOBILE COUNTY. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM AFFECTING DALLAS...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

ALC003-FLC033-300058-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090330T0058Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.090328T1131Z.090329T0600Z.090329T1858Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING 
* AT 06PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

ALC097-300320-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SARA1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.090328T2130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 4.1 FEET BY .
AT 6.0 FEET, FLOODING OF RESIDENCES IN THE AREA WILL OCCUR.  

$$

ALC003-291855-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-090329T1855Z/
/FSHA1.2.ER.090328T1212Z.090328T2130Z.090329T1255Z.UU/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
AT 16.6 FEET, WATER ON LOWER FLOOR OF HOUSES ON HONEY ROAD.  

$$

ALC047-099-131-300320-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090401T1618Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.090327T1917Z.090330T0000Z.090401T1018Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING 
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 73.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 66.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 75.2 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.


$$

ALC039-041-053-300320-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.090330T0900Z-090331T1600Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.090330T0900Z.090330T1800Z.090331T1000Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 37.8 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC025-099-131-300320-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.2.ER.090328T0303Z.090331T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 45.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 48.0 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.


$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-300320-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-090331T1618Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.090328T1215Z.090329T1200Z.090331T1018Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING 
* AT 09PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.3 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

FLC091-300320-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-090402T0600Z/
/CRVF1.2.ER.090328T1745Z.090330T0600Z.090402T0000Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT 
* AT 09PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.6 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
AT 8.5 FEET, LOWLAND FLOODING IN THE AREA WILL DIMINISH AS THE RIVER DROPS BELOW
8 FEET.  

$$

ALC039-FLC091-113-300320-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-090331T2034Z/
/MLGF1.2.ER.090329T0115Z.090329T1800Z.090331T1434Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE YELLOW RIVER AT MILLIGAN
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 09PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
AT 12.0 FEET, EXTENSIVE OVERFLOW OF LOWLANDS WILL OCCUR AND A FEW RURAL ROADS IN
THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED.  

$$

MSC041-153-300320-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-090330T2300Z/
/WYNM6.1.ER.090329T0540Z.090329T1200Z.090330T1700Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 06PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.0 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 37.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
AT 35.0 FEET, WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLANDS WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-300320-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.090327T0802Z.090401T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.0 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
AT 26.0 FEET, FLOODING AT THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE BEGINS WHEN THE LEVEL RISES ABOVE 
26 FEET.  

$$

ALC003-FLC033-300310-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-090330T0310Z/
/BRPF1.1.ER.090328T1320Z.090329T0600Z.090329T2110Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING 
* AT 07PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.9 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
AT 17.5 FEET, WATER INTO FIRST FLOOR OF ADVENTURES UNLIMITED OFFICE BUILDING.  

$$

MSC111-300320-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0031.090331T2100Z-090402T1800Z/
/RNTM6.1.ER.090331T2100Z.090401T1200Z.090402T1200Z.UU/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET
AT 21.0 FEET, LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-300320-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090327T1320Z.090403T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 37.4 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.


$$

ALC023-025-129-300320-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090327T2130Z.090331T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.7 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THEN
  BEGIN FALLING.


$$

ALC039-053-FLC033-091-300320-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0028.090331T0359Z-090402T0900Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.090331T0359Z.090401T0000Z.090402T0300Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* FROM MONDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY WEDNESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

$$

ALC053-FLC033-300320-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0024.090329T0340Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.090329T0340Z.090331T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 09PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  18.7 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
AT 17.0 FEET, CONSIDERABLE FLOODING OF LOWLANDS WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-111-300320-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.090327T1820Z.090331T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THEN
  BEGIN FALLING.

$$

MSC039-041-059-300320-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.090328T1000Z.090331T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
AT 23.0 FEET, STREETS AND PORTIONS OF THE OLD BUSINESS SECTION OF MERRILL WILL 
BECOME FLOODED.  AT 24 FEET THE BRIDGE BECOMES INACESSIBLE BY AUTOMOBILE.  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC033-091-290351-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-090330T1030Z/
/BWMA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MURDER CREEK AT BREWTON
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 08PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET


$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 291455
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
955 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO AFFECTING GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

