Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
328 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING DRYLINE AND COLD FRONT. THIS
ACTIVITY IS IN RESPONSE TO A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
TRANSITING ACROSS THE RED RIVER TODAY AND TOMORROW. AT 3PM DRYLINE
WAS APPROACHING OUR WESTERN COUNTIES AND WILL RAPIDLY MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE REGION. SKIES WILL CLEAR RAPIDLY BEHIND THE DRYLINE AND
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL LATER TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA. LOW TEMPS TONIGHT STILL LOOK TO DROP INTO THE 40S
WITH UPPER 30S IN OUR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES. WINDS TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW WILL BE BRISK BUT AT THE MOMENT APPEAR TO REMAIN BELOW
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA.

AFTER TODAYS ACTIVE WEATHER THE REST OF THE WEEK LOOKS RELATIVELY
BENIGN. RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP AGAIN LATE SUNDAY AND TEMPERATURES
WILL MODERATE AS MOISTURE LEVELS INCREASE. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS
ARE ADVERTISING ANOTHER MOVING ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. IT
LOOKS LIKE THERE MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SOME
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FRONT BUT WILL LEAVE THE CURRENT 20 POPS
IN PLACE FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL A PLEASANT FEW DAYS IN STORE AFTER
TODAYS UNSETTLED WEATHER. 38

&&

.MARINE...
AS PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED...STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS MARINE
WATERS THIS EVENING WITH VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND BOUNDARY.
WAVE HEIGHTS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE ESPECIALLY FOR THE OFFSHORE
WATERS LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH REST OF NIGHT. SCA FOR MARINE
WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WITH WINDS GRADUALLY WEAKENING LATE
SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER REGION. WEAK ONSHORE FLOW
WILL BE EVIDENT LATE IN THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTING EAST
OF REGION. ONSHORE FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN EARLY NEXT WEEK IN RESPONSE
TO FALLING PRESSURES OVER THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS. 37

&&

.AVIATION...
STRONG STORMS CONTINUING TO DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
CWFA. WILL CONTINUE WITH TEMPO FOR CXO/UTS AND CLL WITH TSGR
FOR REST OF AFTERNOON. WEAKER CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS. WINDS SHOULD BECOME MORE WESTERLY IN DIRECTION
PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE. FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH CLL LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND APPROACH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF CWFA INCLUDING IAH BY
MID EVENING. CEILINGS RAPIDLY BREAKING UP ONCE FRONT PASSES THROUGH.
37

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      38  62  34  70  50 /  10   0   0   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              42  61  40  69  52 /  20   0   0   0   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            49  62  47  68  61 /  20   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CDT SATURDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
     MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON
     BAY...MATAGORDA BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CDT SATURDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

DISCUSSION...38

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
433 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-
227-235>238-281200-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GALVESTON BAY-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-
MADISON-MATAGORDA-MATAGORDA BAY-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-
TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-WHARTON-
433 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
TODAY AND TONIGHT AND WILL DRAG A DRYLINE AND COLD FRONT INTO THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE FEATURES WILL TRIGGER
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST OF A
BRENHAM TO FREEPORT LINE THIS AFTERNOON.

BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE
COASTAL COUNTIES. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS WHERE GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1229 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009

TXZ196-271830-
BRAZOS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLLEGE STATION...BRYAN
1229 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO BRAZOS COUNTY...

AT 1230 PM WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG STORMS
MOVING INTO BRAZOS COUNTY. THESE STORMS WILL BRING HEAVY
DOWNPOURS...LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...AND SMALL HAIL.
STAY TUNED TO ANY POSSIBLE WARNINGS SHOULD THE STORM STRENGTHEN. A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
123 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     HAIL             4 SW SNOOK              30.45N 96.51W
03/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       BURLESON           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKEL HAIL REPORTED ALONG FM 6O APPROX 3 MI EAST OF HWY
            36. RELAYED BY BURLESON COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE.

1217 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     SNOOK                   30.49N 96.47W
03/27/2009                   BURLESON           TX   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD IN SNOOK. RELAYED BY
            BURLESON COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE.

&&

38

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
155 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0143 PM     HAIL             3 ENE MADISONVILLE      30.97N 95.86W
03/27/2009  M0.88 INCH       MADISON            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL 3 MILES ENE MADISONVILLE...ON FM 1428.

&&

DHELVY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
329 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0311 PM     HAIL             6 SE NAVASOTA           30.33N 96.02W
03/27/2009  M0.88 INCH       GRIMES             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL AT CAMP ALLEN ON FM 362.

0317 PM     HAIL             1 W MAGNOLIA            30.21N 95.77W
03/27/2009  M1.00 INCH       MONTGOMERY         TX   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL 1 MILE WEST OF MAGNOLIA.

&&

DHELVY