Severe Thunderstorm Warning 210, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
836 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2009

.UPDATE...WILL NOT DO A ZONE UPDATE AT THIS TIME. SCATTERED SEVERE
STORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE CWA AND A LINE OF STORMS WAS
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. HIGH POPS ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST LOOK
GOOD. THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA MAY NOT GET ANY RAIN AT
ALL...BUT POP VALUES WERE SMALL...SO WILL MAINTAIN. TWEAKED THE
HOURLY VALUES TO ADJUST FOR AREAS WHERE RAIN COOLED THINGS QUICKLY.
OTHERWISE...THE FORECAST WAS ON TRACK.

&&

.AVIATION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT GLH/GWO/GTR. FREQUENT LIGHTING...WIND GUSTS TO 50KTS AND
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS. THE SEVERE
STORMS WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AND MAY IMPACT ALL SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       68  81  62  74 /  44  76  74  29
MERIDIAN      66  83  64  76 /  43  59  71  50
VICKSBURG     68  80  62  76 /  54  78  71  17
HATTIESBURG   67  86  67  78 /  14  40  57  53
NATCHEZ       69  81  65  76 /  23  75  71  27
GREENVILLE    65  75  57  72 /  80  90  54  13
GREENWOOD     65  77  58  72 /  75  88  65  20

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

7

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
305 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2009

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>042-032015-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
305 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING FOR THE AREA GENERALLY NORTH OF A RAYVILLE LOUISIANA TO
YAZOO CITY TO DE KALB MISSISSIPPI LINE. THE DELTA REGION WILL HAVE
THE GREATEST RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. THE RISK WILL
SHIFT EAST DURING THE EVENING. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL ALSO BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS TO BRING 2 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAINFALL TO THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...WHICH COULD
RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE PONDING OF WATER ISSUES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LAZ015-016-023-025-MSZ043>058-032015-
RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-TENSAS-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-
COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-
305 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
EVENING ALONG THE INTERSTATE TWENTY CORRIDOR.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN MIDDAY
SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THESE AREAS AS A STRONG
DISTURBANCE AND FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE REGION. THE MAIN RISK
WILL BE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...BUT TORNADOES WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE. LOCATIONS IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI WILL LIKELY HAVE
THE MAIN RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER SUNDAY DELAYED UNTIL AT LEAST LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAYBE NEEDED THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED SUNDAY
INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

LAZ024-026-MSZ059>066-072>074-032015-
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
305 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
AND EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT SUNDAY

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN MIDDAY SUNDAY
AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING ACROSS LOCATIONS IN EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA
AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI SOUTH GENERALLY ALONG THE HIGHWAY 84
CORRIDOR AS A STRONG DISTURBANCE AND FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE
REGION. THE MAIN RISK WILL BE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL...BUT TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. LOCATIONS IN SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI WILL LIKELY HAVE THE MAIN RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER DELAYED
UNTIL AT LEAST LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

22

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
853 PM CDT SAT MAY 02 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 PM     HAIL             SALLIS                  33.02N 89.76W
05/02/2009  E0.75 INCH       ATTALA             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN SALLIS.

&&

WESTER

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