MSC041-153-291525-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-090330T2300Z/
/WYNM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO
* AT 7AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.5 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 33.5 FEET THROUGH EARLY MORNING MONDAY
  THEN BEGIN A SLOW FALL.
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
826 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

.UPDATE...SEVERE WEATHER THREAT BEGINNING TO DIMINISH OVER THE
WESTERN ZONES AS LINE OF PRE-FRONTAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CLEARED THESE AREAS WHILE ALSO SHOWING A WESTERLY
SURFACE WIND. HAVE CLEARED SE MISSISSIPPI ZONES AND PORTIONS OF SW
ALABAMA FROM WW#87. UPDATED ZONES AND WEATHER/POP GRIDS TO ACCOUNT
FOR RADAR TRENDS. /10

&&

.........................FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION........................

.SHORT TERM TODAY AND TONIGHT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS A.M. HAVE
HAD A HISTORY OF DEPOSITING LARGE HAIL. STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE
OF DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH IN BOWING LINE SEGMENTS/LEWPS.
DANGEROUS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE A
HAZARD IN THE NEAR TERM. STORMS WILL BE QUITE EFFICIENT IN HEAVY
RAINFALL PRODUCTION. DUE TO THE SATURATED SOILS AND AN ADDITIONAL 2
TO POSSIBLY 4 INCHES OF RAIN COMING DOWN WITH THIS MORNINGS
STORMS...THE LOCALIZED FLOODING THREAT WILL REMAIN HIGH. FLASH FLOOD
WATCHES WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING.

DEEP SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MID SOUTH THIS MORNING WILL
PIVOT NORTHWARD TODAY...LIFTING NORTH NORTHEAST EAST OF LAKE MICHIGAN
BY SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. AS THIS OCCURS A COLD FRONT MAKES STEADY
EASTWARD PROGRESS...WITH PASSAGE THROUGH THE HEART OF THE FORECAST
AREA MID DAY TODAY. GRIDDED WEATHER MAINTAINS A THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER SHIFTING ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES BETWEEN SUNRISE AND NOON...WITH
THREAT GOING DOWN WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE INTO THE WESTERN ZONES. A MORE
QUIET NIGHT COMING UP AND COOLER AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN TEXAS
STARTS TO NOSE IN ACROSS THE GULF COAST. /10

.LONG TERM SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WILL KEEP THIS BRIEF DUE TO
SHORT TERM CONCERNS. MEDIUM RANGE LOOKS ACTIVE. NEXT RAIN EVENT
SETTING UP TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY COULD BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
HEAVY RAIN AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN STATES. COLD FRONT SWINGING THROUGH THURSDAY BRINGS ANOTHER
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. MADE NO CHANGES TO EXTENDED
RANGE TEMPERATURES. /10

&&

.AVIATION 12Z ISSUANCE...LIFR/VLIFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING
WITH PASSAGE OF TSTMS AND +RA. HAIL POSSIBLE ALONG WITH STRONG
CONVECTIVE CROSSWINDS. CIGS BEGIN TO LIFT AND VSBYS IMPROVE AFT 18Z.
/10

&&

.MARINE...A MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES THE AREA.
THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MARINE AREA SATURDAY MID DAY...ENDING
THE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE WEST. A WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL
ENSUE IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY. A SOUTHERLY WIND
FLOW WILL RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE
AREA. TUESDAY...A FRONTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST OUT OF
THE NORTHERN GULF AND BRINGS A RETURN TO UNSETTLED WEATHER. /10

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRIER CONDITIONS SETTING UP FOR SUNDAY. BUT DUE TO
RECENT HEAVY RAINS...NOT EXPECTING ANY FIRE CONCERNS AS FUEL/SURFACE MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN HIGH. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      70  43  67  43 /  50  05  00  00
PENSACOLA   68  47  66  46 / 100  05  05  05
DESTIN      70  50  66  50 / 100  05  05  05
EVERGREEN   67  45  65  38 /  80  05  00  00
WAYNESBORO  68  41  62  36 /  20  05  00  00
CAMDEN      65  44  63  38 /  70  05  00  00

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...AND
     WILCOX.

