Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
219 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2009

.SHORT TERM...SHORTWAVE TROUGH ENERGY STRETCHES OVER SC TO S/CTRL
GA AND OVER FL PANHANDLE. AN ASSOCIATED SFC FRONT IS NW OF OUR
AREA. BANDS OF CONVECTION HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG AND E OF UPPER
TROUGH AXIS. ISOLD SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED AND ONE STORM
ALREADY PRODUCED 50 DBZ ECHO UP TO 45 KFT. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL
LINGER OVER THE ERN U.S. THURSDAY THEN BEGIN TO LIFT N FRIDAY. SCT
TO NUMEROUS STORMS WILL CONTINUE THURS WITH UPR DISTURBANCES AGAIN
PROVIDING IMPETUS FOR ISOLD SVR ACTIVITY. GFS INDICATES A RIBBON
OF VORTICITY WILL BE LEFT BEHIND ALONG THE FL/GA BORDER AND WILL
KEEP 40-50% POPS FOR NE FL.

.LONG TERM...RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND
WITH LIGHT E TO SE FLOW. TEMPS WILL WARM INTO THE MID 90S INLAND
UNDER INCREASED SUBSIDENCE ALOFT. HEAT INDICES WILL SOAR INTO THE
100-105 RANGE ESPECIALLY SE GA AS UPR HIGH BUILDS OVER CAROLINAS.
MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL YIELD ONLY A SLGT CHANCE
FOR A SHOWER ACRS MOST OF AREA AND 30% OVER SRN TIER.

&&

.AVIATION...HAVE INCLUDED TEMPO FOR TSRA AT SSI AS STORMS ARE
CURRENTLY W OF TERMINAL. OTHER TAF SITES HAVE VCTS THIS AFTN AND
WILL AMEND WHEN TSRA APPEARS IMMINENT. MVFR VIS AT VQQ AFTER MID.

&&

.MARINE...NO HEADLINES. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER IN SCT
STORMS EACH AFTN AND EVENING. SOUTH WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SELY
THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  71  93  70  95 /  20  40  20  30
SSI  75  89  75  89 /  20  30  20  20
JAX  72  92  72  93 /  20  40  20  30
SGJ  74  90  74  90 /  20  40  20  20
GNV  71  91  71  93 /  20  50  20  50
OCF  71  91  71  93 /  20  60  20  50

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

WOLF/TRABERT/KEEGAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
353 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2009

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-061000-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-
INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
COASTAL CAMDEN-
353 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2009

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AT THE LOCAL BEACHES. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF
THE STORM ACTIVITY WILL PROMOTE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR
FLOODING CONCERNS. A FEW OF THE STORMS WILL BECOME STRONG WITH
EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. STORM MOTION WILL BE TOWARD
THE EAST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST EACH DAY WITH A
FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
AREA INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
450 PM EDT WED AUG 05 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     HAIL             4 NE BRUNSWICK          31.18N 81.41W
08/05/2009  E0.75 INCH       GLYNN              GA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC ALONG HARRY
            DRIGGERS BLVD.

&&

DEESE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
454 PM EDT WED AUG 05 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EVERETT                 31.39N 81.64W
08/05/2009                   GLYNN              GA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS ALL OF
            GLYNN COUNTY.

&&

DEESE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
457 PM EDT WED AUG 05 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ST. MARYS               30.71N 81.54W
08/05/2009                   CAMDEN             GA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS POWERLINES DOWN IN THE ST.
            MARYS AREA.

&&

DEESE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
500 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2009

FLZ040-052145-
MARION-
500 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2009

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN MARION
COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 545 PM
EDT...

AT 500 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER MARION COUNTY...OR 5 MILES EAST OF
JUNIPER SPRINGS...STATIONARY. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO
AFFECT AREAS AROUND THROUGH 545 PM EDT. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2922 8165 2907 8164 2907 8169 2922 8170
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 322DEG 2KT 2918 8166

ZIBURA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
508 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2009

GAZ135-052200-
APPLING-
508 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2009

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EXTREME NORTHERN
APPLING COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
VALID UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

AT 508 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER EXTREME NORTHERN APPLING
COUNTY...OR 6 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PLANT HATCH...WITH LITTLE
MOVEMENT. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS
THROUGH 600 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3192 8223 3190 8216 3183 8216 3184 8233
      3194 8231
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 000DEG 1KT 3190 8225

ZAPPE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
513 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2009

GAZ132-052200-
COFFEE-
513 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2009

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN COFFEE COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND
EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

AT 513 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF PRIDGEN...OR 13
MILES NORTH OF AMBROSE...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND PRIDGEN AND AMBROSE
THROUGH 600 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3178 8283 3175 8284 3153 8305 3160 8307
      3165 8302 3167 8300 3177 8301 3180 8297
      3179 8287 3180 8285
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 346DEG 8KT 3178 8304

ZAPPE