River Flood Warning 41, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
626 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009

.AVIATION...12Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
CONVECTION WILL MAINLY AFFECT KCNU FOR THE FIRST SEVERAL HOURS OF
THE FORECAST. AFTER SOME GUSTY WINDS THIS MORNING AT KRSL AND
KSLN...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
FOR TONIGHT. AM CONCERNED ABOUT FOG POTENTIAL GIVEN SO MUCH
RAINFALL THE PAST COUPLE DAYS...LATE CLEARING AND LIGHT WINDS
TONIGHT. FOR NOW HAVE PUT 3-4SM AT ALL TAF SITES...AND CAN REFINE
WITH LATER FORECASTS. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME DENSE FOG
AT AT LEAST ONE TAF SITE TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST CONCERN...RESIDUAL PRECIP/CONVECTION THIS MORNING AND
FLOODING AGGRAVATION.

ONGOING CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND
EAST OF I-135 THIS MORNING...WITH AREAS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE. FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CANCELED TO THE WEST OF THIS AREA
AND CONTINUED TO THE EAST UNTIL 18Z EXPIRATION. THE REMAINING
PORTION OF THE UPPER TROF WILL EJECT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TODAY...WITH SOME RENEWED CONVECTION POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTWARD
MIGRATORY SURFACE FRONT ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS. OTHERWISE SOME
CLEARING IS EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE CHILLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS.

A BRIEF RESPIT FROM THE RAIN AND THUNDER CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR
NOSE SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS. HOWEVER...MOISTURE WILL BEGIN
TO RETURN BY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER
UPPER TROF DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WEST. LITTLE CHANGE TO THE OUTER
PERIODS WITH FOCUS ON CURRENT AND SHORT TERM WEATHER.

DARMOFAL

AVIATION...06Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
AREAS OF IFR/MVFR CIGS/VSBYS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS CONVECTION. A GENERAL
IMPROVEMENT IN CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA BY LATE
MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...AS DRIER AIR ADVECTS ACROSS
THE AREA BEHIND A COLD FRONT. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BECOME
VFR ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS BY THE END OF THE FORECAST VALID
PERIOD...WITH MVFR CIGS LINGERING ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    59  42  68  55 /  60  10  10  30
HUTCHINSON      59  40  66  54 /  40  10  10  30
NEWTON          58  40  67  54 /  60  10  10  30
ELDORADO        59  42  68  54 /  80  10  10  20
WINFIELD-KWLD   62  43  69  55 /  70  10  10  20
RUSSELL         58  38  62  52 /  20   0  20  30
GREAT BEND      58  39  62  53 /  20   0  20  30
SALINA          58  39  67  53 /  40   0  10  30
MCPHERSON       58  40  66  54 /  40   0  10  30
COFFEYVILLE     71  45  70  56 /  70  30  10  20
CHANUTE         67  43  69  54 /  80  20  10  20
IOLA            66  43  68  53 /  80  20  10  20
PARSONS-KPPF    70  45  70  55 /  70  30  10  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR KSZ052-053-068>071-
083-092>095-098.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
400 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-280900-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
400 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. IN ADDITION...ONGOING
FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS AND ALONG RIVERS AND CREEKS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. PLEASE
REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH...AND AREAL OR RIVER FLOOD WARNING
PRODUCTS FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION.

A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON. DIME SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG OR SEVERE.
HOWEVER THE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE BY WEDNESDAY
AND INTO THURSDAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...THOUGH THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
450 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 AM     FLOOD            1 W MCCONNELL AIR FORCE 37.62N 97.29W
04/27/2009                   SEDGWICK           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGH WATER WITH ROADS BLOCKED OFF AROUND 47TH STREET
            SOUTH AND OLIVER, AND MOUNT VERNON AND HYDRAULIC.

&&

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
453 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 N CONWAY SPRINGS      37.45N 97.64W
04/27/2009                   SUMNER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            K 49 WAS BARRICADED DUE TO HIGH WATER FLOWING OVER THE
            HIGHWAY.

&&

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
633 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SW PARK CITY          37.78N 97.35W
04/27/2009  M4.02 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   PUBLIC

            TOTAL PRECIPITATION SINCE MIDNIGHT SUNDAY.

0530 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S BENTON              37.77N 97.11W
04/27/2009  M6.20 INCH       BUTLER             KS   PUBLIC

            TOTAL RAINFALL SINCE MIDNIGHT SUNDAY.

&&

SCHRECK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
647 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WEST WICHITA            37.69N 97.46W
04/27/2009  M5.31 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

LFW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
656 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 AM     HEAVY RAIN       CONWAY SPRINGS          37.39N 97.64W
04/27/2009  M4.34 INCH       SUMNER             KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

SCHRECK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
930 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0928 AM     HEAVY RAIN       10 N BENTON             37.93N 97.11W
04/27/2009  M6.30 INCH       BUTLER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED STORM-TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

ADK