Flash Flood Warning 37, NWS JSJ

000 
WGCA72 TJSJ 051448
FFSSJU

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1048 AM AST SAT SEP 5 2009

PRC021-029-031-033-061-087-127-135-137-139-051457-
/O.CAN.TJSJ.FF.W.0037.000000T0000Z-090905T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-TOA ALTA PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-GUAYNABO PR-CANOVANAS PR-
CAROLINA PR-CATANO PR-SAN JUAN PR-LOIZA PR-TOA BAJA PR-
1048 AM AST SAT SEP 5 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR TOA BAJA...LOIZA...
SAN JUAN...CATANO...CAROLINA...CANOVANAS...GUAYNABO...TRUJILLO
ALTO...TOA ALTA AND BAYAMON MUNICIPALITIES...

THESE WARNING WILL BE REPLACED BY RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS SPECIFIC TO 
MAJOR RIVERS.

LAT...LON 1823 6580 1829 6584 1843 6582 1836 6549
      1817 6569

$$

PRC037-053-089-103-119-051515-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.W.0037.000000T0000Z-090905T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUQUILLO PR-NAGUABO PR-CEIBA PR-FAJARDO PR-RIO GRANDE PR-
1048 AM AST SAT SEP 5 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 AM AST FOR RIO
GRANDE...FAJARDO...CEIBA...NAGUABO AND LUQUILLO MUNICIPALITIES...

AT 1047 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER NORTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO.

LAT...LON 1823 6580 1829 6584 1843 6582 1836 6549
      1817 6569

$$

RA

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN

000 
WGCA52 TJSJ 051450
FFWSJU
PRC037-053-089-103-119-051815-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.W.0037.000000T0000Z-090905T1815Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1050 AM AST SAT SEP 5 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

  IN PUERTO RICO
     LUQUILLO
     NAGUABO
     CEIBA
     FAJARDO
     RIO GRANDE

* UNTIL 215 PM AST

* AT 1049 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED CONTINUED HEAVY RAINFALL 
OVER NORTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO. SEVERAL RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE NEAR 
OR OVER FLOOD STAGE...AND URBAN AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE 
RAPID FLOODING UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.


LAT...LON 1823 6580 1829 6584 1843 6582 1836 6549
      1817 6569

$$



ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN

000 
WGCA72 TJSJ 051736
FFSSJU

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
136 PM AST SAT SEP 5 2009

PRC037-053-089-103-119-051746-
/O.CAN.TJSJ.FF.W.0037.000000T0000Z-090905T1815Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUQUILLO PR-NAGUABO PR-CEIBA PR-FAJARDO PR-RIO GRANDE PR-
136 PM AST SAT SEP 5 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR RIO GRANDE...
FAJARDO...CEIBA...NAGUABO AND LUQUILLO MUNICIPALITIES...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT THE HEAVY RAIN WHICH IS AFFECTING 
THIS AREA IS CONTINUING TO DISSIPATE. NO SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL 
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA WITHIN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  
BE ADVISED HOWEVER...THAT RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL 
HOURS AND PONDING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS THEREFORE STILL POSSIBLE.  
PLEASE DRIVE SAFELY IF YOU ARE ON THE ROADS THIS AFTERNOON.

