Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
926 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2009

.UPDATE...WATER VAPOR AND IR IMAGERY CONTS TO SHOW LARGE MCS OVER
MS AND AL MOVING SEWD RAPIDLY. CLOUD TOP TEMPS STILL COLD IN THIS
COMPLEX AROUND -70C. UNCERTAIN WHETHER SOME OF THIS STRONG ACTIVITY
WILL EVENTUALLY MAKE IT DOWN INTO OUR GA ZONES LATE TONIGHT BUT
BASED ON SOME OF THE GUIDANCE INDICATES MOST OF THIS SYSTEM WILL
BE MUCH WEAKER AS IT TRANSLATES SEWD. THERE ARE A FEW CELLS
MOVING TOWARD JEFF DAVIS COUNTY IN OUR NW ZONES. SOME OF THESE
CELLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT AREAS N OF A LINE FROM ABOUT DOUGLAS TO
JESUP OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS. IN ADDITION...W COAST SEA BREEZE AS
MOVED WELL INTO OUR GA ZONES WHICH MAY SERVE AS ADDITIONAL SUPPORT
FOR ISOLD CONVECTION THERE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. AVERAGING LAPS
ANALYSIS SHOWS CAPE OF ABOUT 3000J IN SE GA. INDEED...JAX 00Z
SOUNDING SHOWED SBCAPE OF 2800J. BASED ON THIS WILL CONTINUE WITH A
SMALL POP IN SE GA...BUT PROBABLY DROP POPS FOR REMAINDER OF NE FL
AS CU FIELD HAS ALL BUT DISSIPATED PER SATELLITE AND OBSERVATIONS.
LIKE EARLY THIS MORNING...PATCHY FOG EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS NE FL
WHERE SFC WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND ANY HIGH DEBRIS
CLOUDS WILL BE THINNER. REST OF FORECAST LOOKS GOOD.

PER PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOR SAT...WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH AND SOMEWHAT
WEAKER CAP SHOULD ALLOW ISOLATED TSTMS ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
HEAT OF THE AFTN. MAX TEMPS IN THE MID 90S EXPECTED MOST AREAS.

&&

.AVIATION...SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS NIGHTS...PREVAILING VFR FOR THE
TAFS EXCEPT FOR POSSIBLE FOG DEVELOPMENT MAINLY IN MVFR RANGE AT
KGNV AND KVQQ. WE HAVE VCTS FOR SSI THIS EVENING WHERE CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION IS WEAKER BUT CB ARE MENTIONED FOR REMAINING TAFS. FOR
SAT AFTERNOON...HAVE MENTIONED VCTS AT ALL TAFS FOR NOW.

&&

.MARINE...S WINDS AROUND 10-15 KT OBSERVED AT THIS TIME AND SEAS
OF 2-3 FT. EXPECT WINDS TO SHIFT TO SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAVE
PLACED A SMALL POP IN FOR OUR GA WATERS AS CONVECTION WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT THERE.

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

SHASHY/LETRO/KEEGAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
752 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2009

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-131050-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
752 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2009

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

...MINOR FLOODING ON THE SATILLA RIVER AT ATKINSON...

THE SATILLA RIVER NEAR ATKINSON IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD PRODUCTS FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING OVER
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST EACH DAY...MAINLY
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1221 AM EDT SAT JUN 13 2009

GAZ136-130500-
WAYNE-
1221 AM EDT SAT JUN 13 2009

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WAYNE COUNTY FOR
STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 100 AM
EDT...

AT 1221 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JESUP...MOVING EAST
AT 20 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
JESUP...GARDI AND MOUNT PLEASANT THROUGH 100 AM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE
HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR
DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND
MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3158 8169 3157 8169 3154 8165 3150 8164
      3147 8161 3140 8168 3140 8170 3152 8202
      3162 8193
TIME...MOT...LOC 0421Z 288DEG 17KT 3156 8193

ZAPPE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
102 AM EDT SAT JUN 13 2009

GAZ136-130545-
WAYNE-
102 AM EDT SAT JUN 13 2009

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN WAYNE
COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID
UNTIL 145 AM EDT...

AT 102 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER JESUP...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND JESUP...
DOCTORTOWN...GARDI AND MOUNT PLEASANT THROUGH 145 AM EDT. HAIL UP TO
ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR
DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND
MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. IF FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OCCURS
A WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3165 8179 3162 8176 3160 8171 3158 8169
      3157 8169 3154 8165 3150 8164 3148 8161
      3146 8161 3142 8164 3141 8170 3155 8203
      3170 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 0502Z 292DEG 17KT 3158 8190

ZAPPE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
112 AM EDT SAT JUN 13 2009

GAZ136-130600-
WAYNE-
112 AM EDT SAT JUN 13 2009

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN WAYNE
COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID
UNTIL 200 AM EDT...

AT 112 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY...11 MILES
EAST OF SURRENCY...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM
WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS THROUGH 200 AM EDT. HAIL
UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3176 8193 3175 8191 3174 8190 3173 8190
      3171 8188 3167 8184 3166 8184 3173 8207
      3178 8205 3179 8199 3179 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 0512Z 292DEG 17KT 3176 8201

ZAPPE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
116 AM EDT SAT JUN 13 2009

GAZ136-130545-
WAYNE-
116 AM EDT SAT JUN 13 2009

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN WAYNE
COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID
UNTIL 145 AM EDT...

AT 116 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF ODUM...OR 8 MILES
EAST OF SURRENCY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM
WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND ODUM THROUGH 145 AM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE
HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR
DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND
MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. IF FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OCCURS
A WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3166 8192 3161 8196 3167 8210 3172 8206
TIME...MOT...LOC 0516Z 289DEG 21KT 3169 8205

ZAPPE