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND WAYNE.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
     NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
430 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-291200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
430 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA. PLEASE SEE THE ACCOMPANYING GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK FOUND AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HWO/INDEX.PHP.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL REMAINS A THREAT THROUGH
EARLY TODAY...

...FLASH FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING HAVE HAD A HISTORY OF DEPOSITING LARGE
HAIL. STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. DANGEROUS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE A HAZARD IN THE NEAR TERM. STORMS WILL
BE QUITE EFFICIENT IN HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCTION AS WELL. DUE TO THE
SATURATED SOILS AND AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO POSSIBLY 4 INCHES OF RAIN
COMING DOWN WITH THIS MORNINGS STORMS...THE LOCALIZED FLOODING
THREAT WILL REMAIN HIGH. SOME ROADS WILL BE FOUND TO BE IMPASSABLE
OR WASHED OUT.

MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL MAINTAIN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. A CONTINUED HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
WILL ALSO PREVAIL ALONG AREA BEACHES.

WITH A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE BY MID DAY...THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER
WILL COME TO AN END. HOWEVER...AREA RIVERS WILL START TO SEE AN
INCREASE IN STAGE DUE TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

AREA RIVERS WILL SEE ELEVATED STAGES INTO THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK DUE
TO THE HEAVY RAINS THAT HAVE FALLEN.

THE NEXT THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
AS A FRONTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GULF
COAST. THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE BETTER
QUANTIFIED ON LATER PACKAGES. A COLD FRONT SWINGING THROUGH THURSDAY
BRINGS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD REMAIN ON
ALERT FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING TODAY.

PLEASE SEE THE ACCOMPANYING GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
FOUND AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HWO/INDEX.PHP.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
701 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LOXLEY                  30.62N 87.75W
03/28/2009                   BALDWIN            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF ROADWAYS IN BALDWIN COUNTY.

&&

CACERES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
709 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 AM     HAIL             EGLIN AFB               30.46N 86.55W
03/28/2009  E0.88 INCH       OKALOOSA           FL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            NICKEL SIZE REPORTED ON EGLIN AFB SOUTH OF DUKE FIELD
            ALONG HWY 85.

&&

CACERES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
943 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1005 PM     HAIL             ELSANOR                 30.55N 87.58W
03/27/2009  E1.75 INCH       BALDWIN            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

1227 AM     HAIL             ALLENTOWN               30.76N 87.04W
03/28/2009  E0.88 INCH       SANTA ROSA         FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT HWY 89 AND HWY 182
            NEAR ALLENTOWN.

1228 AM     TSTM WND GST     5 N MILTON              30.69N 87.03W
03/28/2009  M53.00 MPH       SANTA ROSA         FL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            NAVAL AIR STATION WHITING FIELD ASOS REPORTED A 53 MPH
            WIND GUST.

0135 AM     HAIL             MOLINO                  30.72N 87.33W
03/28/2009  E0.75 INCH       ESCAMBIA           FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HAIL REPORTED COVERING THE GROUND NEAR MOLINO. HAIL WAS
            REPORTED BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.50 INCH DEEP ON THE GROUND.

0135 AM     HAIL             MOLINO                  30.72N 87.33W
03/28/2009  E0.25 INCH       ESCAMBIA           FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 DIAMETER HAIL IN CENTRAL
            AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA COUNTY.

0138 AM     TSTM WND GST     5 N MILTON              30.69N 87.03W
03/28/2009  M58.00 MPH       SANTA ROSA         FL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            NAVAL AIR STATION WHITING FIELD ASOS REPORTED A 50 KNOT
            WIND GUST.

0138 AM     HAIL             CANTONMENT              30.61N 87.34W
03/28/2009  U0.25 INCH       ESCAMBIA           FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WEAR-TV REPORTED THAT UNKNOWN HAIL SIZE WAS REPORTED NEAR
            CANTONEMENT ALONG WITH SOME POWER OUTAGES.

