Severe Thunderstorm Warning 9, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 300514
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1114 PM MDT WED APR 29 2009

COC125-NEC057-300600-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-090430T0600Z/
YUMA CO-DUNDY NE-
1114 PM MDT WED APR 29 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN DUNDY AND NORTHERN YUMA COUNTIES...

AT 1111 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ALVIN TO 11 MILES WEST OF
WAUNETA TO 10 MILES NORTH OF YUMA...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  CLARKVILLE AROUND MIDNIGHT MDT...

LAT...LON 4043 10205 4035 10204 4034 10183 4010 10191
      4011 10280 4034 10280 4035 10278 4043 10278
      4044 10277 4044 10256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0514Z 200DEG 6KT 4033 10207 4027 10245
          4027 10279

$$

BURTIS

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 300526
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1126 PM MDT WED APR 29 2009

COC125-NEC057-300600-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-090430T0600Z/
YUMA CO-DUNDY NE-
1126 PM MDT WED APR 29 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN DUNDY AND NORTHERN YUMA COUNTIES...

AT 1125 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF
BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE
STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ALVIN TO 10 MILES
WEST OF WAUNETA TO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLARKVILLE...MOVING NORTH AT
5 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  CLARKVILLE AROUND MIDNIGHT MDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF 
CLARKVILLE WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE 
STORM...TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 4043 10205 4035 10204 4034 10183 4010 10191
      4011 10280 4034 10280 4035 10278 4043 10278
      4044 10277 4044 10256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0525Z 200DEG 6KT 4035 10206 4029 10244
          4029 10278

$$

BURTIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
829 PM MDT WED APR 29 2009

.UPDATE...
823 PM MDT WED APR 29 2009

JUST COMPLETED AN UPDATE. CANCELLED WATCH EARLY. LEFT SMALL POPS
OVER MOST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING DUE TO DRY LINE AND LINGERING
MESOSCALE BOUNDERIES. INCOMING FRONT AND NORTHERN END OF DRY LINE
STARTING TO FIRE THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR NORTH. AS A RESULT LEFT THE
HIGHEST CHANCE OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE AREA. NEWEST
MODEL DATA THAT IS JUST COMING IN SUPPORTS THE OVERNIGHT POPS
FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

TWEEKED WINDS...CLOUDS...TEMPERATURES...AND DEWPOINTS BASED ON
CURRENT TRENDS. ALSO DUE TO THE HIGHER DEWPOINTS AND EXPECTED
FRONTAL TIMING...DID RAISE MINS A LITTLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE
SOUTHEAST PORTION. ALSO RAISED WINDS A LITTLE BASED ON WHAT AM SEE
UPSTREAM.

BULLER
&&

.DISCUSSION...
200 PM MDT WED APR 29 2009

SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD (TONIGHT-SATURDAY NIGHT) CONTINUES TO
BE DOMINATED BY NEAR DAILY AND OVERNIGHT CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION...OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING THREAT FOR FOG...EXTENSIVE
CLOUDINESS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
WILL BE EAST OF THE CO/KS BORDER. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE AREA TONIGHT WHILE A DISTURBANCE MOVES
OUT OF COLORADO. INTERACTION OF THESE FEATURES WILL PROMOTE A HIGH
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IN SFC CONVERGENT AREA GENERALLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE. THIS AREA OF PRECIP WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
BUT THE OVERALL AREA OF PRECIP WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST SLOWLY
THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY.

ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVES IN THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES INTO
FRIDAY BRINGING A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. MORE OF
THE SAME FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SOMEWHAT CHALLENGING GIVEN PERIODS OF STRATUS
WHICH MAY OR MAY NOT BURN OFF WITH OTHER DAYS HAVING LITTLE
STRATUS BUT CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS.
HAVE TRENDED COOLER THROUGH SATURDAY USING THE MODIFIED AND
UNMODIFIED 850 TEMPERATURES AND A BLEND OF THE VARIOUS 2M/MOS
GUIDANCE NUMBERS. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NEAR 60 WITH MID 50S
(POSSIBLY COOLER) FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

FOR THE EXTENDED PERIODS (SUNDAY-WEDNESDAY)...MORE OF THE SAME.
NORTHWEST/WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PROMOTE DISTURBANCES AND A
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEARLY EACH DAY AND NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
LOOK TO BE SEASONAL.

07
&&

.AVIATION...
541 PM MDT WED APR 29 2009

FOR THE 00Z TAF CYCLE...MAIN SHORT TERM AVIATION CONCERN THIS
EVENING IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP IN
EASTERN COLORADO AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. CONVECTION WILL INCREASE
IN COVERAGE LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...BOTH TERMINALS MAY
BE IMPACTED AT SOME POINT, BUT HIGHER RISK AT KMCK. BOTH TERMINALS
WILL SEE SUB-VFR CIGS BEGINNING AROUND 06Z AND REMAIN AS SUCH FOR
THE REMAINDER OF TAF CYCLE. AT THIS POINT, HAVE KEPT CIGS MVFR,
BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR IFR DOES EXIST.

GJG
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1045 AM MDT WED APR 29 2009

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-301200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1045 AM MDT WED APR 29 2009 /1145 AM CDT WED APR 29 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE TRI STATE AREA. COVERAGE WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED BEFORE
SUNSET...BUT ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.

THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL DECREASE AS THE
NIGHT WEARS ON...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL THE PRIMARY
THREATS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
507 PM MDT WED APR 29 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     HAIL             5 NNE SELKIRK           38.54N 101.50W
04/29/2009  E1.75 INCH       WICHITA            KS   PUBLIC

&&

GGUILLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
613 PM MDT WED APR 29 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0604 PM     HAIL             24 SW COLBY             39.14N 101.36W
04/29/2009  E0.75 INCH       THOMAS             KS   PUBLIC

            DIME TO PENNY HAIL WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&

GGUILLOT