Tornado Warning 7, NWS Wilmington, OH

000 
WWUS51 KILN 052303
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
703 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

INC137-052313-
/O.CAN.KILN.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-090405T2330Z/
RIPLEY IN-
703 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN RIPLEY COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS TORNADOES...WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3933 8526 3939 8527 3952 8503 3951 8503
      3951 8482 3936 8483
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 238DEG 32KT 3941 8515

$$

INC047-052330-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-090405T2330Z/
FRANKLIN IN-
703 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT FOR FRANKLIN
COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST INDIANA...

AT 703 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PEPPERTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BROOKVILLE.

IN ADDITION...METAMORA...CEDAR GROVE...MOUNDS STATE RECREATION
AREA...MOUNT CARMEL AND MIXERVILLE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3933 8526 3939 8527 3952 8503 3951 8503
      3951 8482 3936 8483
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 238DEG 32KT 3941 8515

$$

000 
WWUS51 KILN 052308
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
708 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

INC047-052318-
/O.CAN.KILN.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-090405T2330Z/
FRANKLIN IN-
708 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST INDIANA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
TORNADO WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS TORNADOES...WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT.

LAT...LON 3933 8526 3939 8527 3952 8503 3951 8503
      3951 8482 3936 8483
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 238DEG 32KT 3943 8510

$$

HAWBLITZEL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
431 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WILL TRACK EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL OHIO
LATE THIS EVENING...AND INTO NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA ON MONDAY. A
DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL SETTLE INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
SFC LOW CURRENTLY ANALYZED NEAR KMVN WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING
ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA TO NEAR KILN...AND COLD FRONT EXTENDING
ROUGHLY ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. WIDESPREAD PRECIP
HAS DEVELOPED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT...AND EXPECT THIS
ACTIVITY TO EXPAND INTO THE NORTHWEST THIRD OF THE CWA OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS TO NEAR I-70.

INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD IS LEADING TO INCREASING LOW
LEVEL SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION...FAVORABLE FOR SVR STORMS AS
CONVECTION DEVELOPS TO THE WEST. INSTBY CONTINUES TO BE THE
QUESTION OF THE DAY...AND IS CURRENTLY LIMITED BY SFC DEWPOINTS
ONLY IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOW 50S ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST QUARTER OF
THE CWA. HOWEVER...INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET WILL QUICKLY ADVECT
HIGHER 850 HPA DEWPOINTS INTO THE CWA THIS EVENING...AND THESE
SHOULD BE ABLE TO TRANSLATE DOWNWARD INTO SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 50S IF BL IS ABLE TO REMAIN WELL MIXED INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. STILL SEEING SEVERAL BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL
KY SO MIXING IN THE BL DOES APPEAR POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD YIELD BL
CAPE BETWEEN 500-1000 J/KG...WHICH COMBINED WITH THE STRONG LOW-
AND MID-LEVEL SHEAR...WOULD BE ADEQUATE FOR A FEW BOWING SEGMENTS
AND SUPERCELLS. 0-1 KM BULK SHEAR AND HELICITY WILL BE FAVORABLE
FOR WEAK TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY IF RUC FORECAST 0-3 KM CAPE OF
100-250 J/KG IS REALIZED. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SEVERE
THREAT THIS EVENING AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES. STRONG STORM THREAT
WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT...OR
JUST SOUTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A FEW STORMS
WILL EXPAND IN COVERAGE NORTH OF THE FRONT OVERNIGHT...WITH PRECIP
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF AN INCH POSSIBLE. FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH
THE CWA AROUND MIDNIGHT AS SFC LOW TRACKS INTO CENTRAL OHIO
OVERNIGHT...WITH JUST SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS EXPECTED LATE AS
STRONG CAA GETS UNDERWAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SFC LOW WILL BE OVER NORTHEAST OHIO AROUND 12Z MON AS IT TRACKS
EASTWARD. STRONG CAA THROUGH THE DAY WILL KEEP TEMPS NEAR STEADY
IN THE MID/UPPER 30S TO NEAR 40 THROUGH THE DAY. THIS PATTERN WILL
ALLOW FOR SOME WEAK LOW LEVEL INSTBY WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
SCATTERED RA/SN SHOWERS INTO THE AFTERNOON AS UPPER TROUGH SETTLES
INTO THE REGION. NOT A LOT OF FORCING...AND MODELS ACTUALLY
INDICATING NVA FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...SO NOT EXPECTING ANY
SIGNIFICANT SHOWER ACTIVITY...AND DO NOT ANTICIPATE MUCH IF ANY
SNOW ACCUMULATION.