0140 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LUCEDALE                30.92N 88.59W
03/28/2009                   GEORGE             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS THE COUNTY

0145 AM     HAIL             FLORALA                 31.00N 86.33W
03/28/2009  E0.88 INCH       COVINGTON          AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKEL HAIL ON HIGHWAY 331 IN FLORALA

0225 AM     HAIL             ALLENTOWN               30.76N 87.04W
03/28/2009  M1.75 INCH       SANTA ROSA         FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            GOLF HAIL REPORTED NEAR ALLENTOWN ON HWY 87.

0235 AM     HAIL             1 N MILTON              30.63N 87.03W
03/28/2009  E0.75 INCH       SANTA ROSA         FL   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED SOUTH OF WHITING FIELD AND NORTH
            OF MILTON.

0245 AM     HAIL             6 SSW MOBILE AIRPORT    30.60N 88.28W
03/28/2009  E0.88 INCH       MOBILE             AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED NICKEL SIZE HAIL AT DAWES AND
            MACFARLAND ROADS

0250 AM     HAIL             MOBILE AIRPORT          30.68N 88.24W
03/28/2009  E0.25 INCH       MOBILE             AL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            PEA SIZE HAIL AT MOBILE NWS OFFICE AND IN OFFICIAL ASOS
            OBS.

0250 AM     HAIL             3 WSW MOBILE AIRPORT    30.66N 88.29W
03/28/2009  E0.25 INCH       MOBILE             AL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY NWS EMPLOYEE NEAR AIRPORT AND
            SNOW ROADS.

0337 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MOLINO                  30.72N 87.33W
03/28/2009                   ESCAMBIA           FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ISOLATED FLOODING REPORTED IN THE CENTRAL PORTION OF
            ESCAMBIA COUNTY.

0348 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CITRONELLE              31.09N 88.24W
03/28/2009                   MOBILE             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS STREETS ARE FLOODED IN CITRONELLE.

0348 AM     FLASH FLOOD      10 E MOBILE AIRPORT     30.68N 88.07W
03/28/2009                   MOBILE             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS STREETS REPORTED FLOODED IN THE CITY OF MOBILE.

0425 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E GRAND BAY           30.48N 88.29W
03/28/2009                   MOBILE             AL   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED FLOODING ALONG I-10 NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI
            AND ALABAMA STATE LINE.

0434 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BERRYDALE               30.90N 87.02W
03/28/2009                   SANTA ROSA         FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES...POLES AND TREES DOWN NEAR HWY 87 AND HWY 4
            NEAR BERRYDALE.

0520 AM     TSTM WND DMG     RED OAK                 31.14N 86.46W
03/28/2009                   COVINGTON          AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN IN RED OAK

0520 AM     TSTM WND DMG     FLORALA                 31.00N 86.33W
03/28/2009                   COVINGTON          AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN IN FLORALA.

0520 AM     HAIL             RED OAK                 31.14N 86.46W
03/28/2009  M2.75 INCH       COVINGTON          AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BASEBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN RED OAK.

0529 AM     TSTM WND DMG     FLORALA                 31.00N 86.33W
03/28/2009                   COVINGTON          AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE FELL ON A TRAILER IN FLORALA.

0545 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LOXLEY                  30.62N 87.75W
03/28/2009                   BALDWIN            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF ROADWAYS IN BALDWIN COUNTY.

0642 AM     HAIL             EGLIN AFB               30.46N 86.55W
03/28/2009  E0.88 INCH       OKALOOSA           FL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            NICKEL SIZE REPORTED ON EGLIN AFB SOUTH OF DUKE FIELD
            ALONG HWY 85.

&&

CULLEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1006 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1004 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ESCAMBIA FARMS          30.96N 86.64W
03/28/2009                   OKALOOSA           FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS WATER AND VEHICLE RESCUES ONGOING ACROSS THE
            NORTHERN PORTION OF OKALOOSA COUNTY

&&

CULLEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1052 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

ALZ060-281630-
COVINGTON-
1052 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT COVINGTON COUNTY...

AT 1047 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREEN BAY...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
GREEN BAY...ONYCHA...BABBIE AND OPP THROUGH 1130 AM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHWEST FLORIDA.