Severe Thunderstorm Warning 85, NWS Lincoln, IL

000 
WWUS53 KILX 192028
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
328 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

ILC143-192036-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-090619T2100Z/
PEORIA IL-
328 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN PEORIA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT.
BE ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING.

LAT...LON 4069 8932 4085 8954 4086 8951 4093 8921
      4073 8907
TIME...MOT...LOC 2026Z 244DEG 29KT 4084 8941

$$

ILC179-203-192100-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-090619T2100Z/
TAZEWELL IL-WOODFORD IL-
328 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT
FOR WOODFORD AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN TAZEWELL COUNTIES...

AT 326 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
4 MILES NORTHWEST OF METAMORA...MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...LOW
POINT AND CAZENOVIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS

&&

LAT...LON 4069 8932 4085 8954 4086 8951 4093 8921
      4073 8907
TIME...MOT...LOC 2026Z 244DEG 29KT 4084 8941

$$

MILLER

000 
WWUS53 KILX 192051
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
351 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

ILC179-203-192100-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-090619T2100Z/
TAZEWELL IL-WOODFORD IL-
351 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WOODFORD AND EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN TAZEWELL COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 400 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER
APPEARED TO BE SEVERE.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 4069 8932 4085 8954 4086 8951 4093 8921
      4073 8907
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 244DEG 29KT 4093 8918

$$

MILLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
300 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 300 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
WILL KEEP THE HEAT INDEX GOING AS IS UNTIL 7 PM AS HEAT INDEX VALUES
ARE HOVERING AROUND THE 100 DEGREE MARK AND WILL CONTINUE FOR A FEW
MORE HOURS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON AS
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S HAVE
RESULTED IN ERODING THE CAPPING INVERSION CENTERED AT ABOUT 850 MB.
RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES FROM STORMS THIS MORNING HAVE BECOME ILL-DEFINED
AS OF LATE...HOWEVER SATELLITE IMAGERY STILL SHOWS AN ARC OF DEEPER
CUMULUS/CBS FROM GALESBURG TO SPRINGFIELD TO PARIS. THESE STORMS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE DOWNBURST WINDS AND POSSIBLY HAIL
THIS EVENING.

THE MORE CONCENTRATED SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE LATER THIS EVENING
AND TOWARD 06Z AS A WELL-DEFINED SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH EASTERN
KANSAS/NEBRASKA PUSHES TOWARD THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. UPSCALE GROWTH
IN THE STORMS BETWEEN DES MOINES AND KANSAS CITY IS LIKELY WITH THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER MODE LIKELY BEING A BOW ECHO WITH DAMAGING
WINDS. LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS WELL.

BY 06Z...THE MAIN COLD FRONT SHOULD BE JUST MOVING INTO GALESBURG...
HOWEVER THE THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER BY THEN SHOULD BE RACING INTO
INDIANA. SOME SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN WITH THE
MAIN FRONT...SO WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS GOING AFTER MIDNIGHT IN THE
NORTHWEST HALF. SOME LINGERING STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
SOUTHEAST SATURDAY MORNING.

THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL OUT JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA...AND
MODELS INDICATE THAT THE BOUNDARY WILL RETREAT NORTHWARD SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY. WILL INCLUDE SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THAT
TIMEFRAME...THEN THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN AND REDUCE POPS BELOW
MENTIONABLE VALUES.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
UPPER RIDGE WILL BE ANCHORED OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH THE MAIN JET EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES INTO CANADA NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES. HOT AND HUMID
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SURFACE FEATURES.
MOISTURE WILL BE RICH BUT MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE VERY
WARM WHICH WILL PROVIDE AN EXTENSIVE CAP OVER MUCH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT
ANYWHERE...BUT THE LOW CHANCE/LOW AERIAL COVERAGE PRECLUDES ANY
MENTION THIS FAR IN ADVANCE.

