Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2009

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 249, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 15, 2009Pecos County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2009, 5:12 PM CDT for Pecos County, Texas. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2009, 5:12 PM CDT (22:12 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2009, 5:56 PM CDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Pecos County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 29 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -413 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2267 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 74 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 83 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KMAF 152212
SVRMAF
TXC371-152315-
/O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0249.090615T2212Z-090615T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
512 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 509 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
  OF PRODUCING BASEBALL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 24 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GIRVIN...
  OR 9 MILES EAST OF FORT STOCKTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
  BAKERSFIELD...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE WARNED AREA INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 268 AND
301.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH... PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS... DESTRUCTIVE HAIL... AND DEADLY
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING BASEBALL SIZE HAIL JUST TO THE 
EAST OF FORT STOCKTON ALONG INTERSTATE 10. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF 
THIS STORM... TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 10274 3102 10273 3108 10238 3104 10228
      3105 10223 3104 10220 3065 10220
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 269DEG 24KT 3089 10272

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS54 KMAF 152256
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
556 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

TXC371-152306-
/O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0249.000000T0000Z-090615T2315Z/
PECOS TX-
556 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

AT 556 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAD WEAKENED.
THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3079 10274 3102 10273 3108 10238 3104 10228
      3105 10223 3104 10220 3065 10220
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 266DEG 21KT 3083 10250

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 2:31 PM CDT, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 2:31 PM CDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
231 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

.DISCUSSION...
VIS SATELLITE SHOWS CONVECTION TAKING ITS TIME TO GET STARTED
TODAY AND A LOOK AT THE FORECAST SOUNDING SHOWS WHY...WARM AIR
BETWEEN 700-600MB KEEPING A LID ON THINGS. ALSO NOT HELPING IS THE
LACK OF A WELL DEFINED DRYLINE OR TROUGH TO AID IN SURFACE
CONVERGENCE. THEREFORE CONVECTION IS INITIATING IN ITS FAVORED
LOCATION OF THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS BUT MORE WILL PROBABLY GET STARTED
LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND LOWER
TRANSPECOS WHERE HIGH DEWPOINTS AND WEAK CONVERGENCE FINALLY
OVERCOME THE CAP. THERE WILL BE LESS COVERAGE TODAY THAN YESTERDAY
AND INSTABILITY/SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR ONLY A FEW STORMS TO GO
SEVERE.

TOMORROW WILL BE QUITE A BIT LIKE TODAY EXCEPT THE MID LEVEL WARM
LAYER WILL BE DEEPER CAUSING CONVECTION TO BE FOCUSED MAINLY IN
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS THE WESTERN CWA...NOT ENOUGH LOW
LEVEL FORCING IN THE EAST TO SEE STORM DEVELOPMENT THOUGH A FEW
COULD PROPAGATE INTO THE AREA.

AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH STRENGTHENS OVER EAST TEXAS INCREASING DEEP
LAYER SOUTHERLY FLOW. THIS WILL ADVECT MORE MOISTURE INTO THE AREA
AND SHOULD KEEP TEMPS FOR THE MOST PART BELOW THE TRIPLE DIGIT
HEAT SEEN RECENTLY. THIS IS MORE LIKE THE TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN
WHERE SUBSIDENCE WILL INHIBIT THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EAST AND FAVOR
AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION OUT WEST. FOR NOW WILL LEAVE POPS
10 TO 20 PERCENT OUT WEST FOR FEAR OVER OVERSPREADING RAIN CHANCES.

HENNIG

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
BREEZY CONDITIONS IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS
WILL EASE UP TONIGHT. NOT EXPECTING THE WINDS TO INCREASE AS MUCH
TOMORROW SO WILL NOT ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH. MAIN CONCERN
BEYOND TODAY WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHTNING STARTS AND
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS CAUSING ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. OTHERWISE
FORECAST HUMIDITIES 15 TO 25 PERCENT AND WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WILL
BE SHORT OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              73  99  74  96  /  30  10  10   0
CARLSBAD NM                67 101  67  94  /   0  20  20  10
DRYDEN TX                  73 100  73  93  /  30  10  10   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           73 102  72  96  /  20  20  20  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          64 100  65  97  /   0  20  20  20
HOBBS NM                   65 103  70  95  /  10  10  10  10
MARFA TX                   61  94  62  89  /  10  30  30  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    72 100  71  96  /  20  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                  72 101  73  96  /  20  10  10  10
WINK TX                    71 107  74 101  /  20  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST
     PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

10

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 2:29 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
229 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-161200-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
229 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009 /129 PM MDT MON JUN 15 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING. SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH
ALONG WITH CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL CREATE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MAINLY
WEST TEXAS THIS EVENING. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND OR DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY WEST OF THE
PECOS RIVER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A FEW STORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 3:16 PM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
316 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

TXZ058-075-152100-
PECOS-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
316 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN REEVES AND WEST
CENTRAL PECOS COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN REEVES
COUNTY AT 316 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN REEVES AND WEST CENTRAL PECOS COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN
ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

GUSTY WINDS... SMALL HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

SEEK SHELTER IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION.

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:31 PM CDT, 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
431 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0413 PM     HAIL             10 W FORT STOCKTON      30.89N 103.05W
06/15/2009  E1.75 INCH       PECOS              TX   PUBLIC

&&

SCHULDT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:43 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
443 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0441 PM     HAIL             FORT STOCKTON           30.89N 102.89W
06/15/2009  E1.00 INCH       PECOS              TX   STORM CHASER

            HAIL RANGED IN SIZE FROM NICKEL TO QUARTER.

&&

SCHULDT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:57 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
457 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     HAIL             2 W FORT STOCKTON       30.89N 102.92W
06/15/2009  E1.00 INCH       PECOS              TX   PUBLIC

            HAIL RANGED IN SIZE FROM NICKEL TO QUARTER.

&&

SCHULDT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 5:02 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
502 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HAIL             FORT STOCKTON           30.89N 102.89W
06/15/2009  E1.75 INCH       PECOS              TX   PUBLIC

            HEAVY AND PERSISTENT GULF BALL HAIL WAS FALLING IN FORT
            STOCKTON.

&&

SCHULDT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 5:07 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
507 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0504 PM     HAIL             3 E FORT STOCKTON       30.89N 102.84W
06/15/2009  E2.75 INCH       PECOS              TX   PUBLIC

            HAIL RANGED IN SIZE FROM GOLF BALL TO BASEBALL.

&&

SCHULDT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 14, 7:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	59 min
Jun 14, 8:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	63 min
Jun 14, 8:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Jeff Davis, Pecos	58 min
Jun 14, 8:58 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Pecos	3 hr
Jun 14, 9:21 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Brewster, Pecos	24 min
Jun 14, 9:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Upton	53 min
Jun 14, 10:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	50 min
Jun 15, 4:21 AM CDT	Red Flag Warning	MAF		16 hr
Jun 15, 3:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Reeves	66 min
Jun 15, 4:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	52 min
Jun 15, 4:53 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Pecos	115 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2009 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.