Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 021846 RRA
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
146 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

MOC103-021857-
/O.CAN.KLSX.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-090602T1915Z/
KNOX MO-
146 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KNOX COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3997 9162 3995 9177 3996 9194 4010 9196
      4020 9176 4020 9175
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 247DEG 8KT 4005 9188

$$

MOC111-021915-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-090602T1915Z/
LEWIS MO-
146 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT
FOR WESTERN LEWIS COUNTY...

AT 146 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR LEWISTOWN...OR 17 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EDINA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LA BELLE...LEWISTOWN...EWING AND MONTICELLO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN ST LOUIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3997 9162 3995 9177 3996 9194 4010 9196
      4020 9176 4020 9175
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 247DEG 8KT 4005 9188

$$

TES

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 021913
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
213 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

MOC111-021923-
/O.EXP.KLSX.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-090602T1915Z/
LEWIS MO-
213 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN LEWIS COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 215 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER
APPEARED TO BE SEVERE...HOWEVER SMALL HAIL IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH
THIS THUNDERSTORM.

IN ADDITION...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3997 9162 3995 9177 3996 9194 4010 9196
      4020 9176 4020 9175
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 247DEG 8KT 4007 9181

$$

TES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1247 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

.DISCUSSION...
/408 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009/
Q-STATIONARY FRONT OVER NORTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY BEFORE DROPPING SOUTHEAST TONIGHT.
UNCLEAR WHETHER THIS SOUTHERN PUSH WILL BE DUE TO CONVECTION OR
UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS AS THE LOW OVER SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO MOVES
THROUGH KANSAS TO THE MO/AR BORDER BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
REGARDLESS...ALL GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT THE FRONT WILL MOVE
VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE REGION.  THE LOW/MID LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE
MAY NOT CLEAR THE AREA UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.  THIS WILL GIVE IT
PLENTY OF TIME TO RAIN ACROSS THE AREA.  THINK RAIN WILL START OUT
THIS AFTERNOON AS SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AIRMASS THUNDERSTORMS.
GFS/NAM SOUNDINGS LOOK MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH 1500-2000J/KG OF
CAPE AND LITTLE OR NO CAP THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL PROBABLY BE THE
MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER...WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.  THINK STORMS WILL FORM UP
INTO AN MCS DURING THE EVENING WHICH WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST.
INSTABILITY DROPS OFF PRETTY QUICKLY DURING THE EVENING...AND THE
BULK 0-3KM AND 0-6KM SHEAR IS PRETTY PITIFUL...SO SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL LIKELY DROP OFF THROUGH THE EVENING AS WELL.  POTENTIAL
SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE MCS AND PWATS OF 1.5-2 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA
SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME HEAVY RAIN.  HPC HAS OUTLOOKED PARTS OF THE
AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING...SO WILL ISSUE A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI WHERE
POTENTIAL SEEMS HIGHEST.  HAVE KEPT RAIN IN THE FORECAST OUT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT.  GFS
CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME PRETTY HIGH QPF BULLSEYES OVER SOUTHERN
MISSOURI RELATED TO THE UPPER LEVEL LOW.  MY CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT
WELL CONTINUE TO SEE HEAVY RAIN THAT FAR BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH
IS WELL INTO ARKANSAS AND TENNESSEE BY THAT TIME...BUT THOUGH IT
BEST TO KEEP SOME POPS GOING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 1/2 OF THE CWFA TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE RAIN.

LITTLE CHANGE TO THE REST OF THE FORECAST BEYOND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT/THURSDAY.  ALL MODELS DRY US OUT FOR THE LAST HALF OF THE WEEK
WITH SEASONABLY COOLER AIR FILTERING IN BEHIND THE FRONT.  HAVE
PRETTY MUCH KEPT THE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY AS-IS.

CARNEY

&&

.AVIATION...
/1240 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009/

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...WITH A WEAKER CAP ON TAP FOR TODAY AND
CONTINUAL MIXING OF THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE ERRUPTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MO INTO SOUTHERN IL. ANTICIPATE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR SOUTH A
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE MO-IA BORDER. WILL MONITOR
THIS SITUATION CLOSELY AS TSRA HAS IMPACTED KTBN WITH 1 3/4 SM AND
40KT GUSTS. FOR THE EXTENDED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL QUICKLY SHIFT
SOUTHWARD IMPACTING KUIN AROUND 22Z...THRU KCOU BY 23Z...AND
LOOKING AT AN ARRIVAL TIME OF AROUND 3Z FOR KSUS- KSTL. WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE FRONT CIGS SHOULD FALL INTO THE MVFR RANGE WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF IFR CONDITIONS DURING THE LATE EVENING INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS FOR ALL TAF LOCALES. SHOWERY WEATHER SHOULD
DISSIPATE DURING THIS TIME FRAME WITH ALL WET WEATHER ANTICIPATED
OUT OF THE BI-STATE REGION AROUND 12Z ON WEDNESDAY. LOW MVFR CIGS
SHOULD LIFT FOR KUIN THRU THE MIDDAY HOURS...WITH KCOU-KSTL-KSUS
REMAINING SOCKED WITH MVFR CONDITIONS INTO THE AFTERNOON IN WAKE
OF THE FRONT.

SIPPRELL

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR KNOX-LEWIS-
     MARION-MONROE-SHELBY.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR AUDRAIN-BOONE-CALLAWAY-COLE-MONITEAU-RALLS.

IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
531 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-031045-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
531 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS. THE STORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AND OVERSPREAD THE
ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT DRIFTS SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
REGION. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN
AND CENTRAL MISSOURI.

MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING IS CONTINUING ALONG THE ILLINOIS
RIVER. PLEASE SEE THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
ENTIRE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
MISSOURI AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FROM SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY ACROSS NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS
RIVER. PLEASE SEE THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS SHOULD MONITOR
THE WEATHER CLOSELY TODAY AND THIS EVENING AND BE READY FOR
IMMEDIATE ACTIVATION SHOULD A WATCH BE ISSUED.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

CARNEY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1203 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

MOZ072-021745-
CRAWFORD MO-
1203 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY UNTIL 1245 PM
CDT...

AT 1202 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR STEELVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...CUBA...BOURBON...
LEASBURG...OAK HILL AND ST. CLOUD.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1249 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

MOZ059-062-021830-
FRANKLIN MO-GASCONADE MO-
1249 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GASCONADE AND NORTHWESTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM CDT...

AT 1249 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF ROSEBUD...OR 7 MILES EAST OF
OWENSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...NEW HAVEN...
ROSEBUD...GERALD...BEAUFORT...LESLIE...NOSER MILL AND LYON.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1251 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

MOZ073-084-099-021830-
IRON MO-REYNOLDS MO-WASHINGTON MO-
1251 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN WASHINGTON...IRON AND
NORTHERN REYNOLDS COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM CDT...

AT 1251 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OATES...OR 21 MILES WEST
OF IRONTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...IRONTON...BIXBY...
VIBURNUM...GLOVER...BELLEVIEW...PILOT KNOB...ARCADIA...BLACK...
LESTERVILLE...HOGAN...GRANITE AND BELGRADE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.