Flash Flood Warning 174, NWS Memphis, TN

000 
WGUS74 KMEG 161234
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
733 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

ARC123-161243-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FF.W.0174.000000T0000Z-090916T1415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ST. FRANCIS AR-
733 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ST. FRANCIS
COUNTY...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS 
THE WARNED AREA. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 
MOTORISTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION DUE TO RUNOFF FROM 
EARLIER HEAVY RAIN.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3561 9103 3546 9029 3544 9028 3544 9016
      3538 9016 3542 9010 3532 9010 3529 9017
      3523 9007 3513 9010 3513 9016 3507 9017
      3504 9021 3505 9029 3499 9031 3504 9039
      3514 9040 3515 9104

$$

ARC035-037-111-161415-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.W.0174.000000T0000Z-090916T1415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CROSS AR-CRITTENDEN AR-POINSETT AR-
733 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN POINSETT...CRITTENDEN AND CROSS COUNTIES...

AT 733 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS
OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 2 HOURS.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
INCLUDE WALDENBURG...VANNDALE...SUNSET...JERICHO...HICKORY RIDGE...
GILMORE...FAIR OAKS...CRAWFORDSVILLE AND CHERRY VALLEY. THIS WARNING
ALSO INCLUDES BRANDYWINE LAKE AND WAPANOCCA LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE
USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS
POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING
FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3561 9103 3546 9029 3544 9028 3544 9016
      3538 9016 3542 9010 3532 9010 3529 9017
      3523 9007 3513 9010 3513 9016 3507 9017
      3504 9021 3505 9029 3499 9031 3504 9039
      3514 9040 3515 9104

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
248 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVEL LOW WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND CONTINUES TO PUMP MOISTURE INTO THE FORECAST AREA. A
LARGE BAND OF RAIN EXTENDS ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE FORECAST AREA
THIS MORNING WITH SOME AREAS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI PICKING UP ABOUT 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST 3
HOURS. WITH THE UPPER LOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE ARK-LA-TEX
REGION FOR 36 HOURS OR SO THERE WILL BE RAIN OVER MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA. HAVE DECIDED TO EXTEND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
THROUGH TONIGHT AND HAVE IT EXPIRE AT 7 AM THURSDAY MORNING. BY
THURSDAY NIGHT...THE UPPER LOW WILL TRACK MORE OF A EASTERLY TRACK
AND MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THIS MAY KEEP THE HEAVIEST
RAIN AWAY FROM EXTREME NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SO
DO NOT WANT TO EXTEND FLASH FLOOD WATCH PAST THURSDAY MORNING FOR
NOW. BY FRIDAY...THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO LIFT OUT OF THE REGION
AND WEAKEN SO THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN THE CHANCE OF
RAIN BY THE WEEKEND BUT THERE WILL STILL BE A CHANCE OF RAIN. A
COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AND
BEGINS TO APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY AND MOVES INTO THE
FORECAST AREA ON TUESDAY. AS A RESULT...WET WEATHER WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 7
DAYS.

&&

AVIATION...
06Z TAF SET

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS THROUGH
09Z...SO KEPT VCTS AT KTUP AND KJBR. NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDER
WILL BE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER STORMS WILL BE ISOLATED
ENOUGH TO KEEP A CB LAYER IN THE TAFS. CEILINGS WILL BE PREDOMINATE
MVFR...WITH OCCASIONAL IFR DURING HEAVIER SHOWERS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS AFTER 11Z. SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT THAT CEILINGS
WILL BECOME VFR BRIEFLY AGAIN BETWEEN 20-24Z AT ALL SITES. WINDS
WILL REMAIN EAST AT 7-12 KTS...SHIFTING MORE NORTHEAST LATE IN THE
TAF PERIOD AT KMEM...KMKL...AND KJBR.

JAB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  79  69  80  68 /  90  70  70  50
MKL  78  66  80  65 /  80  70  70  50
JBR  78  66  79  64 /  80  60  60  40
TUP  79  69  82  68 /  80  60  70  60

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
     HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
     OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-171030-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
330 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MIDSOUTH. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE WATCH AREA
WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES. SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THESE AREAS WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

SOME STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN BRIEF GUSTY WINDS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MID SOUTH THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. LATER FORECASTS MAY NEED TO EXTEND THE WATCH
PAST THURSDAY MORNING. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CONCERNING THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...AND LAW ENFORCEMENT
OFFICIALS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING THIS WEEK TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MEMPHIS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
446 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 E DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS    35.13N 89.96W
09/16/2009                   SHELBY             TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL STREETS WERE FLOODED IN THE MIDTOWN SECTION OF
            MEMPHIS.

&&

ARS