Flash Flood Warning 59, NWS Jackson, KY

000 
WGUS73 KJKL 192141
FFSJKL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
541 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

KYC125-147-199-235-192330-
/O.CON.KJKL.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-090819T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PULASKI KY-LAUREL KY-WHITLEY KY-MCCREARY KY-
541 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN MCCREARY...NORTHWESTERN WHITLEY...SOUTHWESTERN LAUREL
AND SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTIES...

AT 539 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THE REMNANTS OF A THUNDERSTORM THAT PRODUCED VERY HEAVY 
RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ROCKCASTLE
SPRINGS...MOUNT VICTORY...DYKES AND BALDROCK

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3697 8460 3717 8430 3696 8416 3685 8450

$$

DUSTY

000 
WGUS73 KJKL 192325
FFSJKL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
725 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

KYC125-147-199-235-192335-
/O.EXP.KJKL.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-090819T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PULASKI KY-LAUREL KY-WHITLEY KY-MCCREARY KY-
725 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN
MCCREARY...NORTHWESTERN WHITLEY...SOUTHWESTERN LAUREL AND
SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTIES...

TO REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3697 8460 3717 8430 3696 8416 3685 8450

$$

DUSTY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
353 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

.SHORT TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...UPDATED

A MOISTURE PLUME OF HIGH PW AIR FROM THE GULF IN THE 1.7 INCH TO
NEAR 2 INCH RANGE IS IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON. A WEAK SHORTWAVE HAS
COMBINED WITH THIS MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND DAYTIME HEATING TO BRING
HEAVY DOWNPOURS ACROSS SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN CWA...GENERALLY SOUTH
OF THE HAL ROGERS PARKWAY. SPOTTERS HAVE REPORTED RAINFALL RATES AS
HIGH AS 1.5 INCHES IN LESS THAN ONE HALF OF AN HOUR WITH SOME OF THE
CELLS. AS THE CELLS MOVE NORTH THEY HAVE GENERALLY WEAKENED AS THEY
MOVE INTO LESS DEEP MOISTURE.

A 100 KT+ JET MOVING DOWN INTO THE PLAINS THROUGH EARLY THU WILL HELP
DEEPEN A TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND MS VALLEY. THIS TROUGH
WILL THEN GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND THE EASTERN
CONUS THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE DEEP MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IN PLACE UNTIL A COLD FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM
THE WEST ON FRIDAY MOVES ACROSS THE CWA. THIS FRONT SHOULD CLEAR THE
CWA BY LATE FRI AFTERNOON OR FRI EVENING...WITH SOME DRY SLOTTING
BETWEEN THE FRONT AND THE APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

WENT WITH HIGH POPS INITIALLY FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHEAST WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL
EXIST...THOUGH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND AND RATHER MINIMAL
FORCING WILL LIMIT COVERAGE. WITH THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
BEGINNING TO NEAR THE AREA CONTINUED WITH LIKELY POPS FOR THU AND
CONTINUED LIKELY POPS THROUGH THE EXPECTED FROPA ON FRIDAY. WITH
HIGH PW EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE AND SOME AREAS ALREADY HAVING
PICKED UP HEAVY RAIN IN THE SOUTH AN FFA WAS CONSIDERED. HOWEVER...
WITH COVERAGE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE
EVENING...LATER SHIFTS MAY CONSIDER AN FFA FOR THU OR PARTS OF THU
THROUGH FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH LAPSE RATES WILL BE RATHER MEAGER LATE THU
AND THU EVENING...0 TO 6 KM SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO RATHER GOOD...20 TO
30 OR 35 KT NW. GUSTY WINDS CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH STORMS DURING
THIS TIMEFRAME EITHER IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN.

OTHER THAN A WIDE RANGE IN MOS GUIDANCE TEMPS FOR THU...MOS GUIDANCE
WAS IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND MADE
FEW CHANGES. TRENDED TEMPS UP SLIGHTLY FOR THU...BUT STAYED CLOSER TO
PERSISTENCE.

.LONG TERM.../SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...UPDATED

EXTENDED FORECAST...GRIDS WERE IN VERY GOOD SHAPE. EASTERN CONUS
TROUGH GRADUALLY PULLS OUT OF AREA TO THE EAST. KEPT PREVIOUS SHIFTS
SLIGHT POPS IN THE FCST UNTIL TROUGH AXIS MAKES IT THROUGH THE AREA
LATE SUNDAY. MAIN CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED PACKAGE WAS TO TREND MAX
TEMPS DOWN A BIT...ESPECIALLY WITH HPC AND MOS GUIDANCE TRENDING THE
SAME DIRECTION.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST OVER PARTS OF THE SE CWA...AND HAVE
MAINLY AFFECTED SME AND LOZ. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...THOUGH FURTHER DESTABILIZATION SHOULD LEAD TO ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION EVEN IN THE NORTH THROUGH ABOUT 22Z. MVFR AND LOWER CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THE SHOWERS AND STORMS...THOUGH ENOUGH MIXING HAS
OCCURRED OR WILL OCCUR FOR VFR OUTSIDE OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS.
CONVECTION SHOULD WIND DOWN AROUND 22Z...WITH MUCH OF THE NIGHT
VFR. CLOUDS SHOULD CLEAR ENOUGH FOR SOME MVFR AND WORSE FOG WHERE
HEAVIER RAIN OCCURS TODAY IN THE 8Z TO 12Z TIMEFRAME. CONVECTION
SHOULD DEVELOP AGAIN ON THU BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...RAY
AVIATION...JP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
626 AM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-201100-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
626 AM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...SOME
OF WHICH MAY CONTAIN STRONG WINDS. THERE IS ALSO A CONTINUING THREAT
OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY OCCURRENCES OF FLOODING...
RAINFALL OF MORE THAN AN INCH IN AN HOUR...OR DAMAGING WINDS OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

HAL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
246 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0244 PM     HEAVY RAIN       LONDON                  37.13N 84.08W
08/19/2009  M0.00 INCH       LAUREL             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.5 INCH OF RAIN IN 20 MINUTES.

&&

DSTAMPER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
250 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LONDON                  37.13N 84.08W
08/19/2009                   LAUREL             KY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            DISPATCH REPORTED SIX TO EIGHT INCHES OF WATER FLOWING
            OVER THE ROAD AT THE INTERSECTION OF N MILL ST AND MCKEE
            STREET AND ALSO ON TOBACCO ROAD WITHIN THE CITY LIMITS OF
            LONDON.

&&

JP