BY FRIDAY...THE ECMWF AND GFS ARE IN LOOSE AGREEMENT THAT AN UPPER
TROUGH WILL TOP THE RIDGE AND MOVE ACROSS CANADA AND EXTEND
SOUTHWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES. WILL PUT IN SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA IN THE VICINITY OF
THE ACCOMPANYING SURFACE FRONT.

04
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 1230 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

MAIN FORECAST ISSUE FOR THE TAFS WILL BE THE TIMING OF A SEVERE
SQUALL LINE...AS IT MOVES SOUTHHEAST FROM IOWA AND ACROSS THE
TERMINAL SITES THIS EVENING. USING THE 4KM WRF MODEL...ATTEMPED TO
PROVIDE A 3-HR WINDOW AT EACH SITE WHEN THIS IS MOST LIKELY...
BEGINNING AROUND 23Z AT KPIA AND ENDING AROUND 03Z AT KCMI.

BEFORE THIS ARRIVES...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DURING
THE AFTERNOON...WITH REGIONAL RADAR MOSAICS HINTING AT THIS FROM
NEAR KUIN SOUTHWEST INTO WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS JUST
NORTHEAST OF KCMI. MAINTAINED VCTS AT ALL SITES FOR MUCH OF THIS
PERIOD.

COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE TAF SITES LATE THIS
EVENING...WITH WINDS SWINGING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BY 12Z.

GEELHART
&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
ILZ049>057-061>063-066>068-071>073.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1141 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

ILZ028>031-037-038-201200-
MARSHALL-MCLEAN-PEORIA-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
1141 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. A SQUALL LINE
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
GREATEST THREAT. SOME LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES...HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 95 TO 100 DEGREES TODAY AHEAD OF
THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ILZ027-036-040-041-047-048-201200-
CASS-FULTON-KNOX-MASON-MENARD-SCHUYLER-
1141 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. A SQUALL LINE
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
GREATEST THREAT. SOME LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES...HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 95 TO 100 DEGREES TODAY AHEAD OF
THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SOME MINOR RENEWED RISES WILL OCCUR ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER...AND
THE RIVER WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE
SPOON RIVER AT LONDON MILLS WILL BE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BY 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON...
CONTINUING THROUGH THIS EVENING.

ILZ042>046-201200-
CHAMPAIGN-DE WITT-LOGAN-PIATT-VERMILION-
1141 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. A SQUALL LINE
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
GREATEST THREAT. SOME LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 95 TO 100 DEGREES TODAY AHEAD OF
THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

ILZ053-201200-
MACON-
1141 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. A SQUALL LINE
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
GREATEST THREAT. SOME LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES...HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

HEAT INDEX VALUES BE NEAR 100 DEGREES TODAY AHEAD OF THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

ILZ066>068-071>073-201200-
CLAY-CRAWFORD-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
1141 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. A SQUALL
LINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS FROM THE
NORTHWEST THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE GREATEST
THREAT. SOME LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING...AHEAD OF THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS FOR EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 70.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BY 7 PM THIS EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LINCOLN. THIS ADDRESS IS ALL IN LOWER CASE.

ILZ049>051-201200-
MORGAN-SANGAMON-SCOTT-
1141 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. A SQUALL LINE
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
GREATEST THREAT. SOME LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES...HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 95 TO 100 DEGREES TODAY AHEAD OF
THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE ILLINOIS RIVER WILL REMAIN IN FLOOD FROM HAVANA AND DOWNSTREAM
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

ILZ052-054>057-061>063-201200-
CHRISTIAN-CLARK-COLES-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-MOULTRIE-SHELBY-
1141 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. A SQUALL LINE
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
GREATEST THREAT. SOME LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES...HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR 100 DEGREES TODAY AHEAD OF THE
STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1009 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1008 AM     HAIL             PEORIA                  40.74N 89.61W
06/19/2009  E1.00 INCH       PEORIA             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED BY PEORIA CITY EMA

&&

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1121 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1013 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N PEORIA              40.76N 89.61W
06/19/2009                   PEORIA             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

GEELHART