Flash Flood Warning 46, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
322 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2009

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
COLD FRONT WAS DRAPED FROM POCAHONTAS TO CLINTON AND MENA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...AND WAS INTERACTING WITH AN MCV MOVING SLOWLY
ALONG THE FRONT IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS. AHEAD OF THE MCV...
THUNDERSTORMS WERE ERUPTING FROM MOUNTAIN VIEW TO CABOT AND
PINE BLUFF AT 3 PM CDT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
DEVELOPING THIS EVENING...MAINLY FROM CENTRAL INTO EASTERN
ARKANSAS. SOME SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH
LOCALLY OVER AN INCH OF RAIN.

THE FRONT WILL EXIT THE STATE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST ON
THURSDAY...WITH COOLER AND DRIER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT. THERE MAY
BE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...BUT ALL PRECIPITATION
SHOULD BE GONE BY AFTERNOON.

COOL/DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY BEFORE A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION FROM THE PLAINS. UNDER THE
RIDGE...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP ON SATURDAY.

ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH BY SUNDAY. THE FRONT
WILL HAVE SOME DIFFICULTY PENETRATING THROUGH THE RIDGE...AND THE
PERIOD WILL END ON A WARM/DRY NOTE.
&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
LONG TERM BEGINS WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA...AND A SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS. UPPER LEVEL ENERGY LOOKS TO
MOVE OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS ON SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT KEPT
FORECAST DRY FOR NOW. WILL MONITOR FUTURE MODEL RUNS TO GET A BETTER
FEEL FOR THIS SYSTEM. EARLY TUESDAY...ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOOKS TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN TEXAS...PUSHING MORE ENERGY INTO
ARKANSAS. ADDED SLIGHT CHANCES TO THE FORECAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS ENERGY. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...FALLING TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     84  60  73  54 /  50  50  20   0
CAMDEN AR         86  62  75  58 /  50  50  30   0
HARRISON AR       74  55  73  51 /  50  30  10   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    83  61  75  56 /  60  50  10   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  86  62  73  57 /  60  60  20   0
MONTICELLO AR     88  64  75  59 /  50  50  40   0
MOUNT IDA AR      81  60  76  55 /  60  40  10   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  75  56  75  51 /  50  30  10   0
NEWPORT AR        86  62  72  56 /  50  50  30   0
PINE BLUFF AR     88  64  73  58 /  60  60  40   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   80  59  76  55 /  60  40  10   0
SEARCY AR         85  61  72  56 /  60  50  30   0
STUTTGART AR      86  64  72  58 /  60  60  30   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...60

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
240 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2009

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-040945-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
240 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM FORT SMITH TO SEARCY TO
SOUTH OF JONESBORO. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE
SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE STATE.

CLEARING OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE
THIS MORNING. DAYTIME HEATING WAS HELPING TRIGGER STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SOME OF THE STORMS HAVE AND MAY CONTINUE TO BECOME SEVERE. DAMAGING
WINDS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL OR LARGER ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS.

THERE IS ALSO ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE...WHICH WILL MAKE
DEVELOPING STORMS MORE EFFICIENT RAINMAKERS. GIVEN A SLOW STORM
MOVEMENT...HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY LINGER IN SOME AREAS...AND THIS COULD
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY MORNING...BEFORE THE FRONT
EXITS THE REGION TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. DRY AND COOLER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. A WARMUP WILL OCCUR THIS WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER ARKANSAS. A COLD FRONT WILL TRY TO HEAD
TOWARD THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT WILL ENCOUNTER THE RIDGE AND
WILL SLOW DOWN.

ONLY SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...MAINLY IN NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE
NEAREST THE FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY IS NOT ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH SEVERE STORMS REMAINING ISOLATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

46/60

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
228 PM CDT WED JUN 03 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0222 PM     HAIL             CONWAY                  35.09N 92.45W
06/03/2009  E1.75 INCH       FAULKNER           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            GULF BALL SIZE HAIL IN SOUTHERN CONWAY NEAR HIGHWAY 365.

&&

224

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
230 PM CDT WED JUN 03 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 PM     HAIL             CONWAY                  35.09N 92.45W
06/03/2009  E0.25 INCH       FAULKNER           AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GULF BALL SIZE HAIL IN CONWAY. ESTIMATED WINDS 60-70MPH.

&&

224

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
236 PM CDT WED JUN 03 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0216 PM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN LITTLE ROCK    34.73N 92.23W
06/03/2009  E0.75 INCH       PULASKI            AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SUBSTANTIAL HAIL CORNER OF 36TH STREET.

&&

224

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
241 PM CDT WED JUN 03 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DOWNTOWN LITTLE ROCK    34.73N 92.23W
06/03/2009                   PULASKI            AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET FLOODING ON MARKHAM NEAR PARK PLAZA. WATER OVER
            CURB AND SIDEWALK.

&&

224

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
307 PM CDT WED JUN 03 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CONWAY                  35.09N 92.45W
06/03/2009                   FAULKNER           AR   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            THE CONWAY STREET DEPARTMENT REPORTED THAT STREETS WERE
            BEING BARRICADED IN DOWNTOWN CONWAY...INCLUDING OAK
            STREET BETWEEN COURT AND FRONT...PRAIRIE STREET BETWEEN
            THE RAILROAD TRACKS AND LOCUST...AND PARKWAY BETWEEN
            PRAIRIE AND OAK.

&&

28

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
428 PM CDT WED JUN 03 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CARLISLE                34.79N 91.75W
06/03/2009                   LONOKE             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE TREES DOWN. POWER OUTAGES.

&&

224