STILL EXPECTING A HARD FREEZE MONDAY NIGHT AS TEMPS TO DROP INTO
THE MID AND UPPER 20S. DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES SINCE
THIS IS STILL 3RD PERIOD...BUT FREEZE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED ACROSS THE SOUTH WHERE THE FROST/FREEZE PROGRAM WAS MOVED
UP BY A WEEK DUE TO BLOOMING VEGETATION ACROSS THAT AREA.

MUCH BELOW AVG TEMPS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUES AND TUES NIGHT AS
UPPER LOW BEGINS TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION. MAY SEE A FEW
LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS INTO TUES BUT NOT EXPECTING ANY KIND OF ACCUM.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. MODELS ARE
INDICATING SOME ENERGY ALOFT DROPPING DOWN ACROSS THE AREA IN
NORTHWEST FLOW FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...MOISTURE LOOKS TO BE
RATHER LIMITED SO WILL JUST HAVE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. WILL HOWEVER NOT BE QUITE AS AGGRESSIVE AS
GUIDANCE TO WARM UP TEMPS THROUGH MID WEEK.

YET ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AND PUSH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY ON FRIDAY....BRINGING THE NEXT
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION. INSTABILITY AT THIS TIME LOOKS TO BE
GENERALLY ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN FA SO WILL ONLY INCLUDE A CHANCE OF
THUNDER THERE AND JUST KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTH.
DRIER WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES SHOULD RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND
AS MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS IN ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE EARLY IN THE FORECAST...
THOUGH STRONG CONVECTION WILL TEMPORARILY AFFECT TAF SITES WITH
MVFR STARTING AT 22Z. AFTER CONVECTION ENDS CEILINGS WILL DROP TO
PREVAILING MVFR AT ALL SITES. SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE LOWER
CEILINGS. KEPT VISIBILITIES VFR SINCE IT IS TOO EARLY TO PINPOINT
DECREASING VISIBILITIES DUE TO THE SCATTERED NATURE OF THE SHOWERS.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS
CLOSE TO 30 KNOTS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY AFTER 12Z.

OUTLOOK...WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WITH
-SHRA/-SHSN ARE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY. SNOW SHOWERS REMAIN POSSIBLE
WITH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HAWBLITZEL
NEAR TERM...HAWBLITZEL
SHORT TERM...HAWBLITZEL
LONG TERM...JGL
AVIATION...CONIGLIO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1255 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-064-065-074-061700-
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-
HOCKING-
1255 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY
OF OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

INZ050-058-059-OHZ060>062-070>072-061700-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-BUTLER-WARREN-
CLINTON-
1255 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL INDIANA...MIAMI
VALLEY OF OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS INTO CENTRAL OHIO. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

INZ066-061700-
FRANKLIN IN-
1255 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

...TORNADO WATCH 117 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS INTO CENTRAL OHIO. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

KYZ090>100-OHZ077>082-088-061700-
GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-
ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-
SCIOTO-
1255 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS INTO CENTRAL OHIO. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

MUCH COLDER WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
POTENTIAL EXITS FOR SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES TO OCCUR DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS OF MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SINCE SOME
CROPS HAVE ALREADY REACHED STAGES OF CRITICAL DEVELOPMENT ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER...THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS
SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION AS FREEZE WARNINGS
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089-061700-
RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-
1255 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

...TORNADO WATCH 117 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA AND
NORTHERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS INTO CENTRAL OHIO. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

MUCH COLDER WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
POTENTIAL EXITS FOR SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES TO OCCUR DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS OF MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SINCE SOME
CROPS HAVE ALREADY REACHED STAGES OF CRITICAL DEVELOPMENT ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER...THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS
SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION AS FREEZE WARNINGS
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OHZ063-073-061700-
FAYETTE OH-ROSS-
1255 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS INTO CENTRAL OHIO. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.