LAT...LON 1823 6580 1829 6584 1843 6582 1836 6549
      1817 6569

$$

RA

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
509 AM AST SAT SEP 5 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
THE AXIS OF THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH
THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA WAS NOW LOCATED BETWEEN WESTERN PUERTO RICO
AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FEATURE IS
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AREAS OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE NORTH AND
EAST OF THE AXIS...WHICH WERE NOW AFFECTING PARTS OF THE EAST AND
SOUTH COASTAL SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...AS WELL AS THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
MOVE WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION THROUGH THE LATE
EVENING HOURS AFFECTING THE LOCAL ISLANDS DURING THE DAY. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS HIGH PRESSURE IS SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
CARIBBEAN...WITH AN UPPER TROUGH SINKING SOUTHWARD BETWEEN PUERTO
RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THIS IS CREATING AN UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT
PATTERN ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION. AT 500 MILLIBARS...AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE NOW CENTERED ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN WILL
LINGER ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING AND LIFTING
NORTHWEST OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FREQUENT BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OFFSHORE AND MOVE INLAND AND AFFECT THE
EAST AND SOUTH COASTAL AREAS OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY SAINT CROIX...DURING THE REST OF THE
MORNING HOURS. COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE ACCOMPANYING THE SURFACE
TROUGH AIDED BY VERY UNSTABLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL ATMOSPHERE WILL
CREATE VERY UNSTABLE AND ACTIVE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND PARTS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE REST OF THE DAY.
THIS OVERALL SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING
HOURS. SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD THEN TAPER OFF BEFORE REDEVELOPING
AND SPREADING NORTHWARDS ACROSS THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT ACTIVITY ACROSS
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TO DECREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH A GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED ACROSS ALL ISLANDS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST AND SOUTH COASTAL AREAS
OF PUERTO RICO...AS WELL AS VIEQUES AND THE ISLANDS OF SAINT CROIX.
DUE TO SATURATED SOILS AND LOOSE TERRAIN MUDSLIDES REMAIN POSSIBLE
AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...
A LARGE AREA CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN...WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND ALL LOCAL TAF SITES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
EXPECT AREAS OF SHRA AND TSRA TO DEVELOP EARLY IN THE MORNING
PRODUCING PERIODS OF MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS TIST...TISX
AND TJPS UNTIL AT LEAST BY 05/1600Z. THIS MOISTURE WILL PROPAGATE
SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD PRODUCING INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF MVFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REST OF THE LOCAL TAF SITES AFTER 04/1600Z.
PERIODS OF SHRA AND TSRA WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TJSJ 05/000Z SOUNDING INDICATED A LIGHT
SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW FROM THE SURFACE TO AROUND 10K FEET...BECOMING
FROM THE NORTHEAST BUT STILL LIGHTEST FROM 10-25K FEET AND THEN FROM
THE WEST AND STRONGER ALOFT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  89  78  92  78 /  50  30  40  30
STT  87  81  89  80 /  60  40  40  40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR EASTERN INTERIOR-
     NORTHEAST-PONCE AND VICINITY-SOUTHEAST-SOUTHWEST-VIEQUES.

VI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ST CROIX.

&&

72/09

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
700 AM AST SAT SEP 5 2009

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-061100-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
700 AM AST SAT SEP 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR OBSERVATIONS THIS MORNING CONTINUE
TO DEPICT A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS...ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN AND OVER THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS...REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA. THIS
LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE...IS EXPECTED TO ENHANCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN
AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA...
DURING THE REST OF THE MORNING HOURS AND ACROSS WESTERN...INTERIOR
AND NORTHERN PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DUE TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THESE SHOWERS...A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR VIEQUES...EASTERN AND SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
LINGERING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA...WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN WILL CONTINUE
INTO SUNDAY AND POSSIBLE ON MONDAY...WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING
POSSIBLE ON EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
REPORTS OF HEAVY RAIN AND/OR FLOODING ARE WELCOME.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-061100-
ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
700 AM AST SAT SEP 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR OBSERVATIONS THIS MORNING CONTINUE
TO DEPICT A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS...ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN AND OVER THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS...REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA. THIS LARGE
AREA OF MOISTURE...IS EXPECTED TO ENHANCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT...BUT ESPECIALLY ACROSS ST CROIX. DUE TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THESE SHOWERS...A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST CROIX THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
LINGERING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA...WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN WILL CONTINUE
INTO SUNDAY AND POSSIBLE ON MONDAY...WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING
POSSIBLE ON EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
REPORTS OF HEAVY RAIN AND/OR FLOODING ARE WELCOME.